(5/18/22) What misses by Amazon, Target, and WalMart are telling us about the state of the consumer, which is the backbone of the economy. Markets remain in a well-defined downtrend, but are working off an over-sold status. All the free money that came into the economy is gone--here comes the post-sugar rush crash. The part of Keynesian Economics that everyone misses; Why proprietary investment vehicles might not be a good idea: No transferability = highly illiquid. Inflation is a monetary phenomenon, not the Russians. What inventory problems at Target &amp; WalMart are signaling; the brilliance of Container Store. SEG-1: Why Target Missed the Red Bull's Eye SEG-2: When Consumers Come Down from Their Sugar Rush SEG-3: The Problem w Propriety Investment Products SEG-4: The Monetary Phenomenon of Inflation Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, and Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFA -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mMA8HHyMwdI&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&amp;index=1  -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets &amp; Money: Is the Reflex Rally Over?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BQV7948NgeQ&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&amp;index=1  -------- Our previous show, "The Year of Shortages &amp; High Inflation," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MhJdOkKpejc&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&amp;index=1&amp;t=2638s  -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-disinflationary-impact-of-fed-policy-on-equities/  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sugar-rush-why-the-economy-will-run-hot-then-crash/  -------- Get more info &amp; commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #EarningsMisses #Target #WalMart #Amazon #GasolinePrices #Shortages #Inflation #Disinflation #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing

Should You Buy What They're Selling?

(5/19/22) Target and Walmart's warnings about future earnings pulled the rug out from under stocks Wednesday, essentially reversing all of the previous gains, going back to last week. The data suggests a recession is near, if not already here. (We raised cash in anticipation of the worst.) The current level of resistance will be important for markets to break above in order to get the rally back on track. Negative money flows have improved, providing a glimmer of hope for investors. The S&amp;P has been down for the past 7-weeks--8-weeks for the Dow--providing more seller pressure, and feeding seller-exhaustion. Could markets move lower from here? Yes. In fact, markets will open down following yesterday's extensive sell-off, which is not too surprising. It is important that markets hold intra-day lows from last week--down into three-standard-deviation territory. If those hold, it will set up a double-bottom, and there's plenty of resistance at the 20-DMA. Near-term, there are not a lot of positive catalysts to sustain that upward movement--so there still remains definite risk to the downside. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info &amp; commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/  -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tdz56bTK1CI&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&amp;index=1  ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #Target #WalMart #Disinflation #Consolidation #SPY #RiskReduction #Markets #Money #Investing

Warnings from Target Sink Stocks: What's next?

(5/19/22) Retailers' earnings reports are offering sobering insights to how the economy is really doing, and analysts are finally waking up to the realities. Is the Recession near, or is it already here? The benefits of Bonds is now more apparent than ever. The Markets' downward track, and the classic recession cycle at WalMart; why the Fed is using rhetoric instead of rates to address inflation. The Horror on Wall St. &amp; Negative investor sentiment; the need to reset excesses. How the government has become part of the economic cycle (and that's not a good thing). Defining companies' health: ESG Funds &amp; Virtue signaling; We question that Apple is ESG-friendly. ESG investing is a flawed thesis. Investors are going to chase the money; money is going to chase returns. SEG-1: What Retailers Are Telling About Inflation SEG-2: The Fed's Use of Rhetoric vs Rates to Address Inflation SEG-3: You Cannot Repeal Recessions SEG-4: Why ESG Investing is a Flawed Thesis Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, and w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2ECTIXYsO4M&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&amp;index=1&amp;t=2600s  -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets &amp; Money: Warnings from Target Sink Stocks," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f0Wydnvl3gQ&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&amp;index=1  -------- Our previous show, "Consumer Sugar-rush is Over - What To Do Now?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mMA8HHyMwdI&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&amp;index=1&amp;t=1s  -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-disinflationary-impact-of-fed-policy-on-equities/  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sugar-rush-why-the-economy-will-run-hot-then-crash/  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/this-is-nuts-why-we-reduced-risk-friday/  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/esg-investing-the-great-wall-street-money-heist/  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/wall-street-wins-again-as-esg-scam-infiltrates-retirement-plans/  -------- Get more info &amp; commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Target #WalMart #ESGInvesting #Amazon #GasolinePrices #Shortages #Inflation #Disinflation #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing

