The global economic centre of gravity has moved to Asia and by mid-century it seems very plausible to assume that China and India will be the world’s dominant economic powers, by size at least, alongside the USA. It has long been assumed that China would emerge is the dominant economy; though projections are being rapidly revised downward in the face of serious structural weaknesses.

China faces, in particular, a demographic constraint with a shrinking labour force. By contrast, the Indian economy is said to enjoy a ‘demographic dividend and is now widely expected to grow more rapidly for the foreseeable future. Inevitably commentators dramatise trends and the talk of ‘Peak China’ and the 'Indian Century’ may be exaggerated or simply wrong. Our seminar will look at the evidence of this reappraisal and focus in particular on the demographic contribution to economic growth.

More about our speakers and chair

Vince Cable (@vincecable) is Professor in Practice at the School of Public Policy at LSE. He was UK Secretary of State for Business Innovation and Skills and President of the Board of Trade (2010-2015). He was Leader of the Liberal Democrats from 2017-19. He served for 20 years as MP for Twickenham and retired in 2019.

Keyu Jin (@KeyuJin) is an associate professor at the Department of Economics, LSE. Her research focuses on international macroeconomics and the Chinese economy. She previously sat on the editorial board for The Review of Economic Studies, and is currently a non-executive director of Richemont Group and Credit Suisse.

Rathin Roy (@EmergingRoy) is Managing Director. of the Overseas Development Institute. His policy interests and research has mainly focused on fiscal and macroeconomic issues pertinent to human development in developing and emerging economies. He was formerly the Director and CEO of the National Institute of Public Finance and Policy (NIPFP) in New Delhi.

Alexander Evans (@aiaevans) is Professor in Practice of Public Policy at LSE whose career in diplomacy included being Director Cyber at the Foreign Office where he was the U.K.’s chief international cyber policy negotiator.

China and India: economic fall and rise? (17 October 2023

Why do some countries, such as China and Russia, stand outside of the liberal international order and oppose values that the West takes for granted – values such as liberty and democracy? For the late Professor Christopher Coker the answer lay in the rise of a new political entity, the civilizational state. In an episode of LSE iQ which explored China’s position in the world in the coming century, Professor Coker talked about this, the potential for war between the United States and China and what that might look like. 

Christopher Coker, was Professor of International Relations at LSE for almost four decades, and co-Director of LSE IDEAS, LSE’s foreign policy think tank. He was a scholar of war and warfare. This episode of LSE iQ is a lightly edited version of our 2019 interview recorded before the COVID pandemic and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. It is dedicated to his memory.


Contributors

Professor Christopher Coker

Research

The Rise of the Civilizational State by Christopher Coker

The Improbable War, China, the United States and the Logic of Great Power Conflict by Christopher Coker

LSE IQ podcast

China, war and the civilizational state

In March 2024 the Phelan US Centre spoke to Professor Jason Casellas about how the role of Latino voters in the United States and their changing voting patterns. They also discuss how Latino voters might influence the 2024 presidential election.

Jason Casellas is Associate Professor of Political Science at the University of Houston and is the John G. Winant Visiting Professor for American Government at Oxford University for 2023-24. 

This Extra Inning was produced by Chris Gilson and Anderson Tan.  

Additional resources:

•	The Ballpark podcast: Super Tuesday 2024 results with Professor Jason Casellas - https://wp.me/p3I2YF-dF3 

Contributors: Professor Jason Casellas (University of Houston and Oxford University)

The Ballpark | Latino Voters In The United States With Professor Jason Casellas

In March 2024 the Phelan US Centre spoke to Professor Jennifer Carlson of Arizona State University, and 2022 MacArthur Fellow, about her new book, Merchants of the Right: Gun Sellers and the Crisis of American Democracy. They also discuss the symbolism and political value guns have in American politics and society.

This Extra Inning was produced by Chris Gilson and Anderson Tan.  

Contributors: Professor Jennifer Carlson (Arizona State University)

The Ballpark | Merchants of the Right with Professor Jennifer Carlson

In March 2024, the Phelan US Centre spoke to Professor Elizabeth Saunders, Professor of Political Science at Columbia University about her new book, ‘The Insiders’ Game: How Elites Make War and Peace’ and the role of ‘elites’ in US foreign policymaking.

This Extra Inning was produced by Chris Gilson and Anderson Tan.

