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READ [PDF] Thinking in Bets Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts  by Annie Duk
by Annie Duke

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In Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots' one-yard line, he called for a pass instead of a hand off to his star running back. The pass was intercepted and the Seahawks lost. Critics called it the dumbest play in history. But was the call really that bad? Or did Carroll actuallymake a great move that was ruined by bad luck?Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there is always information that is hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land inthe unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making?Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned business consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say "I'm not sure" in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players arecomfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomesand bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes.By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don't, you'll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making. You'll become more confident, calm, compassionate and successful in the long run.

READ [PDF] Thinking in Bets Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts  by Annie Duk

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For Blood and Money tells the little-known story of how an upstart biotechnology company created a one-in-a-million cancer drug, and how the core medical teamâ€”denied their share of the profitsâ€”went and did it again. In this epic saga of money and science, veteran financial journalist Nathan Vardi explains how the invention of two of the biggest cancer drugs in history became (for their backers) two of the greatest Wall Street bets of all time.His narrative immerses readers in the recent explosion of biotech startups, where vivid characters navigate a world of corporate intrigue and ambiguous morality. For the scientists, doctors, and investors who risk everything to develop new, lifesaving treatments, the rewards can be measured in billions of dollars. For suffering patients, the stakes are life or death. Vardiâ€™s story illustrates why itâ€™s so hard to bring new drugs to market and how profit-driven venture capitalists are shaping the future of medicine.

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***The Step-by-Step Guide To Building Your Gym***Tactical, actionable advice from the founder of the world's largest gym mentorship practice.Your business has two your operations and your audience.Each of those two parts can be built according to a recipe. And this is your recipe book.Written by Chris Cooper, founder of Two-Brain Business(TM) (www.twobrainbusiness.com), the largest gym mentorship company on the planet, "Gym Owner's Handbook" is full of actionable tactics that you can use TODAY to grow your gym.

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Read [ebook][PDF] Ruler and Compass Practical Geometric Constructions (Wooden Books)  by Andrew Sutt
by Andrew Sutton

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Since the earliest times, mankind has employed the primary geometric forms of straight line and circle, in art, architecture, and mathematics. Originally marked out by eye and later by use of a stretched cord, in time these forms came to be made with the simple tools of ruler and compass.This small book introduces the origins and basic principles of geometric constructions using these ancient tools, before going on to cover dozens of geometric forms, from practical fundamentals to more challenging constructions.

Read [ebook][PDF] Ruler and Compass Practical Geometric Constructions (Wooden Books)  by Andrew Sutt

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