Why ESG Investing is a Flawed Thesis

(5/20/22) Waiting for the Bounce: Some people just aren't cut out to invest in stocks; Richard Rosso's Investing Opera; Why does Elon Musk want Twitter? Musk says ESG is a scam; ORFN--the anti-woke fund; the truth about Bitcoin; the positives of a Bear Markets: needed cleansing. How we're managing against inflation. Why you shouldn't benchmark to the top. Gasoline prices &amp; biking in Houston; Healthcare costs in Retirement; using HSA's as a confidence-builder. COLA increases for Social Security coming this fall; How many R's in withdrawal, Recession; Scooby-Doo's annudities. Why the 4% Rule worked...in the '90's. SEG-1: Waiting for the Over-sold Bounce, Rosso Opera SEG-2: The Positives of a Bear Market SEG-3: Gasoline Prices, Biking, Inflation Impact on Retirement SEG-4: SS COLA Increases Coming This Fall Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Up-mCl0M8sI&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&amp;index=1&amp;t=2588s  -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets &amp; Money: Warnings from Target Sink Stocks," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f0Wydnvl3gQ&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&amp;index=1  -------- Our previous show, "Why ESG Investing is a Flawed Thesis," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2ECTIXYsO4M&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&amp;index=1&amp;t=2600s  -------- Get more info &amp; commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #ESGInvesting #GasolinePrices #Inflation #Retirement #Healthcare #Disinflation #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing

Dealing with Healthcare Costs in Retirement

(5/23/22) Breaking through the markets' 20% barrier does not a bear market make, regardless of breathless media commentary. 20% off today's S&amp;P is merely a correction, thanks to the lone-term bullish trend of rising prices remains well intact. On Friday, buying came in in the late afternoon, holding onto support established earlier last week. Markets are looking to move higher this morning--an indication that the bottom could hold, and the first, key test will be right at 4,000, right where its 20-DMA is sitting. However, there are several downtrends with which to be dealt. The good news is that Volatility is not indicating a panic-driven selling bear market. While there is much selling pressure, Volatility has been declining, and the markets' decline has been quite orderly. After eight weeks straight of selling in the Dow, and seven-weeks of similar activity in the S&amp;P, it would not be surprising to see a couple of positive weeks in the markets at this point...offering a great opportunity to rebalance risk and reposition portfolios for what happens later this year as the Fed hikes rates and tightens policy. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info &amp; commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/  -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HKhlF7Qj_cM&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&amp;index=1&amp;t=2s  ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #BearMarket #Volatility #RiskReduction #Markets #Money #Investing

Why a 20% Correction Does Not a Bear Market Make

(5/23/22) The Dow is now stringing together 8-weeks of losses--its worst performance since the 1920's. Contrary to media claims of a bear market, the 20% drop is but a correction on the road to Bubblization: This will be The Most Forecasted Recession in history. Graduation Weekend at the Roberts' house; Davos 2022 = Pinky &amp; The Brain. When all the experts agree, something else is bound to happen; why buy &amp; hold doesn't work at the wrong end of market cycle. NABE Report: increased expectations for inflation and recession. The Bullwhip Effect in retail inventories will be deflationary. The Roberts' Pool Project &amp; Sugar Rush pricing; the next hurdle will be Labor and coming layoffs. Recession may not be averted, but will occur later than expected. Corresponding trends with Monkey Pox: Is God trying to tell us something? If the Apostles had cellphones...The Elephant in the room is the Demographics of Social Security (and why Obamacare is a failure): Demographics are Destiny. SEG-1: Markets' Minor Correction on Road to Bubblization SEG-2: High School Graduation; When Experts Agree, Something Else is Bound to Happen SEG-3: NABE &amp; The Bullwhip Effect; The Roberts' Pool Project SEG-4: Monkey Pox &amp; The Destiny in Demographics Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cSOqv7k7R7c&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&amp;index=1  -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets &amp; Money: Why a 20% Correction Does Not a Bear Market Make," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HKhlF7Qj_cM&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&amp;index=1&amp;t=2s  -------- Our previous show, "Dealing with Healthcare Costs in Retirement," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Up-mCl0M8sI&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&amp;index=1&amp;t=2588s  -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Economic Stagnation Arrives As “Sugar Rush” Fades" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-stagnation-arrives-as-sugar-rush-fades/  -------- Other Videos mentioned in this podcast: "If Bible characters had iPhones" w/ John Crist: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nt5k_tO6768 -------- Get more info &amp; commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #BearMarket #Recession #NABE #BullwhipEffect #Demographis #SocialSecurity #Obamacare #Markets #Money #Investing

Why the Recession Will Be Here Later than Expected

(5/24/22) Markets were able to hold support at last week's lows--and important test of the bottom, and a set up for a double-bottom. Unfortunately, markets are pointing lower following Snapchat's poor report, which is weighing on FAANG stocks, which in turn are placing a drag on the S&amp;P. A commonality of recent weeks has been a rally that gets sold-into, which has been the heart of the negative pressure on the 20-DMA. Price declines are also what's keeping the MACD signal in "sell" territory, and yesterday's rally did not trigger a "buy" signal. Because markets are so over-sold, we are expecting some type of intermediate-term rally providing investors an opportunity to rejigger portfolios and adjust for risk. There is SO much negative sentiment in the markets; when markets do what no one expects--that will be The Opportunity to take advantage of. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info &amp; commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/  -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N_aFa-LZJTU&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&amp;index=1  ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #BearMarket #Volatility #RiskReduction #Markets #Money #Investing

Will Markets Give Up All of Monday's Gains?

