Back in October of last year, I had the pleasure of discussing the "generational opportunity in energy stocks" with Leigh Goehring. At the time, he made a very compelling investment case for the energy sector and, in just the five months since then, it has nearly doubled in value. Leigh and his firm still believe energy offers compelling value but to truly appreciate it, it helps to also understand the related bubbles in both renewables and electric vehicles. In this conversation, Leigh's partner, Adam Rozencwajg, shares his views on the mania in these so-called green energy stocks, outlining why renewables and EVs are not the panacea for climate change investors believe them to be and why, ironically, the best way to profit from the transition to green energy may be in the very stocks ESG investors are shunning today. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com

Superinvestors And The Art Of Worldly Wisdom

#42: Adam Rozencwajg On The Speculative Mania In Green Energy Stocks

It was just over two years ago Diego Parrilla first joined me on the podcast to discuss his framework for analyzing financial bubbles and what he calls, "antibubbles." You may have noticed that the topic of bubbles and antibubbles has come up in both of my recent interviews with James Davolos, on the topic of inflation, and Adam Rozencwaig, on the mania in green energy stocks. Considering how relevant Diego's framework is to the current market environment and how dramatically the macro backdrop has changed since we last spoke, I thought it would be an opportune time to have him back for a follow up conversation. In this episode, Diego shares his views on the misconceptions underpinning all sorts of asset bubbles at present and how a paradigm shift in inflation threatens to play the role of pin to each of them. He also discusses why he believes cryptocurrencies are, in fact, a bubble and how they have created another opportunity in what he sees as one of the oldest and most enduring of antibubbles: gold. For links and notes related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com

#43: Diego Parrilla On Appreciating The Opportunity Set In ‘Antibubbles’

Julian Brigden is a master of models. In putting together his macro theses, which have presciently called major moves in everything from inflation and the dollar to the most popular manias in the stock market, he carefully studies inter-market relationships and correlations to come up with a framework grounded in real data rather than arcane theories and formulas. This practical and highly-refined approach has served him well for the ten years he has been running MI2 Partners and for years prior to that. In this episode, (recorded in Breckenridge, Colorado), Julian discusses how he developed this uniquely insightful methodology and how he uses it today to inform his own trading and that of his many institutional and retail clients.

#44: Julian Brigden On The Fed's 'Impossible Trinity'

One thing I try to do with this podcast, is to find people who are taking a truly unique approach to analyzing the markets, those taking the "financial road less traveled," as I like to call it. Well, Michael Oliver is surely one of those. There is traditional technical analysis, the study of charts which has been around for as long as markets, and then there is Michael's, "momentum structural analysis," which is an entirely original way of studying price patterns and trends. It was almost exactly two years ago, I first got the chance to interview Michael about his methods. In this conversation (recorded in Fort Collins, Colorado), Michael goes into even more depth about his analytical techniques and what they are saying about the markets today. For notes, links and charts related to this episode, visit TheFelderReport.com.

#45: Michael Oliver On The 'Massive Momentum Structure' In The Stock Market

For over half a century now, Kiril Sokoloff has not only identified in advance the most significant trends and innovations driving the markets and economy, he has also pinpointed the most attractive investment opportunities afforded by them. As a result, his firm, 13D Research, has become one of the most respected and influential services among institutional investors around the world. In this conversation (recorded in Sun Valley, Idaho), Kiril discusses how he developed and honed his investment approach over the course of his extensive and illustrious career and how he is using it today to isolate the most valuable macro signals in the markets. For notes and links related to this conversation visit TheFelderReport.com.

#46: Kiril Sokoloff On Seeking Truth In An Era Of Sophistry

David Hay has been managing money for over 40 years using a tried and true approach steeped in classic value investing paired with an appreciation for technical analysis that can only be developed through vast experience in the markets. What's more, David also has a unique ability to balance a healthy respect for risk management with an openness to opportunities that arise. This has allowed him and his firm, Evergreen Gavekal, to thrive even in the most precarious of market environments. In this episode (recorded in Coeur D'Alene, Idaho), David discusses how he developed his investment methodology over the course of his career, sharing some of the key tactics and techniques he has come to employ and how he is putting them to use today. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com

