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LIVE orthern Kentucky vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi.
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Starling and Judah Mintz should form one of the most dynamic backcourts in the country. Former McDonald's All-American who averaged 11.2 points for Notre Dame last season.

The overall #1 seed is Purdue. I get the skepticism but I’m not gonna overthink it. They have the returning NPOY, four starters, and most depth pieces back from a team that was a 1 seed last year and went 29-5 in regular season play. They are likely going to win a lot of games.

Dhoom 3

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LIVE Cincinnati vs. Georgia Tech.
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Houston wins at least one of the Big 12 regular season/conference tournament titles. I don’t think there’s going to be some sort of giant adjustment for a team that is 20-10 against top-50 competition since COVID and ranks #4 nationally in efficiency in those games. I’m also edging closer to being fully out on Kansas’s perimeter options and think they’re gonna have to win some sloppy ones.

Kaluma took a jump from 3-point range last season and averaged 11.8 points and 6.0 rebounds at Creighton. With Markquis Nowell and Keyontae Johnson gone, there are shots available for him in Manhattan, Kansas.

The first coach fired in-season is Kenny Payne. This might end up happening even before I publish, but any remaining bit of goodwill seems to have gone out the door with an exhibition loss to D-2 Kentucky Wesleyan, their second D-2 loss in as many years. Various rumors are swirling about regarding Payne’s conduct with players as well.

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LIVE Vermont vs. Northern Vermont - Johnson.
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Nelson has been drawing NBA buzz since early last season due to his size and ability to step out and shoot the 3. Averaged 17.9 points and 9.3 rebounds last season at North Dakota.

He can stave this off for a while as the opening three games really should be wins, but starting with the Empire Classic in New York on November 19 he’s staring down at least four losses in six games if not more.

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LIVE Missouri vs. South Carolina State.
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Ashworth will help fill Ryan Nembhard's shoes, even though he's a completely different player. He's not as adept a passer, but is a superior shooter, coming off a season in which he averaged 16.2 points, 4.5 assists and shot 43.4% from 3 at Utah State.

It’s quite realistic that, if still employed, he enters a home game against Kentucky on December 21 at 5-6 with losses to Bellarmine and Arkansas State. Various metrics seem to think they can’t possibly be truly abject two years in a row, but this is a unique case where I think what you see is what you’re getting. They’re going to be horrendous.

A team outside of the preseason KenPom top 100 makes the NCAA Tournament as an at-large, that team being Syracuse. I wasn’t confident enough to pick this in the previews but of the available options, this one makes the most sense to me. Are they one of the ~50 best teams out there? I don’t think so, but they have one of the best guards out there in Judah Mintz and a ton of on-paper talent.

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Baldwin Jr. won Atlantic 10 Player of the Year and Defensive Player of the Year honors before following Mike Rhoades from VCU. Averaged 12.7 points and 5.8 assists last season.

The best international prospect entering college basketball this season, Mara is already being mentioned as a potential lottery pick. He stands 7-3 with an incredibly high skill level.

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Plus it’s not like the ACC is stuffed with serious teams; there is real room for growth in Year One. The other option I would seriously consider here is Cornell, who very quietly has a team with four Big Six-quality starters on it and scores bunches of points.

A team inside the KenPom top 10 fails to finish in the top 25, that team being Alabama. They are the most rational pick of the group, though I really do not like betting against Nate Oats.

The Game of the Year is Cornell vs. Colgate on December 30. Because Evan Miyakawa projects 164 (!) total points in regulation and the line is only Cornell -4.5.

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We get a new AP #1 before the end of November. Kansas loses a game in Maui and Duke loses the Michigan State game on November 14. That allows Purdue to close November as the AP #1…before losing at Northwestern on December 1.

St. John’s and Rick Pitino prove to be a media circus at every step of the way. This is sort of the free space, but what will happen is pretty easy to see coming: the Johnnies get an early signature win when they beat Villanova on the road in early January and probably pull off a couple other big wins. They will also lose at least three games to opponents outside of the KenPom top 100, just like Iona did last year. I’ve got an eye on Hofstra on December 30.

