The US equity market is up over 22% so far this year, marking the strongest YTD performance since 1997! Given this exceptional performance, can we really expect the rally to continue?

Important Information:
Unless stated otherwise any opinions expressed are those of Aviva Investors. They should not be viewed as indicating any guarantee of return from an investment managed by Aviva Investors nor as personalised advice of any nature. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but, has not been independently verified by Aviva Investors and is not guaranteed to be accurate.
Past performance is not a guide to the future. This material is not a recommendation to sell or purchase any investment. The value of an investment and any income from it may go down as well as up and the investor may not get back the original amount invested. Nothing in this material, including any references to specific securities, assets classes and financial markets is intended to or should be construed as advice or recommendations of any nature.
In Europe this is issued by Aviva Investors Luxembourg S.A. Registered Office: 2 rue du Fort Bourbon, 1st Floor, 1249 Luxembourg. Supervised by Commission de Surveillance du Secteur Financier. An Aviva company. In the UK this is issued by Aviva Investors Global Services Limited. Registered in England No. 1151805. Registered Office: 80 Fenchurch Street, London EC3M 4AE. Authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Firm Reference No. 119178. In Switzerland, this document is issued by Aviva Investors Schweiz GmbH. In Canada and the United States, this material is issued by Aviva Investors Canada Inc. (“AIC”). AIC is registered with the Ontario Securities Commission as a commodity trading manager, exempt market dealer, portfolio manager and investment fund manager. AIC is also registered as an exempt market dealer and portfolio manager in each province and territory of Canada and may also be registered as an investment fund manager in certain other applicable provinces. In the United States, AIC is registered as investment adviser with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, and as commodity trading adviser with the National Futures Association. In Singapore this is issued by: Aviva Investors Asia Pte. Limited, a company incorporated under the laws of Singapore with registration number 200813519W, holds a valid Capital Markets Services Licence to carry out fund management activities issued under the Securities and Futures Act 2001 and is an Exempt Financial Adviser for the purposes of the Financial Advisers Act 2001. Registered Office: 138 Market Street, #05-01 CapitaGreen, Singapore 048946. This advertisement or publication has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

Can the US Equity Market Continue to Rally?

What happened in markets in October?

October has been an eventful start to Q4 - from a stream of market data releases, to the fast-approaching US election and equity markets pushing higher. 
 
In this week's episode, Lorraine and Baylee discuss how the market has reacted to these key themes.

Important Information:
Unless stated otherwise any opinions expressed are those of Aviva Investors. They should not be viewed as indicating any guarantee of return from an investment managed by Aviva Investors nor as personalised advice of any nature. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but, has not been independently verified by Aviva Investors and is not guaranteed to be accurate.
Past performance is not a guide to the future. This material is not a recommendation to sell or purchase any investment. The value of an investment and any income from it may go down as well as up and the investor may not get back the original amount invested. Nothing in this material, including any references to specific securities, assets classes and financial markets is intended to or should be construed as advice or recommendations of any nature.
In Europe this is issued by Aviva Investors Luxembourg S.A. Registered Office: 2 rue du Fort Bourbon, 1st Floor, 1249 Luxembourg. Supervised by Commission de Surveillance du Secteur Financier. An Aviva company. In the UK this is issued by Aviva Investors Global Services Limited. Registered in England No. 1151805. Registered Office: 80 Fenchurch Street, London EC3M 4AE. Authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Firm Reference No. 119178. In Switzerland, this document is issued by Aviva Investors Schweiz GmbH. In Canada and the United States, this material is issued by Aviva Investors Canada Inc. (“AIC”). AIC is registered with the Ontario Securities Commission as a commodity trading manager, exempt market dealer, portfolio manager and investment fund manager. AIC is also registered as an exempt market dealer and portfolio manager in each province and territory of Canada and may also be registered as an investment fund manager in certain other applicable provinces. In the United States, AIC is registered as investment adviser with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, and as commodity trading adviser with the National Futures Association. In Singapore this is issued by: Aviva Investors Asia Pte. Limited, a company incorporated under the laws of Singapore with registration number 200813519W, holds a valid Capital Markets Services Licence to carry out fund management activities issued under the Securities and Futures Act 2001 and is an Exempt Financial Adviser for the purposes of the Financial Advisers Act 2001. Registered Office: 138 Market Street, #05-01 CapitaGreen, Singapore 048946. This advertisement or publication has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

 
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What happened in markets in October?

