How worried should Europe be about financial stability at a time of geopolitical and policy uncertainty and rising global trade tensions?

As we mark the 20th anniversary of our Financial Stability Review, our host Paul Gordon discusses the risks with expert John Fell in the latest episode of The ECB Podcast.
The views expressed are those of the speakers and not necessarily those of the European Central Bank.

Published on 25 November 2024 and recorded on 18 November 2024.

In this episode:
01:08: How worried about financial stability should we be in Europe?
03:37: The risk profile shift from inflation to growth: can it expose us to other kinds of risk?
06:50: Europe’s growth and productivity concerns: what role does finance play?
11:19: What are the risk findings related to the rise of passive investing in equity markets? 
16:23: Twenty years of the ECB’s Financial Stability Review – how effective has it been?
19:47: Guest’s hot tip
Financial stability expert John Fell shares his hot tip with our listeners.

Further reading: 

Financial Stability Review, November 2024
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/financial-stability-publications/fsr/html/index.en.html 

The future of European competitiveness: Report by Mario Draghi
https://commission.europa.eu/topics/strengthening-european-competitiveness/eu-competitiveness-looking-ahead_en

Ray Dalio’s “Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order”
https://www.amazon.de/-/en/Principles-Dealing-Changing-World-Order/dp/1982160276

European Central Bank 
www.ecb.europa.eu

Lifeline

Navigating financial stability in uncertain times

The global economy as well as the U.S. is heading for more volatility with 2024's issues becoming more severe in 2025 as expected.

The U.S. stock market is likely in an official "bear market" with more foreign selling ahead. The same expectation applies to the U.S. government debt marketplace with more selling of U.S. securities and higher interest rates continuing. The Federal Reserve’s buying of U.S. debt expected to once again prop up the debt markets but higher inflation expectations likely to continue to force U.S. interest rates higher. 2025, as expected, is shaping up to be a challenging year for both the employment and financial markets.


Ep. 137 - Prior Concerns Coming True... For Better or Worse

The postponement of sky high trade tariffs between the US and China has brought relief to financial markets.  A broad de-escalation of the Trump tariff shock is anticipated, despite lack of clarity on future levels.

Today we will review the latest on global trade, including prospects for an eventual US/China trade deal, as well as the real work impacts. And we will outline our tactical asset allocation response.

Presented by Aymeric Forest CFA, Head of Investment Strategy, Seamus Lyons CFA, Senior Investment Manager and Thomas Vogl, Portfolio Manager. Hosted by Lorna Denny, Investment Specialist.

This podcast is intended for professional investors, and must not be shared with a non-professional audience.

Not for Retail distribution: This marketing communication is intended exclusively for Professional, Institutional or Wholesale Clients / Investors only, as defined by applicable local laws and regulation. Circulation must be restricted accordingly.

This marketing communication does not constitute on the part of AXA Investment Managers a solicitation or investment, legal or tax advice. This material does not contain sufficient information to support an investment decision.

It has been established on the basis of data, projections, forecasts, anticipations and hypothesis which are subjective. Its analysis and conclusions are the expression of an opinion, based on available data at a specific date.

All information in this document is established on data made public by official providers of economic and market statistics. AXA Investment Managers disclaims any and all liability relating to a decision based on or for reliance on this document. All exhibits included in this document, unless stated otherwise, are as of the publication date of this document.

Furthermore, due to the subjective nature of these opinions and analysis, these data, projections, forecasts, anticipations, hypothesis, etc. are not necessary used or followed by AXA IM’s portfolio management teams or its affiliates, who may act based on their own opinions. Any reproduction of this information, in whole or in part is, unless otherwise authorised by AXA IM, prohibited.

Past performance is not a guide to current or future performance, and any performance or return data displayed does not take into account commissions and costs incurred when issuing or redeeming units. References to league tables and awards are not an indicator of future performance or places in league tables or awards and should not be construed as an endorsement of any AXA IM company or their products or services. Please refer to the websites of the sponsors/issuers for information regarding the criteria on which the awards/ratings are based. The value of investments, and the income from them, can fall as well as rise and investors may not get back the amount originally invested. Exchange-rate fluctuations may also affect the value of their investment. Due to this and the initial charge that is usually made, an investment is not usually suitable as a short term holding.

Issued in the UK by AXA Investment Managers UK Limited, which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority in the UK. Registered in England and Wales No: 01431068. Registered Office: 22 Bishopsgate London EC2N 4BQ

In other jurisdictions, this document is issued by AXA Investment Managers SA’s affiliates in those countries.

Panel Podcast - Have we seen the worst?

KOSEC Kodari Securities: Making Smart Investing Simple for Beginners

Don’t wait. Take control now — reach out to Michael Kodari and see how KOSEC Kodari Securities can help you build long-term wealth.