LSE: The Ballpark | The Insider's Game: How Elites Make War and Peace with Prof. Elizabeth Saunders

In April 2024 the Phelan US Centre spoke to Dr Elizabeth Ingleson, Assistant Professor in the Department of International History at LSE and Centre Affiliate of the Phelan US Centre. They spoke about Dr Ingleson’s new book, Made in China: When US-China Interests Converged to Transform Global Trade. They also discussed the evolution of the US-China trade relationship since the 1970s, including the role played by US policymakers and capitalist interests.

Dr Elizabeth Ingleson will be launching her new book at the LSE Phelan US Centre event, ‘Made in China: When US-China interests converged to transform global trade’, on Tuesday 7 May from 5pm to 6:30pm at LSE. More details about how to attend in person and online are here - https://www.lse.ac.uk/united-states/events/2024-events/Made-in-China-When-US-China-Interests-Converged-to-Transform-Global-Trade. 

This Extra Inning was produced by Chris Gilson and Anderson Tan.

LSE: The Ballpark | Made in China: When US-China Interests Converged with Dr Elizabeth Ingleson

Happy #EuropeDay from the LSE European Institute! 🇪🇺

How does Europe serve as an ideological resource for the far-right? How has the far-right's relationship to Europe and the European Union evolved over the years? Are far-right parties naturally Eurosceptic? What are the implications for the upcoming European Parliament elections? These questions and many more are explored in our new #podcast episode!

We are pleased to share a discussion hosted by Professor Jonathan White which dives into Dr Marta Lorimer's new book: "Europe as Ideological Resource: European Integration and Far-Right Legitimation in France & Italy." 

Joining us for this fascinating exchange are also Professor Sofia Vasilopoulou (King's College London) and Dr Stijn van Kessel (Queen Mary University of London). 

📘 Purchase the book: https://global.oup.com/academic/product/europe-as-ideological-resource-9780198892366?lang=en&cc=si
🎥 Watch on YouTube: https://youtu.be/M-A0JNF6Ubs

#LSEEI #TeamEI

Europe as Ideological Resource: European Integration and Far-Right Legitimation in France & Italy

In 2024 the Phelan US Centre spoke to Professor John Owen, Ambassador Henry J. and Mrs. Marion R. Taylor Professor of Politics, Senior Fellow at the Institute for Advanced Studies in Culture and the Miller Center for Public Affairs at the University of Virginia, and an Academic Visitor at Nuffield College, University of Oxford from January to June 2024.

They discussed his new book, ‘The Ecology of Nations: American Democracy in a Fragile World Order’, the United States’ changing foreign policy objectives, and the move from welfare liberalism to open liberalism in the post-war period and beyond.   

You can read Professor Owens’ recent article for USAPP, ‘How pluralistic liberalism can protect democracy in a time of contested world order’ here - https://wp.me/p3I2YF-dDK.

This Extra Inning was produced by Chris Gilson and Anderson Tan.

LSE: The Ballpark | The Ecology of Nations with Professor John Owen

A shining city on a hill. America the beautiful. The United States has long been mythologised as the land of dreams and opportunity. And since the fall of the Soviet Union in the early 1990s it has been undisputedly the most powerful nation on earth. But is it a fading force? The idea of an America in decline has gained traction in recent years and has, of course, been capitalized on by President Trump. Is America’s ‘greatness’ under threat?
In this episode of LSE iQ, a collaboration with the LSE Phelan US Centre's podcast, The Ballpark, Sue Windebank and Chris Gilson speak to LSE’s Elizabeth Ingleson and John Van Reenen and Ashley Tellis from the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. 

Contributors
Elizabeth Ingleson
John Van Reenen
Ashley Tellis

Research
Made in China: When US-China Interests Converged to Transform Global Trade by Elizabeth Ingleson
The Fall of the Labor Share and the Rise of Superstar Firms by David Autor, David Dorn, Lawrence F Katz, Christina Patterson and John Van Reenen, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, May 2020.
Revising U.S. Grand Strategy Toward China by Robert D. Blackwill and Ashley J. Tellis

LSE Phelan United States Centre: https://www.lse.ac.uk/United-States 
Listen to The Ballpark podcast: https://www.lse.ac.uk/united-states/the-ballpark/Podcasts; LSE Player, Spotify; Soundcloud
Related interviews on The Ballpark with guests on this episode
Dr Ashley Tellis - The Future of US-China Competition
Dr Elizabeth Ingleson - Made in China: When US-China Interests Converged to Transform Global Trade

Will the US remain the world's superpower?

The LSE School of Public Policy is an international community where ideas and practice meet. Follow our podcast feed for the latest analysis and discussion on the challenges of contemporary governance, public policy and leadership.

China and India: economic fall and rise? (17 October 2023

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