In an extraordinary comeback, President Trump will now serve his second presidential term. What will this mean for investment markets? In this week's Ask The Fund Manager Peter Smith and Harriet Ballard discuss how his win may impact on different asset classes.

Important Information:
Unless stated otherwise any opinions expressed are those of Aviva Investors. They should not be viewed as indicating any guarantee of return from an investment managed by Aviva Investors nor as personalised advice of any nature. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but, has not been independently verified by Aviva Investors and is not guaranteed to be accurate.
Past performance is not a guide to the future. This material is not a recommendation to sell or purchase any investment. The value of an investment and any income from it may go down as well as up and the investor may not get back the original amount invested. Nothing in this material, including any references to specific securities, assets classes and financial markets is intended to or should be construed as advice or recommendations of any nature.
In Europe this is issued by Aviva Investors Luxembourg S.A. Registered Office: 2 rue du Fort Bourbon, 1st Floor, 1249 Luxembourg. Supervised by Commission de Surveillance du Secteur Financier. An Aviva company. In the UK this is issued by Aviva Investors Global Services Limited. Registered in England No. 1151805. Registered Office: 80 Fenchurch Street, London EC3M 4AE. Authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Firm Reference No. 119178. In Switzerland, this document is issued by Aviva Investors Schweiz GmbH. In Canada and the United States, this material is issued by Aviva Investors Canada Inc. (“AIC”). AIC is registered with the Ontario Securities Commission as a commodity trading manager, exempt market dealer, portfolio manager and investment fund manager. AIC is also registered as an exempt market dealer and portfolio manager in each province and territory of Canada and may also be registered as an investment fund manager in certain other applicable provinces. In the United States, AIC is registered as investment adviser with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, and as commodity trading adviser with the National Futures Association. In Singapore this is issued by: Aviva Investors Asia Pte. Limited, a company incorporated under the laws of Singapore with registration number 200813519W, holds a valid Capital Markets Services Licence to carry out fund management activities issued under the Securities and Futures Act 2001 and is an Exempt Financial Adviser for the purposes of the Financial Advisers Act 2001. Registered Office: 138 Market Street, #05-01 CapitaGreen, Singapore 048946. This advertisement or publication has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

Trump triumphs; what the win means to markets

Whether in-store or online, retailers are already gearing up for Black Friday sales. It has become a highlight in the calendar for both retailers and shoppers. In this week’s episode of Ask The Fund Manager Harriet Ballard and Nicole Lowe discuss Black Friday and the impact on consumer spending.

Important Information:

Unless stated otherwise any opinions expressed are those of Aviva Investors. They should not be viewed as indicating any guarantee of return from an investment managed by Aviva Investors nor as personalised advice of any nature. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but, has not been independently verified by Aviva Investors and is not guaranteed to be accurate.
Past performance is not a guide to the future. This material is not a recommendation to sell or purchase any investment. The value of an investment and any income from it may go down as well as up and the investor may not get back the original amount invested. Nothing in this material, including any references to specific securities, assets classes and financial markets is intended to or should be construed as advice or recommendations of any nature.
In Europe this is issued by Aviva Investors Luxembourg S.A. Registered Office: 2 rue du Fort Bourbon, 1st Floor, 1249 Luxembourg. Supervised by Commission de Surveillance du Secteur Financier. An Aviva company. In the UK this is issued by Aviva Investors Global Services Limited. Registered in England No. 1151805. Registered Office: 80 Fenchurch Street, London EC3M 4AE. Authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Firm Reference No. 119178. In Switzerland, this document is issued by Aviva Investors Schweiz GmbH. In Canada and the United States, this material is issued by Aviva Investors Canada Inc. (“AIC”). AIC is registered with the Ontario Securities Commission as a commodity trading manager, exempt market dealer, portfolio manager and investment fund manager. AIC is also registered as an exempt market dealer and portfolio manager in each province and territory of Canada and may also be registered as an investment fund manager in certain other applicable provinces. In the United States, AIC is registered as investment adviser with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, and as commodity trading adviser with the National Futures Association. In Singapore this is issued by: Aviva Investors Asia Pte. Limited, a company incorporated under the laws of Singapore with registration number 200813519W, holds a valid Capital Markets Services Licence to carry out fund management activities issued under the Securities and Futures Act 2001 and is an Exempt Financial Adviser for the purposes of the Financial Advisers Act 2001. Registered Office: 138 Market Street, #05-01 CapitaGreen, Singapore 048946. This advertisement or publication has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

 
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Retail Rumble – Black Friday is nearly here

Why is Europe lagging in economic growth while the US surges ahead? Luke Burwood and Baylee Wakefield discuss in this week's Ask The Fund Manager, the challenges Europe faces and the potential impact from President Trump's proposed policies.  

