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Prochazka is going to need to be wary and careful of the power, but his superiority in technicality could set up something special.

Pereira (8-2) is early into his mixed martial arts journey yet on the verge of becoming a two-division champion in two separate sports. Pereira and longtime rival Israel Adesanya are both Glory kickboxing veterans. Their striking quality is arguably the best in UFC history, but it's not only value acquired from their time there. Pereira credits his kickboxing days for giving him the psychological edge necessary to become UFC middleweight champion in just eight MMA fights.

"It's very fortunate that I was able to get so much experience. It makes a big difference," Pereira told CBS Sports. "You have a young guy and you throw him into an arena with a lot of people watching a big show. There are so many things involved. It plays a part.

Dhoom 3

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Although the UFC odds are quite high for this one and although many of the UFC predictions out there probably stick to a knockout, we have to analyze the way Prochazka won the title the first time around.

The former champion locked in a submission against one of the best-ever jiu-jitsu specialists in MMA history, Glover Teixeira. In fact, to put in perspective how crazy that finish was, Prochazka was +1600 to win via submission against the Brazilian champion.

He is now +950 to do so this Saturday, which mainly comes down to the fact Pereira is nowhere near the level of Teixeira on the ground.

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"But the fact I had Glory for venues with so many people. Sometimes more, sometimes less. Sometimes people cheered for me. Sometimes people cheered against me. That actually broke me down a little bit in a good way for me to come in and do what I did." 

Pereira's immediate success in MMA is evidence that Bo Nickal, who is among the most successful collegiate wrestlers in history, is not a "Contender Series" success story but a marketing device. Much like Pereira, it's the experience that Nickal accrued elsewhere that would have ultimately led him to the UFC.

In truth, you can pick one of either Pereira or Prochazka to win via KO/TKO, as both of them hold equal weight in this fight.

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One of them is arguably the hardest-hitting non-heavyweight of all time, while the other boasts of a style he’s all but crafted himself.

Regardless, we don’t see how the fight goes the distance. If it does, odds are at +370 with Caesars to do so. However, if we have to pick one to win by KO/TKO, we’re going for the former middleweight king, Pereira. 

The betting odds for Prochazka vs. Pereira are understandably close. Pereira's power and technical acumen could cripple Prochazka's wild style. Prochazka has the athleticism and creativity to knock out Pereira, who was hurt in both Adesanya fights. Interestingly, both fighters highlighted their opponent's experience -- not specific skills -- as their most dangerous weapon.

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"It's what we talked about before, skills and experience," Prochazka said. "He has high-level experience in kickboxing. The specialty is that he turns his kickboxing to an MMA style. He found a way to do that. Everybody has some style that they fight with. I have my style. For this fight with Alex, I had to change a little bit. Especially after my last fight with Glover. There were a lot of mistakes that I had to change." 

"The thing that makes him dangerous is all the experience he has," Pereira said. "He's a seasoned fighter. He's dangerous, but that helps to keep me aware and not overlook the guy. I'm actually preparing to go over there and get it done."

Dern is a Brazilian-American mixed martial artist with a professional record of 13-3 with 7 submissions under her belt at the age of 30. Before starting her MMA career, Dern was the #1 ranked IBJJF competitor and she’s an ADCC world champion. That’s an elite level of Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu that we have never seen in the UFC.

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Dern is listed at 5’4” with a 63” reach while fighting out of the orthodox stance. So far in the UFC, she averages 3.36 significant strikes landed per minute while absorbing 4.09 significant strikes as well. She only averages 0.81 takedowns per 15 minutes in the cage at a 15% clip, meaning she hasn’t been able to necessarily implement her grappling skills at this level.

Lupita Godinez versus Tabatha Ricci is a really fun fight of talented strawweight prospects. Both women have scored notable wins in the company and are currently on win streaks. What makes Godinez a tough out is her cardio and grappling, however, “Baby Shark” will solve that puzzle this weekend.

What an astonishing career in the UFC it has been for Alex Pereira, and he constantly remains top of the UFC picks for a knockout.

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In fact, there are only a handful of fighters in the company’s history who can truthfully say they hit harder than he does.

As we start to formulate the Andrade vs Dern prediction, it’s important to preview the betting lines for this bout. The odds we can get will directly correlate to how we bet money on this fight.

The UFC fight night odds have Dern as the -190 betting favorite over the +165 former champion. Also, this fight is favored to end inside the 15-minute limit with odds at -200–a rare thing for women at 115lbs to do.

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Since the money lines are valuable on both sides, we can focus more on studying the films of both women. The styles of this fight and the little nuances surrounding the matchup might be the deciding factors.

The Brazilian made his debut in the UFC back in 2021 and knocked out Andreas Michailidis with a stunning flying knee. 

He then edged out a decision win over Bruno Silva before knocking out the reigning champion, Sean Strickland, to earn a Performance of the Night award.

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Racking up a knockout victory over the current champion is one thing, but as he then went on to beat his old kickboxing nemesis, Israel Adesanya, for the middleweight title, Pereira only proved how incredible he is.

Down on the scorecards heading into the fifth round, Pereira needed a finish. An array of strikes - including his famous left hook - battered Adesanya, and the kickboxing legend stole the title and went 3-0 against Izzy in combat sports.

Adesanya would redeem himself with a first round knockout in the rematch, but after moving up to 205 lbs, Pereira beat former champion, Jan Blachowicz, albeit, with a controversial split decision.

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For your UFC picks, you can get odds of +125 at BetMGM for Pereira to get his 27th KO/TKO in combat sports (7th in MMA).

Expect Ricci to play keep away and be on guard at all times for her opponent’s wrestling. Eventually, she will wear Godinez down with her movement, peppering strikes, and coast to a decision win. 

Andrade is about to make the walk to a UFC octagon for the 5th time in 2023. You should be very excited about how good of a condition she will be in walking in the cage on Saturday. Even for the most elite athletes in the world, 5 MMA fights in 11 months is very tough to do. Assuming she has a similar training process to most fighters, that means she’s been through 5 grueling training camps, or maybe she isn’t training hard enough?

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Procházka (29-3-1) last fought in June 2022, when he dethroned Pereira training partner Glover Teixeira via fifth-round submission. It was Procházka's 13th consecutive victory.

Pereira (8-2) beat former champ Jan Blachowicz by split decision in July in his 205-pound debut. Pereira is No. 2 in the ESPN light heavyweight rankings.

Former UFC middleweight champion Pereira punched his ticket to the light heavyweight title after a successful 205-pound debut against former champ Jan Blachowicz. He will meet Prochazka, who never lost the championship but was forced to vacate it last year due to injury.

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