#47: David Hay On Balancing Risk Management With Timely Opportunism

Jim Stack has been assiduously studying markets in an effort to develop and hone a full-cycle investment discipline since he was first introduced to stock market risk back in the 1973-74 bear market. That experience instilled in him the modicum of skepticism needed to successfully navigate major market turning points, both tops and bottoms, as well as an infectious enthusiasm for investment research that still drives him today. It also set him on a journey that would eventually see him founding InvesTech Research, one of the most successful investment newsletters in the industry, and later Stack Financial Management, an SEC-registered advisory firm with billions under management. In this episode (recorded in Whitefish, Montana), Jim shares the key stories that shaped him as an investor and the lessons learned along the way. He also discusses how he developed some of the major indicators that drive his investment process and how they currently influence his approach to the market. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.

#48: Jim Stack On Charting A Course Through Stock Market Rapids

Todd Harrison is truly one of the good guys on Wall Street. After a career that took him from the Morgan Stanley options trading desk to running a major hedge fund and then starting a financial media business, Todd founded CB1 Capital several years ago. The firm, an investment adviser and manager, was born out of Todd's belief in cannabis as a relatively untapped source of wellness and as an investment opportunity. After a 9-month bear market that has seen stock prices in the sector fall, in many cases, over 50%, Todd sees what he now calls a, "generational opportunity" and, "the trade of a lifetime." In this conversation, and in typical Toddo fashion, he candidly shares his work and discusses his thesis behind the trade. For notes and links related to our conversation visit TheFelderReport.com.

#49: Todd Harrison On The 'Trade Of A Lifetime'

For long-time Superinvestors listeners, Kiril Sokoloff needs no introduction. Last summer, he was kind enough to host me at his home in Sun Valley, Idaho where we discussed much of the framework that makes up the foundation of Kiril's research and investment process. In this conversation, he shares how he applies this framework to the inflation debate and the most meaningful conclusions he has reached as a result of this process. Moreover, Kiril explains what it all means for the economy, markets and individual investors. For notes and links related to this conversation visit TheFelderReport.com.

#50: Kiril Sokoloff On The Virtues Of Just Watching The River

This is the third conversation with Diego Parrilla I have published as a podcast but the fourth time I have actually recorded a discussion of ours. The first time Diego was kind of enough to share many of the facets of his investment process, I found only afterwards that, due to a technology issue, the audio recording was sadly unusable. So I was very glad to prevent the possibility of another such mishap by having this conversation in person. Though it was the holy week of Semana Santa in Spain and Madrid was relatively quiet as a result, I found Diego and his team toiling away in their top floor offices at Quadriga Funds. Considering Diego's views have been so prescient of late and his framework for approaching markets so relevant to the current environment, I was especially glad to have the chance to talk with him again. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.

#51: Diego Parrilla On The Three Levels Of The Investment Game

For over 35 years now, Fred Hickey has consistently performed in-depth research into a wide variety of individual stocks and what drives them over the full market cycle. What's more, during that entire span he's distilled his findings into concise and actionable research for subscribers to his newsletter, The High Tech Strategist. In the process, he's earned a reputation among loyal readers for being both a beacon of true value at times of market opportunity and a voice of reason during periods of overzealous speculation. In this conversation, Fred discusses the recent mania in the markets, how it compares to similar episodes of the past and what those have to teach us about how the current decline in stock prices might unfold in the months ahead. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.

#52: Fred Hickey On 'Keeping Your Head When All About You Are Losing Theirs'

Known as "one of the greatest financial historians alive," Edward Chancellor has been working in the markets for three decades now; his study of finance theory, speculative bubbles and economics goes back even further. 'The Price of Time,' Edward's latest book, is clear evidence of his passion for the subject of financial history and his ability to convey the key concepts in an effective and uniquely entertaining way. The book does a masterful job of chronicling the modern history of easy money and explaining its many "secondary consequences," including, "the collapse of productivity growth, unaffordable housing, rising inequality, the loss of market competition and financial fragility." More than that, it takes the reader on a journey from the beginnings of modern central banking in John Law's Mississippi Company to today's fight against rapidly rising inflation pressures, imploring the reader to think critically about what it all means for the future of the economy and markets. In this episode, Edward shares his inspiration for writing it and his thoughts on what history suggests may lie ahead. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.