Important Information:

Unless stated otherwise any opinions expressed are those of Aviva Investors. They should not be viewed as indicating any guarantee of return from an investment managed by Aviva Investors nor as personalised advice of any nature. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but, has not been independently verified by Aviva Investors and is not guaranteed to be accurate.
Past performance is not a guide to the future. This material is not a recommendation to sell or purchase any investment. The value of an investment and any income from it may go down as well as up and the investor may not get back the original amount invested. Nothing in this material, including any references to specific securities, assets classes and financial markets is intended to or should be construed as advice or recommendations of any nature.
In Europe this is issued by Aviva Investors Luxembourg S.A. Registered Office: 2 rue du Fort Bourbon, 1st Floor, 1249 Luxembourg. Supervised by Commission de Surveillance du Secteur Financier. An Aviva company. In the UK this is issued by Aviva Investors Global Services Limited. Registered in England No. 1151805. Registered Office: 80 Fenchurch Street, London EC3M 4AE. Authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Firm Reference No. 119178. In Switzerland, this document is issued by Aviva Investors Schweiz GmbH. In Canada and the United States, this material is issued by Aviva Investors Canada Inc. (“AIC”). AIC is registered with the Ontario Securities Commission as a commodity trading manager, exempt market dealer, portfolio manager and investment fund manager. AIC is also registered as an exempt market dealer and portfolio manager in each province and territory of Canada and may also be registered as an investment fund manager in certain other applicable provinces. In the United States, AIC is registered as investment adviser with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, and as commodity trading adviser with the National Futures Association. In Singapore this is issued by: Aviva Investors Asia Pte. Limited, a company incorporated under the laws of Singapore with registration number 200813519W, holds a valid Capital Markets Services Licence to carry out fund management activities issued under the Securities and Futures Act 2001 and is an Exempt Financial Adviser for the purposes of the Financial Advisers Act 2001. Registered Office: 138 Market Street, #05-01 CapitaGreen, Singapore 048946. This advertisement or publication has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

Is Europe stuck in the slow lane?

Trump triumphed, Europe wobbled and rates were cut: November was full of drama for investment markets. Listen to this week’s Ask The Fund Manager as Nicole Lowe and Sunil Krishnan discuss the major events that impacted markets in November.

Important Information:
Unless stated otherwise any opinions expressed are those of Aviva Investors. They should not be viewed as indicating any guarantee of return from an investment managed by Aviva Investors nor as personalised advice of any nature. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but, has not been independently verified by Aviva Investors and is not guaranteed to be accurate.
Past performance is not a guide to the future. This material is not a recommendation to sell or purchase any investment. The value of an investment and any income from it may go down as well as up and the investor may not get back the original amount invested. Nothing in this material, including any references to specific securities, assets classes and financial markets is intended to or should be construed as advice or recommendations of any nature.
In Europe this is issued by Aviva Investors Luxembourg S.A. Registered Office: 2 rue du Fort Bourbon, 1st Floor, 1249 Luxembourg. Supervised by Commission de Surveillance du Secteur Financier. An Aviva company. In the UK this is issued by Aviva Investors Global Services Limited. Registered in England No. 1151805. Registered Office: 80 Fenchurch Street, London EC3M 4AE. Authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Firm Reference No. 119178. In Switzerland, this document is issued by Aviva Investors Schweiz GmbH. In Canada and the United States, this material is issued by Aviva Investors Canada Inc. (“AIC”). AIC is registered with the Ontario Securities Commission as a commodity trading manager, exempt market dealer, portfolio manager and investment fund manager. AIC is also registered as an exempt market dealer and portfolio manager in each province and territory of Canada and may also be registered as an investment fund manager in certain other applicable provinces. In the United States, AIC is registered as investment adviser with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, and as commodity trading adviser with the National Futures Association. In Singapore this is issued by: Aviva Investors Asia Pte. Limited, a company incorporated under the laws of Singapore with registration number 200813519W, holds a valid Capital Markets Services Licence to carry out fund management activities issued under the Securities and Futures Act 2001 and is an Exempt Financial Adviser for the purposes of the Financial Advisers Act 2001. Registered Office: 138 Market Street, #05-01 CapitaGreen, Singapore 048946. This advertisement or publication has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

November market round-up

Q4 has been all about politics—in the US, Germany, South Korea, and now France! Sean Nevzat and Baylee Wakefield discuss the collapse of France's government over its 2025 budget, the resulting impact on bond spreads, and the implications for French politics and European markets moving forward.

