In this episode, Ricardo questions whether Agile is still sufficient in the face of the speed of artificial intelligence. Created in 2001, the Agile Manifesto introduced short iterations and continuous learning to address the unpredictability of software development. However, today, tools become obsolete in days, raising questions about the relevance of 2- to 4-week cycles or a quarterly backlog. Vargas doesn't criticize Agile—on the contrary, he recognizes its essential role for organizations in dealing with volatility. The point is to reflect on how to apply it intelligently in the face of the rapidity of AI: smaller microcycles? More discipline? An "Agile 2.0" that includes governance, ethics, and social responsibility? The challenge is adapting to the current intensity of change.

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Is Agile Still Enough in the Face of AI’s Speed?

In this episode, Ricardo discusses the role of luck and probability in project management. He explains that while luck can influence outcomes, it favors those who are prepared. Probability, he says, is not a prediction but a decision-making tool that helps manage uncertainty. Effective project managers turn randomness into results through preparation: identifying risks, creating contingency plans, defining triggers, and building buffers. Ricardo also warns against hindsight bias, which makes us underestimate luck after success. He recommends modeling uncertainty with scenarios, using simulations for high-risk decisions, protecting the critical path with buffers, and designing flexibility into projects. True management, he concludes, is not about eliminating luck but shaping how it affects outcomes—turning uncertainty into smarter choices and opportunities.
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Luck, Probability, and Risk: What Is Really Under Your Control in Projects

Neste episódio, Ricardo discute o papel da sorte e da probabilidade na gestão de projetos. Ele explica que, embora a sorte possa influenciar os resultados, ela favorece aqueles que estão preparados. A probabilidade, segundo ele, não é uma previsão, mas uma ferramenta de tomada de decisão que ajuda a gerenciar a incerteza. Gerentes de projeto eficazes transformam a aleatoriedade em resultados por meio da preparação: identificando riscos, criando planos de contingência, definindo gatilhos e construindo reservas. Ricardo também alerta para o viés da retrospectiva, que nos faz subestimar a sorte após o sucesso. Ele recomenda modelar a incerteza com cenários, usar simulações para decisões de alto risco, proteger o caminho crítico com reservas e incorporar flexibilidade aos projetos. A verdadeira gestão, conclui ele, não se trata de eliminar a sorte, mas de moldar como ela afeta os resultados — transformando a incerteza em escolhas e oportunidades mais inteligentes.
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Sorte, Probabilidade e Risco: o que realmente está sob seu controle nos projetos

In this episode, Ricardo discusses the new edition of PMBOK 8, which brings important changes more aligned with the real work of project managers. Based on nearly 48,000 data points and two rounds of global feedback, it has become more practical, clear, and value-oriented. The old 12 principles have been condensed into six more focused ones, while maintaining good project practices. The traditional five process groups return and now apply to predictive, agile, and hybrid projects. The old knowledge areas have evolved into seven performance domains: governance, scope, schedule, finance, stakeholders, resources, and risks. This edition also features 40 updated processes with integrated ITTOs and reinforces tailoring with practical examples, making the guide more applicable and balanced.

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My First Impressions about the PMBOK® Guide 8th Edition

Neste episódio, Ricardo fala sobre a nova edição do PMBOK 8, que traz mudanças importantes e mais alinhadas ao trabalho real dos gerentes de projetos. Baseada em quase 48 mil dados e duas rodadas de feedback global, ela se tornou mais prática, clara e orientada a valor. Os antigos 12 princípios foram condensados em seis mais focados, mantendo o bom comportamento em projetos. Os tradicionais cinco grupos de processos retornam e passam a valer para projetos preditivos, ágeis e híbridos. As antigas áreas de conhecimento evoluíram para sete domínios de desempenho: governança, escopo, cronograma, finanças, stakeholders, recursos e riscos. A edição também traz 40 processos atualizados com ITTOs integrados e reforça o tailoring com exemplos práticos, tornando o guia mais aplicável e equilibrado.

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Minhas Primeiras Impressões sobre o PMBOK® Guide 8a Edição

In this episode, Ricardo discusses a key change in the PMBOK® Guide 8th edition: the relationship between stakeholders and communication. In previous editions, communication was a separate knowledge area, but now it is considered part of stakeholder management. This shift is significant because communication only exists when there are stakeholders with different needs. If a project had no stakeholders besides yourself, communication would be unnecessary. Therefore, communication is a tool to support stakeholder engagement. In the new PMBOK® structure, stakeholders remain a performance domain that includes planning, execution, and control activities. Ricardo encourages PMI members to download the PMBOK® Guide PDF and explore these updates to improve project value and delivery.

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What Happened with the Communication Domain in the PMBOK® Guide 8th Edition?

Neste episódio, Ricardo discute uma mudança fundamental na 8ª edição do Guia PMBOK®: a relação entre as partes interessadas e a comunicação. Nas edições anteriores, a comunicação era uma área de conhecimento separada, mas agora é considerada parte da gestão das partes interessadas. Essa mudança é significativa porque a comunicação só existe quando há partes interessadas com necessidades diferentes. Se um projeto não tivesse partes interessadas além de você, a comunicação seria desnecessária. Portanto, a comunicação é uma ferramenta para apoiar o engajamento das partes interessadas. Na nova estrutura do PMBOK®, as partes interessadas permanecem um domínio de desempenho que inclui atividades de planejamento, execução e controle. Ricardo incentiva os membros do PMI a baixarem o PDF do Guia PMBOK® e explorarem essas atualizações para melhorar o valor e a entrega do projeto.