KOSEC Kodari Securities: Making Stock Market Investing Simple for Everyday People

How Beginners Can Grow Their Money with KOSEC Kodari Securities Investment Tips

In this episode of Investing, Markets & Money, we dive into gold and precious metals with Robert Crayfourd, co-manager of the Golden Prospect Precious Metals Fund at CQS New City.

The fund has just been named Best Investment Trust for Growth at the 2025 Online Money Awards—and Robert explains the strategy behind its success. You can find more on the awards here - https://www.thearmchairtrader.com/online-money-awards/

Stuart and Robert cover:
- Why small & mid-cap miners can deliver better returns than gold ETFs
- Central bank gold buying and the weaponization of the dollar
- The outlook for gold, silver, and other precious metals in 2025
- How geopolitical risk, US debt, and interest rates shape the sector
- The value of active management in mining vs passive ETFs

👉 Don’t miss Robert’s insights on why gold may still be “underowned” and how his team finds opportunities others overlook.
If you enjoy these conversations, the best way to support the show is a quick rating or review — it helps more investors discover us.

Listen on:
Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/2vfaIsYhqcRejpjWNqYF6f
Apple Podcasts - https://podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/the-armchair-trader-podcast/id1454640070
Amazon - https://music.amazon.co.uk/podcasts/68a66097-24d8-403e-a86f-70fab0d2d686/The-Armchair-Trader-Podcast
SoundCloud -  https://soundcloud.com/armchairtrader/
YouTube - https://www.youtube.com/@armchairtrader

Follow us:
BlueSky - https://bsky.app/profile/thearmchairtrader.com
Linkedin -  https://www.linkedin.com/company/10429893 
Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/armchairtrader
Facebook -  https://www.facebook.com/TheArmchairTrader

00:00 Intro to Golden Prospect Precious Metals [LON:GPM]
02:09 How flexible is the trust's mandate?
02:40 The global gold market
05:09 What has been driving the gold price up?
07:25 Geopolitical risk versus central bank holdings
10:55 Why buy an investment trust and not an ETF
12:30 Going on site visits
14:13 Managing risk
16:26 Political elements to running the trust
17:00 The trust's geographic exposure
17:47 Other metals besides gold: silver
20:55 Sustainability and corporate governance
22:41 Miners and government disputes, e.g. Barrick in Mali
23:56 Golden Prospect wins Best Investment Trust for Growth
27:08 Gold/silver producers using cash for development
28:12 Spotting takeover targets
30:20 How have ETFs affected the market?
31:49 The fund's subscription shares rights issue

Gold Mining Stocks 2025: Outlook, Risks & Opportunities, with Golden Prospect

This is the latest in my series of podcasts explaining how economics works in the credit crunch and now virus pandemic era. This week I give my thoughts on.  How worried should we be by the news of US regional bank loan write-offs/fraud?  With gilt yields easing, will it affect the OBR forecast and as a result allow RR to go easy with her tax raid? Is there not a danger that the bond markets will then force yields up if she doesn't appear to have tackled the deteriorating UK fiscal position?



Notayesmanspodcast350

Equity markets have stumbled after a strong momentum driven rally. Valuations appear stretched, meaning earnings growth remains critical.

Today we discuss the bubble question, the resilience of the US economy, and review our latest asset allocation.

Presented by Aymeric Forest CFA, Head of Investment Strategy. Hosted by Lorna Denny, Investment Specialist.

This podcast is intended for professional investors, and must not be shared with a non-professional audience.

Not for Retail distribution: This marketing communication is intended exclusively for Professional, Institutional or Wholesale Clients / Investors only, as defined by applicable local laws and regulation. Circulation must be restricted accordingly.

This marketing communication does not constitute on the part of AXA Investment Managers a solicitation or investment, legal or tax advice. This material does not contain sufficient information to support an investment decision.

It has been established on the basis of data, projections, forecasts, anticipations and hypothesis which are subjective. Its analysis and conclusions are the expression of an opinion, based on available data at a specific date.

All information in this document is established on data made public by official providers of economic and market statistics. AXA Investment Managers disclaims any and all liability relating to a decision based on or for reliance on this document. All exhibits included in this document, unless stated otherwise, are as of the publication date of this document.

Furthermore, due to the subjective nature of these opinions and analysis, these data, projections, forecasts, anticipations, hypothesis, etc. are not necessary used or followed by AXA IM’s portfolio management teams or its affiliates, who may act based on their own opinions. Any reproduction of this information, in whole or in part is, unless otherwise authorised by AXA IM, prohibited.