#53: Edward Chancellor On What History Can Teach Us About The True Cost Of Easy Money

Variant Perception is an investment research firm founded on the idea that man plus machine beats machine (or man) alone. In an era dominated by passive investing and other purely quantitative strategies with relatively short look back periods on the one hand and rampant speculation in meme stocks and other moon shots on the other, nothing could be more contrarian and perhaps more valuable than taking a more thoughtful approach grounded in historical context and driven by tactical tools that have proven valuable through many market cycles. This is precisely the focus of Variant Perception and its CEO, Tian Yang. In this episode, Tian discusses the details of the firm's unique investment analysis framework and, given the apparent paradigm shifts already underway, how it is especially valuable in assessing markets and the economy today. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.

#54: Tian Yang On The Virtues Of Variant Perception Versus Unconscious Conformity

My guest for this episode is Ben Hunt. This is Ben’s second appearance on the podcast. I had the pleasure of first interviewing him a few years ago and if you are not familiar with his work, I encourage you to go listen to that episode in which he discusses his background and the key concepts he utilizes in analyzing markets. It’s not at all necessary but his framework is truly fascinating and will give you a deeper understanding of what we discuss here. Today, Ben sees a pattern of rapacious behavior in the markets that extends well beyond the world of finance and impacts each one of our lives in very important ways. He also sees a glimmer of hope in how we can overcome it. For links and notes related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.

#55: Ben Hunt On The Big 'Bust Out'

My guest for this episode is Joseph Wang. Joseph is one of the most knowledgeable people I’ve come across when it comes to the world of central banking and how it intersects with markets. His experience on the open markets desk at the New York Fed gives him unique insight into the inner workings of the financial system and how it has evolved in recent years. In this episode we discuss the shift in both monetary and fiscal policy over the past decade and how it has crucial implications for investors in coming years. For notes and links related to this conversation visit TheFelderReport.com.

#56: Joseph Wang On How The Fed Forever Altered The Investing Landscape

This episode is long overdue. I've been following the work of Asif Suria for over a decade now and it has proven to be one the best sources of investment ideas I have come across. Asif tracks and writes about everything from predictive insider trading patterns to "ubercannibals," or companies that consistently use excess free cash flow to buyback significant amounts of stock over long periods of time. Profit opportunities created by corporate actions such as risk arbitrage and spinoffs are also featured prominently in his work. Essentially, Asif is a classic value investor in search of a catalyst and, as he consistently demonstrates at his website InsideArbitrage.com, event-driven catalysts can be some of the most effective means to realizing hidden value in the stock market. So it is my true pleasure to finally introduce you to my friend, Asif Suria. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.

#57: Asif Suria On The Virtues Of Event-Driven Investing

There are very few truly unique thinkers in the world and almost none of them regularly train their gaze on Wall Street. Peter Atwater is one of those rare few. Whenever a major news story hits the tape, it’s Peter’s opinion I look to to begin to understand what it means for markets and the world because of the grounded and clear-headed insight he brings to the table. Recently, Peter published a new book (The Confidence Map) that does a far better job of making sense of the world today than anything else I have read. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com/podcast.

#58: Peter Atwater On The Great Confidence Divide

Eric Cinnamond has been called "the godfather of small cap absolute return investing." From 1998 to 2016 he ran an equity investment strategy that handily beat the 8% average annual return of the Russell 2000 Index. But what's even more impressive is he did this while holding an average cash allocation of about 40% so his equity performance was roughly double that of the index. In this episode we discuss his background and his evolution as an investor. We also delve into his current process which entails his close study of roughly 300 companies. He reveals how he looks at business valuation and how he evaluates risk in that context. We also get into the current market environment and talk about how his discipline requires that he take an extreme contrarian position today both with his investments and his career. For notes and links regarding this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.

Superinvestors and the Art of Worldly Wisdom

#2: Eric Cinnamond on the Value of Absolute Return Investing

"Do what you love, with people you respect while serving the greater good." These are the words Todd Harrison lives by. In this episode we discuss how this motto has served him through his career in finance which spans three decades and how it led him to his most recent venture. Back in 2012, Todd said cannabis would emerge as "the single best investment over the next decade." He's now putting his money where his mouth is in starting the first cannabis wellness-focused hedge fund in existence. He discusses his framework for evaluating investment opportunities in the space along with some of his favorite individual ideas. Follow Todd on twitter @todd_harrison and @CB1Cap for updates on the industry. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.