Important Information:
 
Unless stated otherwise any opinions expressed are those of Aviva Investors. They should not be viewed as indicating any guarantee of return from an investment managed by Aviva Investors nor as personalised advice of any nature. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but, has not been independently verified by Aviva Investors and is not guaranteed to be accurate.
Past performance is not a guide to the future. This material is not a recommendation to sell or purchase any investment. The value of an investment and any income from it may go down as well as up and the investor may not get back the original amount invested. Nothing in this material, including any references to specific securities, assets classes and financial markets is intended to or should be construed as advice or recommendations of any nature.
In Europe this is issued by Aviva Investors Luxembourg S.A. Registered Office: 2 rue du Fort Bourbon, 1st Floor, 1249 Luxembourg. Supervised by Commission de Surveillance du Secteur Financier. An Aviva company. In the UK this is issued by Aviva Investors Global Services Limited. Registered in England No. 1151805. Registered Office: 80 Fenchurch Street, London EC3M 4AE. Authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Firm Reference No. 119178. In Switzerland, this document is issued by Aviva Investors Schweiz GmbH. In Canada and the United States, this material is issued by Aviva Investors Canada Inc. (“AIC”). AIC is registered with the Ontario Securities Commission as a commodity trading manager, exempt market dealer, portfolio manager and investment fund manager. AIC is also registered as an exempt market dealer and portfolio manager in each province and territory of Canada and may also be registered as an investment fund manager in certain other applicable provinces. In the United States, AIC is registered as investment adviser with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, and as commodity trading adviser with the National Futures Association. In Singapore this is issued by: Aviva Investors Asia Pte. Limited, a company incorporated under the laws of Singapore with registration number 200813519W, holds a valid Capital Markets Services Licence to carry out fund management activities issued under the Securities and Futures Act 2001 and is an Exempt Financial Adviser for the purposes of the Financial Advisers Act 2001. Registered Office: 138 Market Street, #05-01 CapitaGreen, Singapore 048946. This advertisement or publication has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

France’s Government in a Flux!

At the beginning of the year Baylee made 5 predictions about investment markets. In the final episode of #AskTheFundManager for 2024 Shane O'Brien and Baylee Wakefield see how she got on and if she was right or wrong!

Important Information:
 
Unless stated otherwise any opinions expressed are those of Aviva Investors. They should not be viewed as indicating any guarantee of return from an investment managed by Aviva Investors nor as personalised advice of any nature. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but, has not been independently verified by Aviva Investors and is not guaranteed to be accurate.
Past performance is not a guide to the future. This material is not a recommendation to sell or purchase any investment. The value of an investment and any income from it may go down as well as up and the investor may not get back the original amount invested. Nothing in this material, including any references to specific securities, assets classes and financial markets is intended to or should be construed as advice or recommendations of any nature.
In Europe this is issued by Aviva Investors Luxembourg S.A. Registered Office: 2 rue du Fort Bourbon, 1st Floor, 1249 Luxembourg. Supervised by Commission de Surveillance du Secteur Financier. An Aviva company. In the UK this is issued by Aviva Investors Global Services Limited. Registered in England No. 1151805. Registered Office: 80 Fenchurch Street, London EC3M 4AE. Authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Firm Reference No. 119178. In Switzerland, this document is issued by Aviva Investors Schweiz GmbH. In Canada and the United States, this material is issued by Aviva Investors Canada Inc. (“AIC”). AIC is registered with the Ontario Securities Commission as a commodity trading manager, exempt market dealer, portfolio manager and investment fund manager. AIC is also registered as an exempt market dealer and portfolio manager in each province and territory of Canada and may also be registered as an investment fund manager in certain other applicable provinces. In the United States, AIC is registered as investment adviser with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, and as commodity trading adviser with the National Futures Association. In Singapore this is issued by: Aviva Investors Asia Pte. Limited, a company incorporated under the laws of Singapore with registration number 200813519W, holds a valid Capital Markets Services Licence to carry out fund management activities issued under the Securities and Futures Act 2001 and is an Exempt Financial Adviser for the purposes of the Financial Advisers Act 2001. Registered Office: 138 Market Street, #05-01 CapitaGreen, Singapore 048946. This advertisement or publication has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

Baylee's 5 predictions for 2024, were they right?