Past performance is not a guide to current or future performance, and any performance or return data displayed does not take into account commissions and costs incurred when issuing or redeeming units. References to league tables and awards are not an indicator of future performance or places in league tables or awards and should not be construed as an endorsement of any AXA IM company or their products or services. Please refer to the websites of the sponsors/issuers for information regarding the criteria on which the awards/ratings are based. The value of investments, and the income from them, can fall as well as rise and investors may not get back the amount originally invested. Exchange-rate fluctuations may also affect the value of their investment. Due to this and the initial charge that is usually made, an investment is not usually suitable as a short term holding.

Issued in the UK by AXA Investment Managers UK Limited, which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority in the UK. Registered in England and Wales No: 01431068. Registered Office: 22 Bishopsgate London EC2N 4BQ

In other jurisdictions, this document is issued by AXA Investment Managers SA’s affiliates in those countries.

Market Outlook Podcast - Are we in a bubble?

This is the latest in my series of podcasts explaining how economics works in the credit crunch and now virus pandemic era. This week I give my thoughts on why I think it is a bad idea that the UK is switching to issuing more short-dated debt? How has the UK bond market responded to the Budget? Will mutuals be affected by he cash ISA changes? Can you explain how student loans affect the UK public finances?

Notayesmanspodcast356

Founded by Michael Kodari, KOSEC is a leading Australian investment firm committed to empowering everyday investors through smart strategies, market research, and transparent guidance. With a focus on simplicity and performance, KOSEC helps clients invest with confidence and achieve long-term success.

This podcast is intended for professional investors, and must not be shared with a non-professional audience. 

Not for Retail distribution: This marketing communication is intended exclusively for Professional, Institutional or Wholesale Clients / Investors only, as defined by applicable local laws and regulation. Circulation must be restricted accordingly.

This marketing communication does not constitute on the part of AXA Investment Managers a solicitation or investment, legal or tax advice. This material does not contain sufficient information to support an investment decision.

It has been established on the basis of data, projections, forecasts, anticipations and hypothesis which are subjective. Its analysis and conclusions are the expression of an opinion, based on available data at a specific date.

All information in this document is established on data made public by official providers of economic and market statistics. AXA Investment Managers disclaims any and all liability relating to a decision based on or for reliance on this document. All exhibits included in this document, unless stated otherwise, are as of the publication date of this document.
Furthermore, due to the subjective nature of these opinions and analysis, these data, projections, forecasts, anticipations, hypothesis, etc. are not necessary used or followed by AXA IM’s portfolio management teams or its affiliates, who may act based on their own opinions. Any reproduction of this information, in whole or in part is, unless otherwise authorised by AXA IM, prohibited.

Past performance is not a guide to current or future performance, and any performance or return data displayed does not take into account commissions and costs incurred when issuing or redeeming units. References to league tables and awards are not an indicator of future performance or places in league tables or awards and should not be construed as an endorsement of any AXA IM company or their products or services. Please refer to the websites of the sponsors/issuers for information regarding the criteria on which the awards/ratings are based. The value of investments, and the income from them, can fall as well as rise and investors may not get back the amount originally invested. Exchange-rate fluctuations may also affect the value of their investment.  Due to this and the initial charge that is usually made, an investment is not usually suitable as a short term holding. 

Issued in the UK by AXA Investment Managers UK Limited, which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority in the UK. Registered in England and Wales No: 01431068. Registered Office: 22 Bishopsgate London EC2N 4BQ

In other jurisdictions, this document is issued by AXA Investment Managers SA’s affiliates in those countries.

This is my series of podcasts explaining how economics works in the credit crunch era.

The Armchair Trader Editor, Stuart Fieldhouse calls on his wealth of experience within the financial markets and extensive network of connections to bring you this investing podcast.

Stuart invites guests on to the show each week to discuss important themes within the financial markets. His guests include CEO’s of listed companies from around the world, from micro cap stocks to large established businesses. He speaks with Fund Managers about stock picking and the markets in which they operate, and he chats with Market Analysts about a range of topics that offer a broader view of the markets as well as insight on topical themes and trends.

Listen on SoundCloud, YouTube or wherever you get your podcasts.

The Business, Management, and Legal Programs Department at UCLA Extension offers more than 350 courses, conference, and seminars annually and is home to more than 50 professional certificates designed for working professionals and recent college grads who are seeking professional development in the dynamic world of business. Our courses are offered online or in the classroom, making it a flexible option for everyone.

The European Central Bank Podcast – bringing you insights into the world of economics and central banking. 

Our hosts Paul Gordon and Stefania Secola talk to experts about the topics and trends that matter to the eurozone economy today.

The views expressed are those of the speakers and not necessarily those of the European Central Bank.

New tracks tagged #FinancialMarkets