Thursday 4th August 2022

Nancy Pelosi has moved on from Taiwan and taken the cautious sentiment with her. Instead, very positive ISM services numbers in the US, and James Bullard talking about how the Fed will deliver ‘credible disinflation’, have seen the US dollar strengthen, helped shares bounce back and driven front end bond yields down. Today Phil talks to NAB’s Ray Attrill about what Bullard had to say, what to expect from the Bank of England today and whether Australia’s trade balance will actually increase, rather than the consensus view of a slight fall.

The Morning Call Podcast

The quick path to credible disinflation and other stories

Friday 5th August 2022

Markets continue to be pulled in two directions. Is inflation peaking with the hope of a soft landing? Or is there more to come, forcing central banks to lift rates high enough to spark a recession. At least the uK seems to have a clearer picture, but its not a good one. As NAB’s Gavin Friend discusses today, the Bank of England has lifted rates by 50 basis points, lifted their inflation forecasts and warned of five consecutive quarters of economic contraction. So, why is it so much worse in the UK than Europe? And could a change in Prime Minister change the outlook? He also talks to Phil about yesterday’s Australian trade data and looks ahead to tonight’s non-farm payrolls in the US.

Uncertainty reigns, except in Britain. It’s just grim there.

Investors and economists consistently talk about bonds, but what exactly are they, what’s their history, and why are they still such an important part of multi-asset portfolios today? Kat Mann, (savings and investment specialist at Nutmeg), and Gary Shepherd (investment writer), as well as guest Brad Holland (director of investment strategy), discuss all things fixed income, including why bonds are the Woody to equity’s Buzz in the big-screen world of global markets. Join us for episode three of The Nutmeg Podcast. 

Risk warning: As with all investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your portfolio with Nutmeg can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you invest.

The Nutmeg Podcast | What are bonds? An essential guide for investors

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Monday 8th August 2022

The US non-farm payrolls numbers on Friday were certainly a surprise to many, with 528k new jobs created in July, twice the market expectation. Wages also rose further. Phil talks to NAB’s Ray Attrill about the swift market response, with many assuming the Fed will go for another big hike at their next meeting. US consumer credit numbers on  Friday are also a forewarning of a difficulty period ahead for struggling housheolds. Meanwhile, Joe Biden’s Climate bill has just been passed by the senate – what impact will another splurge of government spending have on the Fed’s endeavours to bring down inflation. Speaking of which, US CPI is the number to look out for this week.

US jobs market too hot for the Fed?

Wednesday 9th August 2022

Markets are a bit in limbo today. We’ve seen bond yields reversing some of their initial response to non-farm payrolls, with the US dollar temporarily switching direction, and the Aussie and Kiwi dollars gaining strength. But for how long? NAB’s Skye Masters says what happens next will depend on US CPI numbers tomorrow. There was a glint of hope that the worst is over with slight decline in inflation expectations in the US and New Zealand. Certainly the NAB business survey will be scanned eagerly today for price movement.

Markets in limbo

In the 2nd episode of our special three-part series, we expand on the foundational considerations when evaluating a job change. What health and family benefits are being offered? Is the company financially strong, and will they provide adequate insurance coverage? What happens if the economy takes a turn for the worse? In this episode we explore some of the additional questions to ask and consider before saying “YES” to the job offer. As a listener, you are part of the process and we encourage you to ask questions, make comments and offer suggestions for future shows. To participate, please send an e-mail to victor@techgirlfinancial.com or join the conversation on  with Victor Gaxiola () and Kim Gaxiola () using the hashtag #AskTGF. We also encourage you to follow us on , and connect with us on  and .&nbsp; Episode Links:   with the TechGirl Financial Team   Securities offered through Registered Representatives of Cambridge Investment Research, Inc., a Broker/Dealer, Member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advisory services offered through Cambridge Investment Research Advisors, a Registered Investment Advisor. TechGirl Financial™ and Cambridge Investment Research, Inc., are not affiliated companies.&nbsp; Discussions in this show should not be construed as specific recommendation or investment advice. Always consult with your investment professional before making important investment decisions

S5EP11- Changing Jobs in Today’s Post Pandemic Environment: Foundational Considerations

Wednesday 10th August 2022

The long-awaited US CPI numbers are out today. NAB’s Rodrigo Catril most attention will be paid to the core reading, which excludes energy and food, the two factors which the Fed can have less influence over. If the core reading rises it shows the Fed has more work to do and that will only exacerbate recession fears. On that, we’ve seen the 2-10 yield spread falling ever lower to levels normally only ever seen ahead of recessions. China’s CPI and PPI reads will also be of interest today. There’s also discussion on today’s podcast on the NAB Business Survey yesterday – how can business indicators be so strong, whilst consumer sentiment is falling?

