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Industry and Company Forecasting Certification Exam

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In our most recent podcast Barry Render interviews Todd Ahern, Vice President of Supply Chain for Ricoh, USA, the biggest producer of large printers in the world.  Barry and Todd discuss the complexity of supply chains for a global company with facilities in Asia, Mexico, and the US.

OM Podcast #23: Global Supply Chain Management at Ricoh USA

"Marine Heat Waves Make Tropical Storm Intensification More Likely"
By Roberto González
Published on Eos.org on 4 October 2024

Audio recording by Emily Dieckman

Marine Heat Waves Make Tropical Storm Intensification More Likely

"Las olas de calor marinas incrementan la probabilidad de intensificación de las tormentas tropicales"
De Roberto González
Publicado en Eos.org 1 de noviembre 2024

Traducción de Emilia Belia
Grabación de audio de Saul Villafañe-Barajas

Las olas de calor marinas incrementan la probabilidad de intensificación de las tormentas tropicales

"The Arctic’s Uncertain Future" 
By Grace van Deelen
Published on Eos.org on 15 November 2024

Audio recording by Emily Dieckman

The Arctic’s Uncertain Future

In this episode, Fisher Investments’ founder and Co-Chief Investment Officer Ken Fisher answers a new round of listener questions. Ken explains why the Trump administration’s pro-crypto agenda hasn’t changed his outlook on bitcoin. He also discusses how the continued development of the election vehicle market might affect the auto industry. All that, and much more, in this episode of the Market Insights podcast.

Visit our episode page, where you’ll find links to more information and resources to help you become a more informed investor. 

And if you have questions about capital markets, investing or personal finance, email us at marketinsights@fi.com. We may use them in an upcoming episode.

Ken Fisher Discusses Market Corrections, Bitcoin, the Auto Industry and more– February 2025

Probability is not what you think it is...

Episode 101 -Probability Is Not What You Think It Is

Prof. Javier Turen, Assistant Professor of Economics at the Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile shares key insights from his research, "Lumpy Forecasts: How Strategic Concerns and Consensus Pressure Shape Inflation Predictions."

Professional forecasters revise their inflation forecasts in a lumpy manner - characterized by infrequent but substantial adjustments. This pattern reflects more than just new information; strategic considerations play a critical role. Specifically, forecasters are more likely to revise, and to do so by larger magnitudes, when their views diverge from the consensus.

Using a fixed-event forecasting framework, we examine how both lumpiness and peer consensus influence forecast updates. We develop a quantitative model that combines Bayesian belief updating with revision costs and strategic behavior. The model replicates key features observed in survey data, including the lumpiness and apparent overreactions to new information. Importantly, it allows us to extract a "cleansed" measure of forecasters’ true inflation beliefs - distinct from the strategic and mechanical influences that shape reported forecasts.

Dr. Javier earned his PhD in Economics from University College London, and his research interests include Applied Macroeconomics, Information Economics, and Expectation Formation.

This podcast is brought to you by Global Management Consultancy. For more information, please visit www.globalmanagementconsultancy.com.

Disclaimer:

A. The background music used in this video is the property of its respective developer and is protected by Copyright. Although it is a free version, Business Talk, Global Management Consultancy and Deepak Bhatt do not hold the rights to this music.

B. Prof. Javier Turen has generously shared profound insights from his research on "Lumpy Forecasts: How Strategic Concerns and Consensus Pressure Shape Inflation Predictions," during his appearance on the Business Talk podcast channel. The uploaded video contains copyrighted material; therefore, any modifications to graphics, music, or the presence of the author or host are strictly prohibited.

All content is © 2025. All rights reserved.

Why Inflation Forecasts Are Often Wrong: Dr. Javier Turen Explains

Optimize your sales cycle with Commence’s Sales Tracking System. Track leads, quotes and closed deals in one platform. Get full visibility into each stage via interactive dashboards, forecasting tools, and customized reporting. Improve team performance, reduce manual tracking errors, and focus actions that close deals faster. https://commence.com/software-features/sales-tracking-system/

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Manufacturer of Customer Relattionship Management Software and Marketiongh automation services

Dan Vacanti and Prateek Singh drink whisk(e)y and discuss various facets of agile software development. From scotch to bourbon and from metrics to human behaviour, we cover it all.

Welcome to Business Talk, your go-to podcast for the latest trends, insights, and thought-provoking discussions in the business world. Whether you're a business professional, entrepreneur, researcher, or academic, our episodes will challenge you to rethink conventional wisdom and inspire actionable ideas.

Brought to you by Global Management Consultancy, we are committed to driving innovation and excellence in the business community. All content Copyrighted 2024 by Global Management Consultancy.

For more information about our past and upcoming podcasts, please click here:https://www.deepakbbhatt.com/businesstalk

Many investors want a one-stop site to access clear, credible thinking on the markets and investing. Fisher Investments Market Insights was created to address this need, providing succinct, entertaining and savvy thinking on global capital markets. Our goal is to provide discerning investors the most essential information and commentary to stay in tune with what's happening in the markets, while providing unique perspectives on essential financial issues.

Eos is a leading source for trustworthy news and perspectives about the Earth and space sciences and their impact. Published by the American Geophysical Union.

New tracks tagged #Forecasting