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O Que Aconteceu com o Domínio Comunicações no Guia PMBOK® 8a Edição?

In this episode, Ricardo explains that in the PMBOK® 8th Edition, you do not need to memorize all 40 processes. Many of them are very similar, especially in the planning phase, which alone contains 19 processes. He shows that processes like Plan Scope Management, Plan Schedule Management, Plan Financial Management, and Plan Risk Management follow the same logic: they define the “rules of the game” for each performance domain. If you understand one, you know the others. Ricardo advises candidates for CAPM or PMP to focus on understanding the logic and flow of the processes rather than memorizing them, which is less effective for real-world project management. 
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Don’t Memorize the PMBOK® Guide 8th Edition - Understand It

Neste episódio, Ricardo explica que, na 8ª edição do PMBOK®, não é necessário memorizar todos os 40 processos. Muitos deles são bastante semelhantes, especialmente na fase de planejamento, que sozinha contém 19 processos. Ele demonstra que processos como Planejamento do Escopo, Planejamento do Cronograma, Planejamento Financeiro e Planejamento de Riscos seguem a mesma lógica: definem as “regras do jogo” para cada domínio de desempenho. Se você entende um, entende os outros. Ricardo aconselha os candidatos às certificações CAPM ou PMP a se concentrarem em compreender a lógica e o fluxo dos processos, em vez de memorizá-los, o que é menos eficaz para a gestão de projetos no mundo real.
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Não Decore o PMBOK® Guide 8ª Edição - Entenda

In this episode, Ricardo wraps up the discussion on the PMBOK Guide 8th Edition by highlighting the role of artificial intelligence in project management. PMI included AI in Appendix X3, presenting three adoption strategies: automation (making tasks faster), assistance (AI as a partner helping with scheduling and resources), and augmentation (expanding managers’ capabilities and decision-making). The appendix provides practical use cases for governance, risks, resources, scheduling, and other areas. Ricardo emphasizes that AI evolves rapidly, so some examples may soon become outdated, but project managers must understand and leverage AI to remain competitive. Recent research shows organizations are already saving significant money by using AI. He encourages readers to study the appendix carefully and stay adaptable.

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What does the PMBOK® Guide 8th Edition say about Artificial Intelligence?

Neste episódio, Ricardo conclui a discussão sobre o Guia PMBOK 8ª Edição, destacando o papel da inteligência artificial (IA) na gestão de projetos. O PMI incluiu a IA no Apêndice X3, apresentando três estratégias de adoção: automação (tornando as tarefas mais rápidas), assistência (IA como parceira, auxiliando no planejamento e na alocação de recursos) e aumento (expansão das capacidades e da tomada de decisão dos gestores). O apêndice fornece casos de uso práticos para governança, riscos, recursos, planejamento e outras áreas. Ricardo enfatiza que a IA evolui rapidamente, portanto, alguns exemplos podem se tornar obsoletos em breve, mas os gestores de projeto precisam compreender e aproveitar a IA para se manterem competitivos. Pesquisas recentes mostram que as organizações já estão economizando quantias significativas com o uso da IA. Ele incentiva os leitores a estudarem o apêndice com atenção e a se manterem adaptáveis.

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O que o PMBOK® Guide 8a Edição Fala sobre Inteligência Artificial?

Hello

Thanks for visiting my profile. 

I am an experienced leader in global operations, project management, business transformation, and crisis management. My main focus is implementing innovative global initiatives, capital projects, and product development. I have directed dozens of projects across industries and continents, managing more than $20 billion in global initiatives over the past 25 years.

I am a seasoned board member who has participated in the Brazilian Institute of Corporate Governance (IBGC) board member program. I was the first Latin American to become chairman of the board of the Project Management Institute globally, where I served for four years. I am also a member of the advisory board of Yera, an Estonian startup dedicated to improving employee performance and engagement through technology and artificial intelligence.

I share my expertise with millions of professionals around the globe through my "5 Minutes Podcast," which I have hosted since 2007 and has reached 12 million views. I've written 16 books on project management, risk and crisis management, and transformation, which have been translated into six languages and sold over half a million copies.

I am a seasoned speaker and have delivered over 250 keynote addresses in 40 countries. My influence on the sector was affirmed when I became the first Latin American to be elected Chairman of the Project Management Institute.

My work as a venture capitalist and entrepreneur in artificial intelligence, blockchain, big data, chatbots, and machine learning resulted in tools and products that have revolutionized how users bring agility and agile management into project management software.

More than two decades ago, I founded Macrosolutions, a global consulting firm with international operations in energy, infrastructure, IT, oil, and finance.

Between 2016 and 2020, I envisioned and led the Brightline Initiative, a Project Management Institute think tank in partnership with leading organizations dedicated to helping executives bridge the expensive, unproductive gap between strategy design and delivery.

Before Brightline, I was Director of the United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) Infrastructure and Project Management Group, leading over 1,000 projects and $1.2 billion in humanitarian and development projects. I was also responsible for the first ESG Report in the UN System, published in 2015.

I have a Ph.D. in Civil Engineering, an undergraduate degree in Chemical Engineering, and a master's degree in Industrial Engineering.

Is Agile Still Enough in the Face of AI’s Speed?

Ricardo Viana Vargas - 5 Minutes Podcast

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