Max discovers Pascal's Mugging, the counterpoint to Pascal's Wager. He speculates about the category of errors (and sometimes scams) made by doomsayers in every field including most recently general artificial intellgence.

Probability Distribution of the Week: Gamma Distribution

Ep. 268 - Pascal's Mugging, Doomsday Clocks, and the AGI Debate

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Ep. 268 - Pascal's Mugging, Doomsday Clocks, and the AGI Debate

The Local Maximum