157-103=57.9%= $46,150 profit year to date 

"You learn more from games you lost than game you won "

'Based on the search results, the performance increase associated with the Hawthorne Effect varies across different studies and contexts. Here are some key findings on the percentage increases reported:
General productivity increase: Data compiled by Levitt & List showed roughly a 10% per year increase in productivity in the groups following the start of the Illumination Studies, regardless of whether they were part of the control or the experimental group1.
Hand hygiene compliance:
In one study, antiseptic hand rub (AHR) compliance increased from 29% to 45% during the overt observation period, which is approximately a 55% increase34.
Another study found that hand sanitizer use increased from 1.48 dispensations per hour to 3.75 dispensations when the sanitizer station was visible to an auditor, representing a 153% increase4.
Antibiotic prescribing: Inappropriate antibiotic prescribing for viral cases was 29% lower when physicians were observed (46% vs. 17%), representing a 63% reduction24.

Patient-reported quality of care: Increased by 13% with direct observation3.

Paramedic reporting: The rate of incomplete paramedic reports declined by 20% after announcement of an upcoming quality-improvement audit4.

Educational research: Clark and Sugrue reported that uncontrolled novelty effects cause on average a 30% of a standard deviation rise (equivalent to a 50–63% score rise) in educational settings, with the effect decaying over time5.

It's important to note that the magnitude of the Hawthorne Effect can vary significantly depending on the specific context, type of behavior being observed, and duration of the study. Some studies found smaller or no effects, while others reported larger increases.

Hawthorne Effect Week 12 You Learn From Bets You Got Wrong Then Ones You Right

157-103=57.9% .= $46,150 profit

Current track record 

@josuevizcay X and IG

Crack The Code Every Pick Side And Total week 13 To Pay Bills

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Week 13 Monday Night Football Picks Include:

▶️ Good: (2:15)
Bills
Commanders Offense
Seahawks Defense
Bucky and Bryce

▶️ Bad: (18:32)
Kirk Cousins
Justin Tucker
Ravens Offense
Jets

▶️ Ugly: (30:34)
Bengals Defense
Chiefs

▶️ Week 14 Look Ahead Lines (43:22)
▶️ Browns at Broncos Monday Night Prop Pick (59:47)

In this week’s Bet the Board podcast, Todd Fuhrman and Payne Insider broke down the highs and lows from the NFL slate, plus an intriguing prop bet for Monday Night Football.

Good:

The Bills were back in form, delivering a balanced, dynamic performance on both sides of the ball. The Commanders offense showed real progress under Jayden Daniels impressing with strong execution. On defense, the Seahawks made a statement, shutting down a high-powered attack. Bryce Young and Carolina’s offense also earned praise for their improvement, as the QB continues to find his rhythm.

Bad:

It wasn’t a good week for Kirk Cousins, whose costly mistakes derailed his team. Special teams weren’t spared either, with Justin Tucker missing another field goal at a critical moment. The Ravens offense continued to struggle with consistency and execution in the red zone. Meanwhile, the Jets failed to gain any momentum offensively, leaving fans with more questions than answers.

Ugly:

The Bengals’ defense was exposed, unable to make key stops when it mattered most. The Chiefs, usually dominant, looked uncharacteristically out of sync, sparking concerns about their playoff readiness.

Browns at Broncos Prop Pick:

For Monday Night Football, Billy highlighted a prop bet for all to consume.

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Week 13 Monday Night Football Picks Recap: Browns at Broncos Best Bet

Football Picks

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Week 14 Preview Includes:

▶️ Packers at Lions (1:27)
▶️ Falcons at Vikings (12:18)
▶️ Seahawks at Cardinals (21:42)
▶️ Bills at Rams (34:07)
▶️ Chargers at Chiefs (44:55)
▶️ BEST BET (55:00)

The latest Bet the Board podcast with Todd Fuhrman and Payne Insider dives into some exciting Week 11 NFL matchups with plenty of insights for fans and bettors alike. Here’s a friendly recap:

Packers at Lions: The Lions look strong, with their defensive line trying to dominate against Green Bay's shaky offensive front. Add in Detroit's consistent running game, and they’re in a great spot for this division battle.
Falcons at Vikings: It’s a game of opposites! Atlanta leans on its run game to keep drives alive, while Minnesota’s defense has quietly improved. Todd and Payne highlight how clock control and key plays could decide the winner.
Seahawks at Cardinals: Seattle’s offense could shine against Arizona’s struggling secondary, but the Cardinals always have a wild card in Kyler Murray. His playmaking might make this one more interesting than it seems.
Bills at Rams: Expect fireworks here! The Bills’ explosive offense, led by Josh Allen, aims to exploit the Rams secondary. On the flip side, Los Angeles’ offense will test Buffalo’s defense with strategic play-calling.
Chargers at Chiefs: Two powerhouse quarterbacks, Mahomes and Herbert, square off. Kansas City’s defense could be the X-factor, putting pressure on the Chargers’ offense, which has struggled in the red zone.
Best Bet: The podcast ends with a solid recommendation for this week, based on game trends and value.
Catch the full episode for more details, predictions, and strategies—it’s a great listen whether you’re placing bets or just love football! Check out the Bet the Board site for all the action​.

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Week 14 NFL Picks Predictions Best Bets

173-112=60.7% (52.5% is breakeven)
59% you can live in Vegas as professional / 70=% Elite 
@josuevizcay ig X
$52,350...profit

Crack The Code NFL Picks Every Game Side And Total week 14 To Pay Bills

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Week 14 Monday Night Football Picks Include:

▶️ Chargers - Chiefs Recap (1:02)
▶️ Seahawks - Cardinals Recap (4:45)
▶️ Bears - 49ers Recap (7:20
▶️ Bills - Rams Recap (9:22)
▶️ Bengals at Cowboys (12:25)
▶️ Monday Night Prop Pick (29:07)

Todd Fuhrman and Payne Insider broke down the highlights from Week 14 of the NFL season, beginning with the Chargers-Chiefs Recap. Kansas City showcased the clutch gene, especially in situational football, with Patrick Mahomes excelling under pressure. The Chargers inability to manufactured more proved costly.

The Seahawks-Cardinals game highlighted Seattle’s continued evolution on offense, with Geno Smith leveraging the running game effectively. Arizona’s defense faltered, and Kyler Murray’s inconsistent play remains a talking point.

In the Bills-Rams Recap, Buffalo’s defensive adjustments were no where to be found in Los Angeles, especially in the second half. Josh Allen demonstrated his MVP-level poise, while the Rams offensive shredded Buffalo.

The Bears-49ers game saw San Francisco lean on their dynamic rushing attack and keep their playoff hopes alive.

Looking ahead, Payne previewed Bengals at Cowboys, highlighting Cincinnati’s offensive versatility and Dallas’ defensive challenges. Key matchups, such as Joe Burrow vs. Micah Parsons, could define the game.

Finally, the Monday Night Prop Pick focused on a high-value player performance bet, emphasizing an edge in market inefficiencies for a specific offensive player. The analysis was sharp, delivering actionable insights.

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Week 14 Monday Night Football Picks Recap: Bengals at Cowboys Prop Bet

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Week 15 Preview Includes:

▶️ Rams at 49ers (2:18)
▶️ Steelers at Eagles (15:44)
▶️ Bills at Lions (25:34)
▶️ Colts at Broncos (38:14)
▶️ Packers at Seahawks (49:25)
▶️ BEST BET (1:00:23)

In this week’s episode of Bet the Board, Todd Fuhrman and Payne Insider dive into key matchups and betting insights for Week 15 of the NFL season.

Rams at 49ers:

The Rams visit San Francisco, with both teams fighting for a playoff spot. Payne breaks down how the Rams offensive line against San Francisco's front seven. Todd discusses the importance of coaching adjustments in this division clash.

Steelers at Eagles:

The Eagles host the Steelers in what could be dangerous for some. Payne highlights Jalen Hurts and the Eagles ability to dictate tempo, while Todd examines how Pittsburgh's defense might slow down the high-powered Philadelphia attack.

Bills at Lions:

Buffalo faces Detroit in a game that could hinge on turnovers. Payne notes Josh Allen’s tendency to force plays, and Todd questions if the Lions offense can be stopped by the Bills defense.