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LIVE Nebraska vs. Duquesne.
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This is Dana Altman’s final season at Oregon. Altman has earned his right to step out whenever he wants to at Oregon, but given how pissed he was about fan engagement last year, I don’t think he’s long for it. He’ll be 66 next summer and has four kids, presumably with grandchildren. Does he really want to tag along for a move to the Big Ten?

The best conference is the Big 12, but the most entertaining Big Six conference is the SEC. Not that this conference needs any more ammo to inflate its own ego, but even its least-good teams have something of interest to keep an eye on. There shouldn’t be a single true walkover game on the schedule, and the teams themselves occupy a ranking span of just 8th-82nd on KenPom. It is tight. I would also accept the Big East for this answer.

The best and most entertaining non-Big Six conference is the Mountain West. Exactly the way it should be. God bless these guys, and I hope they get 3+ teams in the field again.

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Texas is screwed out of a season-shifting win at Houston on February 17 by way of officiating hijinks. In Oklahoma’s road football loss to Kansas last weekend, Oklahoma was issued 101 yards in penalties, including multiple drive-extending fouls on Kansas’s penultimate touchdown. It was their highest amount in penalty yardage in three full years. That’s the kind of thing we’re looking for in basketball: Texas catching 27 foul calls to the opponent’s 16 in a game that was otherwise a coin-flip.

DePaul nearly goes Defeated in the Big East, squeaking out a win on February 24 against Georgetown to finish 1-19. I originally had Oregon State here but I don’t think they are *quite* as far off of the rest of their conference as these guys are.

LIVE San Francisco vs. Purdue Fort Wayne.
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The At-Large Chicago State meme is forgotten about before Christmas and the Cougars go 10-19. This still represents a wildly successful season given their school history.

The biggest year-over-year turnaround is California, who jumps from 270th in 2022-23 KenPom to the top 70 this year. I’m a huge, huge believer in Mark Madsen and think he’s capable of finishing 7th or 8th in a competitive conference in Year One.

One of the truly elite shooters in the country, Perry shot 41.3% from 3 over the last two seasons and averaged 17.3 points in 2022-23 at North Texas. Will help replace Markquis Nowell.

NCAAM Live Air. It’s shaping up to be another exciting season in college basketball! With 362 Division I teams, there’s never a shortage of storylines in the sport. Last season, we saw a #1 seed lose to a #16 seed for just the second time ever and the Final Four had no #1, #2 or #3 seeds for the first time ever. We’ll likely see more craziness in this year’s NCAA Tournament, but we have an entire season before then. 

If it doesn’t seem like the sport had much of an offseason since Connecticut cut down the nets after winning its fifth national championship, that’s because there hasn't been any downtime in college hoops. Between some highly dramatic coaching changes, around 2000 players landing in the transfer portal, NIL dollars playing such a major role when coaches are pursuing prospects and grassroots recruiting, the offseason train just didn't stop.

Donovan Clingan, the 7-foot-2 center from Bristol, returns for his sophomore season and has the potential to be an All-American. He will take the torch from Adama Sanogo at center and could be in the Big East Player of the Year race. Alex Karaban will run the power forward slot and provide a steady presence.

Then there's the freshman class, which ranks fourth in the country. Stephon Castle is expected to make a major impact and could very well be a top-10 NBA Draft selection next June. He and Solomon Ball are expected to help the Huskies' perimeter efforts as well. A sleeper player to watch on this team as well: Samson Johnson. 

Connecticut isn't going anywhere, and with the mix of title run experience and some incredibly high-upside talents on his roster, Hurley has confidence and knows what it takes to win in March. All is right in Storrs.

That being said, it feels like the right time to spin things forward. To start previewing the 2023-24 season, let's look at national championship contenders. This is a subjective list that will omit some teams that will end up in the preseason top 25. I took a mix of top-level squads and others that might be overlooked, dividing them into four categories: those best set up for success, those fully capable of making a run, those with serious upside, and of course, dark horses.

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