Will interest rates fall again? Are US equities overvalued? Is government debt too big? Will there be a trade war? In this week's episode of #AskTheFundManager Peter Smith quizzes Baylee Wakefield on the 4 key questions investors are asking in 2025.

Important Information:
 
Unless stated otherwise any opinions expressed are those of Aviva Investors. They should not be viewed as indicating any guarantee of return from an investment managed by Aviva Investors nor as personalised advice of any nature. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but, has not been independently verified by Aviva Investors and is not guaranteed to be accurate.

Past performance is not a guide to the future. This material is not a recommendation to sell or purchase any investment. The value of an investment and any income from it may go down as well as up and the investor may not get back the original amount invested. Nothing in this material, including any references to specific securities, assets classes and financial markets is intended to or should be construed as advice or recommendations of any nature.

In Europe this is issued by Aviva Investors Luxembourg S.A. Registered Office: 2 rue du Fort Bourbon, 1st Floor, 1249 Luxembourg. Supervised by Commission de Surveillance du Secteur Financier. An Aviva company. In the UK this is issued by Aviva Investors Global Services Limited. Registered in England No. 1151805. Registered Office: 80 Fenchurch Street, London EC3M 4AE. Authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Firm Reference No. 119178. In Switzerland, this document is issued by Aviva Investors Schweiz GmbH. In Canada this is issued by Aviva Investors Canada Inc., which is a portfolio manager and exempt market dealer registered in each province and territory in Canada, an investment fund manager registered in Ontario, Quebec and Newfoundland and Labrador, and a Commodity Trading Manager registered in Ontario. Registered office: 100 King Street, Suite 4900, Toronto, Ontario, M5X 2A2. 2020-0470 136731-08102020. In Singapore this is issued by: Aviva Investors Asia Pte. Limited, a company incorporated under the laws of Singapore with registration number 200813519W, holds a valid Capital Markets Services Licence to carry out fund management activities issued under the Securities and Futures Act 2001 and is an Exempt Financial Adviser for the purposes of the Financial Advisers Act 2001. Registered Office: 138 Market Street, #05-01 CapitaGreen, Singapore 048946. This advertisement or publication has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

What questions are investors asking about in 2025?

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is driving a massive increase in data centres and electricity demand. Join Nicole Lowe and Dean Cook as they discuss the ways tech giants are trying to feed the demands of AI. 

Important Information:
 
Unless stated otherwise any opinions expressed are those of Aviva Investors. They should not be viewed as indicating any guarantee of return from an investment managed by Aviva Investors nor as personalised advice of any nature. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but, has not been independently verified by Aviva Investors and is not guaranteed to be accurate.

Past performance is not a guide to the future. This material is not a recommendation to sell or purchase any investment. The value of an investment and any income from it may go down as well as up and the investor may not get back the original amount invested. Nothing in this material, including any references to specific securities, assets classes and financial markets is intended to or should be construed as advice or recommendations of any nature.

In Europe this is issued by Aviva Investors Luxembourg S.A. Registered Office: 2 rue du Fort Bourbon, 1st Floor, 1249 Luxembourg. Supervised by Commission de Surveillance du Secteur Financier. An Aviva company. In the UK this is issued by Aviva Investors Global Services Limited. Registered in England No. 1151805. Registered Office: 80 Fenchurch Street, London EC3M 4AE. Authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Firm Reference No. 119178. In Switzerland, this document is issued by Aviva Investors Schweiz GmbH. In Canada this is issued by Aviva Investors Canada Inc., which is a portfolio manager and exempt market dealer registered in each province and territory in Canada, an investment fund manager registered in Ontario, Quebec and Newfoundland and Labrador, and a Commodity Trading Manager registered in Ontario. Registered office: 100 King Street, Suite 4900, Toronto, Ontario, M5X 2A2. 2020-0470 136731-08102020. In Singapore this is issued by: Aviva Investors Asia Pte. Limited, a company incorporated under the laws of Singapore with registration number 200813519W, holds a valid Capital Markets Services Licence to carry out fund management activities issued under the Securities and Futures Act 2001 and is an Exempt Financial Adviser for the purposes of the Financial Advisers Act 2001. Registered Office: 138 Market Street, #05-01 CapitaGreen, Singapore 048946. This advertisement or publication has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

On a Power Trip: the demands of artificial intelligence

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Capital at risk. Please remember the value of an investment and any income from it can go down as well as up. Investors may not get back the original amount invested.

Trump triumphs; what the win means to markets

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