#6: Todd Harrison on Taking the High Road to Wealth on Wall Street

Helene Meisler started her career on Wall Street when a career on Wall Street, let alone being a woman on Wall Street, was a contrarian move. She eventually found her way to working for trading legend Justin Mamis and has been charting the markets by hand (yes, that means pencil and paper) ever since. In this episode, she shares the smartest lesson she's learned in her career, her favorite stock market indicators and discusses her "fat pitch" trade setup. You can follow Helene on Twitter @hmeisler and read her daily column "Top Stocks" at TheStreet.com. For notes, links and charts related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.

#7: Helene Meisler on Good, Old-Fashioned Technical Analysis

Tobias Carlisle runs Carbon Beach Asset Management and is the author of several books including Deep Value, Concentrated Investing and his latest, The Acquirer's Multiple. In this episode we discuss both the similarities and the differences between the successful value investing methodologies employed by investing greats like Warren Buffett and Carl Icahn. Toby also shares his views on the "death of value," focused investing and position sizing and updates his views on some recent stock picks. For notes and links related to this Episode visit TheFelderReport.com/podcast.

#16: Tobias Carlisle on Beating 'The Little Book That Beats The Market'

Roger McNamee is one of the most successful technology investors of all time. While running the T. Rowe Price Science & Technology Fund, and generating a 17% compound average growth rate in the process, Roger made the unheard of move of committing capital, as a mutual fund manager, to venture investments in Electronic Arts and Sybase. From there, he started the industry's first crossover fund with John Doer, investing in both late-stage venture capital and public market securities. In March of 2000, he co-founded private equity firm Silver Lake Partners in anticipation of the tech bust and, in 2004, founded Elevation Partners where he would become one of the first investors in Facebook and other nascent tech stars. In this episode, Roger shares what made him so successful as an investor, how music saved his life and why he has shifted his focus today from investing in tech to warning of the rising risks tech giants present to democracy and society. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com/podcast

#18: Roger McNamee on Being in the Right Place at the Right Time (and Making the Most of It)

Jerry Parker began his career as an unfulfilled accountant looking for something more inspiring to do with his life. After getting rejected for several traditional jobs on Wall Street he responded to an ad looking for a handful of people eager to learn how to trade. It would soon turn out those early rejections were an incredible blessing in disguise because if he had been accepted to any one of them he would have likely missed out on the opportunity to learn from one of the true legends of finance. In the early 1980's, Richard Dennis hired Jerry and a handful of other prospective "turtle" traders and taught them the strategies that made him one of the most successful traders in the history of the Chicago markets. After managing money with Dennis for several years, Jerry went on to start his own firm and has been trend-following professionally for over 30 years now. In this conversation, he reveals what he believes helped him stand out among more than 1,000 candidates in the turtle program, what it was about trend-following that spoke to him and what about it should appeal to the average investor. He also explains how the average investor should go about implementing trend-following in her own portfolio. For links and notes related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.

#23: Jerry Parker On Finding Your True Calling In Life And The Markets

Erik Townsend is unique in the investing world for his deep expertise in two seemingly disparate fields: security technology and macro investing. This rare perspective gives him extraordinary insight into the intersection of the two and how they are likely to affect global markets in the future. In his new book, Beyond Blockchain, Erik discusses these trends in great detail, covering the history of money, the rise of the dollar as the world's reserve currency and the origin and evolution of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. Moreover, he imagines a future world order, not dominated by cryptocurrency, but enabled by the technology underpinning it and advanced by powerful macro trends already at work in the markets and global politics today. In this episode, Erik discusses why cryptocurrency, backed by cypherpunks and their acolytes, is doomed to fail at its primary purpose yet digital currency, backed by sovereign nations and inspired by the innovations developed by the crypto community, is destined to succeed in its place while displacing the dollar's global hegemony along with the massive implications of these developments for investors around the world. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.

