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[PDF READ ONLINE] The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Incerto)

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&#8220 Joy is not made to be a crumb,&#8221 writes Mary Oliver, and certainly joy abounds in her new book of poetry and prose poems. Swan, her twentieth volume, shows us that, though we may be &#8220 made out of the dust of stars,&#8221 we are of the world she captures here so vividly. Swan is Oliver&#8217 tribute to &#8220 the mortal way&#8221 of desiring and living in the world, to which the poe

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&#8220Joy is not made to be a crumb,&#8221 writes Mary Oliver, and certainly joy abounds in her new book of poetry and prose poems. Swan, her twentieth volume, shows us that, though we may be &#8220made out of the dust of stars,&#8221 we are of the world she captures here so vividly. Swan is Oliver&#8217s tribute to &#8220the mortal way&#8221 of desiring and living in the world, to which the poet is renowned for having always been &#8220totally loyal.&#8221

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Skin in the Game     Fooled by Randomness     Antifragile     The Bed of Procrustes     Incerto, Deluxe Box Set       A bold work from the author of The Black Swan that challenges many of our long-held beliefs about risk and reward, politics and religion, finance and personal responsibility. An investigation about luck?or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Through deep investigation and insight, Antifragile reveals how to thrive in an uncertain world. With a rare combination of pointed wit and potent wisdom, Taleb plows through human illusions, contrasting the classical values of courage, elegance, and erudition against the modern diseases of nerdiness, philistinism, and phoniness. The Incerto Series is an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision making when we don?t understand the world. Makes the perfect gift for the perpetually curious.

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 A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yet causes massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we—especially the experts—are blind to them. In this second edition, Taleb has added a new essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.*2nd Edition, With a new essay: "On Robustness and Fragility""
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