Colts at Broncos:

This matchup pits two teams against each other with a different outlook at QB. Todd analyzes the Broncos defensive strengths and how they match up against Indianapolis’ run game. Payne addresses the QB battle and whether the Broncos can capitalize on home-field advantage.

Packers at Seahawks:

Green Bay travels to Seattle, where the 12th Man could play a big role. Payne examines how the Packers secondary might fare against Seattle’s dynamic receivers, while Todd focuses on Jordan Love's ability to navigate a tough road environment.

BEST BET:

The duo ends the episode with their Best Bet of the week, offering sharp insights to help listeners cash in.

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Week 15 NFL Picks Predictions Best Bets

Bet The Board FREE Newsletter with more Content & Advice. Sign Up Here: https://t.ly/sIXQl

Week 15 Monday Night Football Picks Include:

▶️ Good: (1:07)
Rams Defense
Josh Allen MVP
Cowboys
Davante Adams
Texans Defense
Buccaneers & Baker

▶️ Bad: (12:54)
Dolphins
Lions Injuries
Steelers Dominated

▶️ Ugly: (29:09)
Jonathan Taylor
Commanders Offensive Slide
Bengals-Titans issues

▶️ Week 16 Look Ahead Lines (41:47)
▶️ Bears at Vikings (43:11)
▶️ Falcons at Raiders (49:33)
▶️ Monday Night Prop Pick (56:55)

In the latest Bet the Board podcast, Todd Fuhrman and Payne Insider break down key takeaways and betting angles for Week 15’s Monday Night Football and beyond.

The Good segment spotlights standout performances, including the Rams defense tightening up, Josh Allen emerging as an MVP candidate, and the Cowboys continuing to impress. They also highlight Davante Adams’ production, the Texans improving defense, and the Buccaneers gaining momentum behind Baker Mayfield.

In the Bad category, the Dolphins struggle, particularly with offensive inconsistency, while injuries hamper the Lions playoff push. The Steelers lackluster showing is called out as they were dominated in Week 15.

The Ugly section doesn’t hold back, focusing on Jonathan Taylor’s backbreaking play and the Commanders offensive slide, which continues to be inconsistent this season. Additionally, ongoing issues with the Bengals and Titans add further frustration for bettors.

The hosts dive into Bears at Vikings, analyzing matchups and angles where Chicago might exploit weaknesses in Minnesota’s game plan. They also explore Falcons at Raiders, emphasizing key injuries and betting value in a clash of unpredictable teams.

To wrap up, they share their Monday Night Prop Pick, giving listeners a player-focused angle to target for value in the week’s finale. As always, Todd and Payne blend data-driven insights with sharp analysis to keep bettors informed.

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Week 15 Monday Night Football Picks Recap: Bears at Vikings, Falcons at Raiders

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Week 16 Preview Includes:

▶️ Kirk Cousins Benched (1:20)
▶️ Broncos at Chargers (3:38)
▶️ Texans at Chiefs (10:43)
▶️ Steelers at Ravens (20:08)
▶️ Eagles at Commanders (28:49)
▶️ Buccaneers at Cowboys (38:01)
▶️ BEST BET (46:36)

Todd Fuhrman and Payne Insider deliver a deep dive into the Week 16 NFL slate, kicking off with the bombshell benching of Kirk Cousins, discussing how this impacts Atlanta’s offensive identity and betting angles moving forward.

Game Previews:

Broncos at Chargers: Can Denver’s defense disrupt the Chargers, or will Justin Herbert continue his December dominance? Payne breaks down key mismatches in the trenches.
Texans at Chiefs: A potential mismatch on paper, but could Houston’s fight against top teams offer value against a banged up Patrick Mahomes?
Steelers at Ravens: A heated AFC North clash with playoff implications. Will the Ravens ground attack dominate, or can Pittsburgh's defense force a low-scoring grind?
Eagles at Commanders: Philadelphia's offensive line faces a fluid Washington front. The duo analyzes Jalen Hurts' growth and whether Washington can keep its playoff hopes alive. 
Buccaneers at Cowboys: Can the Cowboys defense contain Baker, or will Tampa Bay’s weapons finally click?
The hosts provide actionable insights, sharp betting angles, and the stats you need to make smarter wagers this week. 