#26: Erik Townsend On The Intersection Of Distributed Ledger Technology And Global Macro Investing

When it comes to global macro investing, Louis-Vincent Gave is one of the most interesting thinkers in the world. His firm, GaveKal, puts out some of the most compelling research on Wall Street and beyond and, as CEO, Louis' unique investment process is at the heart of it. In this episode, he discusses his family tradition in both the French military and in the capital markets, how he developed his own signature investment framework and some of the key themes driving his current views on markets around the globe. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.

#29: Louis-Vincent Gave On Staying One Step Ahead Of The Markets

You would be hard-pressed to find anyone who has done more to educate and inform individual investors about the fundamentals of effective investing than Meb Faber. Over the past decade and longer, through books like Global Asset Allocation, Meb has taken key concepts, which Wall Street has suggested for years are too complex for individuals to understand let alone implement, and made them easily accessible for almost anyone to quickly absorb. In this conversation, Meb discusses why passive investing as we know it today is not nearly as efficient as most believe, how owning just one fund allows him to be far more effectively diversified than investors who own dozens, why the investment industry as we know it today is in terminal decline and how investors and finance professionals alike should position themselves to take advantage of its evolution in coming years. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.

#30: Meb Faber On The Future Of Investment Management

Christopher Cole is one of the foremost thinkers and practitioners in the world of volatility trading. After beginning his career in Hollywood as a cinematographer, Chris took an interest in options trading. Eventually, this led to a job at Merrill Lynch where he was able to explore the subject of risk further and in a professional capacity. After personally profiting through employing his volatility strategies during the Great Financial Crisis, Chris founded Artemis Capital Management in order to offer his services to institutional and hedge fund investors. In this episode, Chris discusses his personal evolution as a trader and hedge fund manager and also shares his unique insights into portfolio construction gleaned from an extensive study of market history his firm recently conducted. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.

#32: Christopher Cole On Appreciating Risk

Mike Green has been in the right place at the right time for his entire investment career and not just by way of good fortune. Mike has an uncanny knack for finding value in the markets. After jumping into the small cap value game in 1999 and taking advantage of one of the best runs for value as a factor in history he moved on to explore opportunities in hedging via derivatives in 2006, just prior to the Great Financial Crisis. Shortly thereafter, massive mispricings in the option market driven by the sudden popularity of tail hedging strategies gave him a new source for profit. Then, well prior to the volmageddon episode of early-2018, he became aware of the fragility created by the increasingly crowded short volatility trade and designed a strategy to profit from its demise. As his track record demonstrates, Mike is one of the most insightful market detectives in the world and in this conversation he reveals where he finds the greatest value in the markets today. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.

#34: Michael Green On Detecting The Greatest Value In Markets Today

You could say that natural resources run in Leigh Goering's blood. The son of two oil and gas engineers, Leigh has spent nearly his entire life studying markets and investments related to commodities. Over the past 30 years, he has become one of the most brilliant and passionate analysts and money managers in the industry. In this conversation, Leigh shares the details of his macro and micro research process and how he applies them to investing in natural resource stocks. He also details the case for a coming energy crisis and why energy stocks present investors with a generational opportunity today. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.

#35: Leigh Goehring On The Generational Opportunity In Energy Stocks Today

At first blush, Keith McCullough may come off as just another brash and cocksure trader. Dig a bit deeper, though, and you'll find a calculating iconoclast driven by a deep desire to both continually improve as an investor and, ultimately, change Wall Street for the better. After starting in a job running buy and sell tickets, Keith worked his way up to running a portfolio and eventually to founding his own hedge fund. Today, he runs Hedgeye, a research service established with the goal of giving individual investors a look behind the curtain of a major macro hedge fund environment. In this conversation, Keith discusses how he developed his four quadrant macro framework that informs all of his investing decisions and how he uses it today. He also reveals how volatility can be used as a buy or sell signal and how getting fired taught him the greatest life lesson of all: to bet on himself. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.

#37: Keith McCullough On The Power Of Betting On Yourself

Jesse Felder worked for the largest firm on Wall Street, co-founded a multi-billion-dollar hedge fund firm and has been active in the markets for over 25 years. This podcast is his journey to talk with a number of superinvestors who have been an inspiration to him in an effort to understand what makes them so successful in the financial markets and in life.

Superinvestors and the Art of Worldly Wisdom

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