Inflation Day

Childcare is one of the biggest expenses for some families. Tune in to learn how to take advantage of the pre-tax benefits of a Dependent Care Flexible Spending Account. Notes: In this episode, Luis speaks about the following and more:  What is a Dependent Care FSA? Eligible Expenses Dollar limitations Coupling Dependent Care FSAs with other pre-tax benefits to maximize your tax savings  &nbsp; Resources:

118: How to Save Taxes by Using a Dependent Care FSA

Thursday 11th August 2022

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US inflation numbers were lower than expected, giving markets a major boost if confidence. Shares rose sharply, thew VUIX index fell to the lowest in quite a while, the USA dollar weakened, and the Aussie dollar was given a major boost. But will the enthusiasm last? As NAB’s Tapas Strickland explains, the falls were largely related to lower energy prices and the low-side core surprise was a payback for the high-side reading in June. In fact, the core reading is still rising and the Fed has made it clear they still have more work to do. So, can we expect markets to retrace their steps a little over the next day or so?

False hope on easing inflation?

Why markets rallied in July, despite raised fears of recession, and the latest in central banks’ stance against rising inflation. Dissecting the early results from the all-important earnings season, and the changes the investment team have made to Nutmeg portfolios. Annabelle Williams, personal finance specialist at Nutmeg, joins chief investment officer, James McManus, for a full run through.  

About this update: This update was filmed on 8 August 2022. All figures, unless otherwise stated, relate to the month of July 2022. 

Source: MacroBond, Nutmeg and Bloomberg. Risk warning: As with all investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your portfolio with Nutmeg can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you invest. Past or future performance indicators are not a reliable indicator of future performance.

Nutmeg investor update | August 2022

Friday 12th August 2022

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Markets are still behaving as though inflation will not reach the heights predicted by the Fed, and that the path of hikes will be downgraded. Softer PPIs in the US added to this sentiment. But NAB’s David de Garis says energy prices are the big concern. Brent is back over $100 a barrel, with concerns that European demand to substitute gas will push prices higher and add to inflationary pressures. But will inflation create a recession? GDP numbers in the UK today are expected to show a decline, yet unemployment remains persistently low, retail numbers are doing well and Dave says the streets of London are filled with people spending money. It doesn’t feel like a recession, whatever the numbers show.

Not convinced by the Fed

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Tuesday 16th August 2022

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The Aussie dollar has retreated from the gains at the end of last week, after a slowdown in China’s retail sales, industrial output and fixed asset investment. All grew well below expectations, as COVID continues to influence behaviour and, clearly, buying habits. We’ve also seen a big drop in oil overnight. NAB’s Ray Attrill says the fall is a combination of the weaker China data and signs that an Iran nuclear deal could be getting closer, which would see more oil pumped into the global marketplace. In the US equities continue to rise, even though the housing market is struggling, and the Empire State Manufacturing Index showed a massive (unbelievable) fall. The RBA minutes will be scoured today for any signs of the direction the bank will take now it is not, in their words, on a “pre-set path”.

Slow boat from China

In the final episode of our special three-part series, we share how to evaluate a new job offer to maximize your wealth opportunities. In addition to a higher salary, what other financial incentives are on the table to make the deal sweeter? In this episode we explore retirement plans, stock options, restricted stock units and other financial incentives companies use to attract talent. Learn how you can maximize your wealth building opportunities before saying “YES” and making a move. As a listener, you are part of the process and we encourage you to ask questions, make comments and offer suggestions for future shows. To participate, please send an e-mail to victor@techgirlfinancial.com or join the conversation on  with Victor Gaxiola () and Kim Gaxiola () using the hashtag #AskTGF. We also encourage you to follow us on , and connect with us on  and .&nbsp; Episode Links:   with the TechGirl Financial Team   Securities offered through Registered Representatives of Cambridge Investment Research, Inc., a Broker/Dealer, Member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advisory services offered through Cambridge Investment Research Advisors, a Registered Investment Advisor. TechGirl Financial™ and Cambridge Investment Research, Inc., are not affiliated companies.&nbsp; Discussions in this show should not be construed as specific recommendation or investment advice. Always consult with your investment professional before making important investment decisions

S5EP12- Changing Jobs in Today’s Post Pandemic Environment: Wealth Building Opportunities

Wednesday 17th August 2022

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Central banks continue to keep a close eye on wages data. The UK has just reported a drop in wages growth, alongside a fall in new jobs. We’ll see Australia’s wage growth numbers later today, which NAB’s Rodrigo Catril says shouldn’t be a big rise this quarter, but expect more in Q3 and Q4. Also today, the state of US retail, Canada’s rising inflation (despite all the front-loading of interest rates) and what to expect from the RBNZ. A busy day.

Retail, wages and RBNZ

According to the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, Americans are struggling with over $88 Billion dollars in medical debt. Tune in to learn how new medical debt reporting changes will impact your credit scores.&nbsp; Notes: In this episode, Luis speaks about the following and more:  New changes to medical debt collection reporting on credit reports Understanding your explanation of benefits&nbsp; Tips to navigate medical debt How to plan ahead in order to maximize your health insurance benefits and minimize medical debt  &nbsp; Resources:

119: How New Changes to Medical Debt Reporting Can Boost Your Credit Score

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We specialise in general investment accounts, stocks and shares ISAs, Junior ISAs, Lifetime ISAs and pensions. There’s a reason 200,000 clients trust us to manage over £4.5bn of assets, making us the UKs largest digital wealth manager. For more information visit https://www.nutmeg.com/
 
As with all investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your portfolio with Nutmeg can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you invest. Tax treatment depends on your individual circumstances and may be subject to change in the future. Nutmeg is regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.

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New tracks tagged #Bonds