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Week 16 NFL Picks Predictions Best Bets

In this episode of the Etoft21sports Podcast, host Erik dives right into the action at the 1:03 mark, breaking down the Thursday Night Football matchup between the Denver Broncos and Los Angeles Chargers. Erik shares his insights, analysis, and key takeaways from the game.

At the 4:03 mark, Erik shifts gears to discuss his DFS strategy, revealing which players he plans to include in his lineups for the upcoming NFL Sunday slate. Tune in for valuable advice to elevate your fantasy football game.

Finally, at the 8:01 mark, Erik is joined by special guest David (@bettordp21 on social media). Together, they share their top bets for Week 16 of the NFL season, providing listeners with expert picks to make the most of the action.

This episode is proudly sponsored by Boom Fantasy—download the Boom app and use promo code ETOFT21 to get started—and JustOutTennis.store—use promo code ETOFT21 for 10% off your order.

Don’t miss out on this jam-packed episode filled with insights, strategies, and winning bets!

Week 16 NFL Bets, DFS Lineup Picks

Sports Betting Podcast hosted by former Oddsmaker Todd Fuhrman and Professional Bettor Payne Insider talking NFL, College Football, and Basketball from Gambling Perspective every week on Amazon Music, Wondery, Apple, and Spotify.

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Ask yourself / who is making you money ?
The ESBC Sports Betting Podcast is a podcast focused on sports betting and handicapping, hosted by Steve "ESBC Guru" and "The Prognosticator." The podcast features
quantifiable value of all the games for free with logic. Then feature  discussions on NFL, College Football, , College Basketball, major horse racing and NBA Playoffs  as analysis of betting trends and strategies. The hosts offer insights and predictions on upcoming games and events, with the goal of helping listeners make informed decisions when placing bets. The podcast also includes guest interviews with experts in the sports betting industry, and occasional episodes covering topics such as bankroll management and sports betting psychology. The ESBC Sports Betting Podcast is available on various podcast platforms, including Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and Google Podcasts.
Bet The Process This is the CNBC Bloomberg Fox Business Of Sportsbetting

Making the lives of Sports fans better by giving them free actionable complete comprehensive information on every game to build their bank rolls 

The same process using decision science and math  you use to pick and investment is the same process you use to pick the teams that has the highest probability of monetizing your time watching the game 

Impossible to process all the information without collaboration

We are betting $1000.00 on every game we pick 

This is where Sportsbetting meets finance & wealth concepts education CNBC : Bloomberg of Sports betting 

We give out for free ; every play on every game 

 This Podcast is about  monetizing the sports betting market. We give the picks but also teach you how to make the picks yourself 

NFL Fundamental- Technical analysis from a betting standpoint to take advantage of inefficiencies in the market 

We do not need your money because we make money betting on the games ourselves ; but accept tips as a sign of good will 

Exactly one drink on us when you see you at the Sports Book 

In addition we teach you business and financial concepts 

70% Winning percentage is our historical average  - 52.5% is break even:
We provide  NFL NBA College Football Major League Baseball Sports betting  For Free
 Full Transparency  picks on a live spreadsheet before the games 
We give Actionable advice.
 Edutainment 
We interview NFL And upper level College Football and basketball coaches to get insight into the sports we cover 

We Use Business & Financial Concepts To Monetize Inefficiencies In The Sports Betting  Market

We Manifest making money watching Sports having fun
Raw Honest Educated Real Talk 

52% is break even. We are at 70 to 80%.  Very few others are. And those who achieve that percentage do not share every pick for free; on all the games 

Consistent profit; we multiply money: giving us the the benefit of compounding interest on our money or bank roll. The gap between 52.5% and 70 to 80% 

NO RECESSION ZONE - We have benefit from this process for 12 years. My wife only buys gas through betting money
We are the “real” Bloomberg ,CNBC and Fox Business Of Sports-betting 

For Free Full Transparency  picks on a live spreadsheet before the games
Went to high school with Florida State Football color man William Floyd who won a National title at Florida State & then a Super Bowl with Jerry Rice and Steve Young with the San Francisco 49ers 

And Tom Carter NFLPA won a national title with Lou Holtz and played 10 years in the NFL:

New tracks tagged #NFLpicks