(5/24/22) Thanks to Snapchat and Mega, and their impact on FAANG stocks, markets sold off last week's gains. Price action remains negative; is relief on the horizon? LA Port activity smoothing out. Bad geopolitical news further weighs on markets, investors, and advisors: How to handle negative news in making investing decisions. At Davos 2022, Ray Daleo says "cash is trash;" why does the Dollar continue to strengthen" We're the cleanest shirt in the dirty laundry. The value of having a financial advisor--and what an FA is. Will the S&amp;P make it 8-in a row? Why true investors must think of doing the "uncomfortable." SEG-1: Markets in Need of a Reflexive Rally SEG-2: How to Manage Negativity for Positive Investing Outcomes SEG-3: The Value of a Financial Advisor (Behind the Scenes Look) SEG-4: Investing Inside vs Outside of Recessions Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Chris Behan, Business Development Officer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C7-Bzc9WImg&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&amp;index=1  -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets &amp; Money: Will Markets Give Up All of Monday's Gains?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N_aFa-LZJTU&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&amp;index=1  -------- Our previous show, "Wht the Recession Will Be Later than Expected," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cSOqv7k7R7c&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&amp;index=1  -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Economic Stagnation Arrives As “Sugar Rush” Fades" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-stagnation-arrives-as-sugar-rush-fades/  -------- Get more info &amp; commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #BearMarket #Recession #SnapChat #Mega #Geopolitical #RayDaleo #Davos2022 #CashIsTrash #DollarStrength #Markets #Money #Investing

Dealing with Negative News in a Positive Way

(5/25/22) Bonds have started to turn a corner in recent weeks, picking up their non-correlation relative to equity prices--exactly what you want if you're using bonds as a hedge against a stock sell-off. Taking a look at interest rates for hints of where rates are heading reveals much about the economy, and where it's heading, as well. As slowing in April of the rate of growth of inflation allowed interest rates to rise, so did May's reports of slowing inflationary growth, causing rates to drop. Interest rates are now sitting on critical support, and if the decline continues, we're expecting a break of about 2.7% on the Ten-year Treasury rate...pushing rates into the 2%-ish range. The significance of this is, stocks and bonds are starting to price-in slower growth, rather than higher inflationary pressures. So what to do about a very large short-position in Bonds? There's a good possibility of lower rates and higher bond pries through the month of June. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info &amp; commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/  -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f8nL3K0gZWc&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&amp;index=1&amp;t=3s  ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Bonds #EconomicGrowth #InterestRates #TenYearTreasury #Markets #Money #Investing

Bonds Are Turning a Corner

(5/25/22) Selling pressures continue in the markets, stringing together the most losing weeks since 1928, underscoring the importance of bonds as markets shift from inflation to growth priorities. Correlations and Causations of the Uvalde Shootings: coincidence of increased violence with growth in social media; the velocity of information makes it too easy to react &amp; respond. Why catfish live longer; the rich who want to raise taxes...and the unintended consequences for the less-affluent. Are credit spreads forecasting a Fed-engineer soft-landing? How the Fed views Markets: Cycle to Cycle. SEG-1: Importance of Bonds as Markets Shift Priorities SEG-2: Uvalde: Correlation &amp; Causation SEG-3: Noodling, Catfish, Multi-millionaires &amp; Tax Hikes SEG-4: How the Fed Looks at the Market vs the rest of us Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l1n-MUHuVuw&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&amp;index=1&amp;t=2576s  -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets &amp; Money: Bonds Are Turning a Corner," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f8nL3K0gZWc&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&amp;index=1&amp;t=3s  -------- Our previous show, "Dealing with Negative News in a Positive Way," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C7-Bzc9WImg&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&amp;index=1  -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Economic Stagnation Arrives As “Sugar Rush” Fades" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-stagnation-arrives-as-sugar-rush-fades/  -------- Get more info &amp; commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Bonds #InterestRates #Stocks #TaxTheRich #UvaldeShooting #SoftLanding #Markets #Money #Investing

Unintended Consequences of Taxing the Rich

Featured excerpts and interviews about life, markets, sweat-equity, and the pursuit of wealth in a capitalist  market.

New tracks tagged #Michael Lebowitz