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#1  NEW YORK TIMES  BESTSELLER • A bold work from the   author of  The Black Swan  that challenges many of our long-held beliefs about risk and reward, politics and religion, finance and personal responsibility 
 In his most provocative and practical book yet, one of the foremost thinkers of our time redefines what it means to understand the world, succeed in a profession, contribute to a fair and just society, detect nonsense, and influence others. Citing examples ranging from Hammurabi to Seneca, Antaeus the Giant to Donald Trump, Nassim Nicholas Taleb shows how the willingness to accept one’s own risks is an essential attribute of heroes, saints, and flourishing people in all walks of life.
 As always both accessible and iconoclastic, Taleb challenges long-held beliefs about the values of those who spearhead military interventions, make financial investments, and propagate religious faiths. Among his insights:
  • For social justice, focus on symmetry and risk sharing.  You cannot make profits and transfer the risks to others, as bankers and large corporations do. You cannot get rich without owning your own risk and paying for your own losses. Forcing skin in the game corrects this asymmetry better than thousands of laws and regulations.
  • Ethical rules aren’t universal.  You’re part of a group larger than you, but it’s still smaller than humanity in general.
  • Minorities, not majorities, run the world.  The world is not run by consensus but by stubborn minorities imposing their tastes and ethics on others.
  • You can be an intellectual yet still be an idiot.  “Educated philistines” have been wrong on everything from Stalinism to Iraq to low-carb diets.
  • Beware of complicated solutions (that someone was paid to find).  A simple barbell can build muscle better than expensive new machines.
  • True religion is commitment, not just faith.  How much you believe in something is manifested only by what you’re willing to risk for it.
The phrase “skin in the game” is one we have often heard but rarely stopped to truly dissect. It is the backbone of risk management, but it’s also an astonishingly rich worldview that, as Taleb shows in this book, applies to all aspects of our lives. As Taleb says, “The symmetry of skin in the game is a simple rule that’s necessary for fairness and justice, and the ultimate BS-buster,” and “Never trust anyone who doesn’t have skin in the game. Without it, fools and crooks will benefit, and their mistakes will never come back to haunt them.”    Read more

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Fooled by Randomness  is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are  The Black Swan, Antifragile, Skin in the Game,  and  The Bed of Procrustes . 
Now in a striking new hardcover edition,  Fooled by Randomness  is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb–veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and  New York Times  bestselling author of  The Black Swan –has written a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill.
 This book is about luck–or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill–the world of trading– Fooled by Randomness  provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives.
 The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world’s wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness.
 However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed–the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time–he embodies the “survival of the least fit.” Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru’s insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance.
 Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading  Fooled by Randomness  we can be a little better prepared.
  PRAISE FOR  FOOLED BY RANDOMNESS :
  Named by Fortune One of the Smartest Books of All Time
 A Financial Times Best Business Book of the Year 
 “[ Fooled by Randomness ] is to conventional Wall Street wisdom approximately what Martin Luther’s ninety-five theses were to the Catholic Church.”
 –Malcolm Gladwell, author of  Blink 
 “The book that rolled down Wall Street like a hand grenade.”
 –Maggie Mahar, author of  Bull! A History of the Boom, 1982—1999 
 “Fascinating . . . Taleb will grab you.”
 –Peter L. Bernstein, author of  Capital Ideas Evolving 
 “Recalls the best of scientist/essayists like Richard Dawkins . . . and Stephen Jay Gould.”
 –Michael Schrage, author of  Serious Play: How the World’s Best Companies Simulate to Innovate 
 “We need a book like this. . . . Fun to read, refreshingly independent-minded.”
 –Robert J. Shiller, author of  Irrational Exuberance  
 “Powerful . . . loaded with crackling little insights [and] extreme brilliance.”
  –National Review    Read more

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The author of the modern classics  The Black Swan, Fooled by Randomness,  and  Antifragile,  Nassim Nicholas Taleb expresses major ideas in ways you least expect in this collection of aphorisms and meditations—now expanded with fifty percent more material than the hardcover.
 The Bed of Procrustes  takes its title from the Greek myth of a man who made his visitors fit his bed to perfection, either by stretching them or by cutting their limbs. It represents Taleb’s view of modern civilization’s hubristic side effects—modifying humans to satisfy technology, blaming reality for not fitting economic models, inventing diseases to sell drugs, defining intelligence as what can be tested in a classroom, and convincing people that employment is not slavery. Playful and irreverent, these aphorisms will surprise you by exposing self-delusions you have been living with but never recognized.
With a rare combination of pointed wit and potent wisdom, Taleb plows through human illusions, contrasting the classical values of courage, elegance, and erudition with the modern diseases of nerdiness, philistinism, and phonies.    Read more

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