The S&amp;P set an all-time high following Wednesday's softer inflation report. Ironically, Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia were the primary market drivers for the day. This continues to be a very lop-sided market; the deviation from the 50-DMA is getting pretty extreme again. Outside the S&amp;P, the equal-weighted index is underperforming, and that gap is widening. 40% of the Russell 2000, for example, is non-profitable companies. There's a very big difference between what's happening in the S&amp;P and the rest of the non-weighted world. Small- and Mid-cap companies are even more sensitive to economic data, and since 40% are not profitable, they're relying on debt; their survival is more dependent upon consumer strength and liquidity, which is waning. Despite yesterday's S&amp;P performance, the Russell 2000 is still below its peak of 2022. There has been similar, disappointing performance in the S&amp;P 600 of Small-cap companies. Also note: These companies do not do stock buybacks, so that "trick" for boosting shares does not exist for them. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO&nbsp; Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UrXTxLY9ihQ&amp;list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&amp;index=1  ------- Get more info &amp; commentary:&nbsp; https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/  ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SP500 #SP600 #Russell2000 #ExtremeDeviation #StockBuyBacks #AppleIntelligence #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #MagnificentSeven #FederalReserve #FOMC #InterestRates #RateCuts #QuantitativeTightening #PortfolioRebalancing #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #CruideOil #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

6-13-24 Market Deviation from 50-DMA is Extreme

June is half-over, and the stock buy back blackout begins today, removing that source of activity from the market. Economic data points continue to weaken, but Fed Chairman Jerome Powell wants to see "more good data." There is an alternative universe of debt; the Fed wants weaker economy so they can lower rates. The S&amp;P 500 sets another new, all-time high; Apple, Miscrosoft, &amp; Nvidia are driving the market. There is an ever-widening performance gap between the S&amp;P 500 and everyone else. Mrs. Roberts' Roomba and an FOMC Meeting recap; the economy is "normalizing." Jerome Powell's humility; interest rates are restrictive; the problem with being data-dependent. Elon Musk's pay package; markets are still being driven by fewer and fewer stocks; buy backs' influence on market performance; was Apply buying back shares to bolster reaction from Apple Intelligence rollout? What happens when correction comes; what will trigger. Chocolate chip cookies &amp; Cinnabons; the Bond market is picking up as consumer spending slows. there's plenty of room for downside in bonds; Gold's response to real rates. Speculation is driving gold. Private Credit opportunities and trends. Buy now pay later companies' credentials are very opaque; are you being rewarded for the risk you're taking on?&nbsp; SEG-1: Lopsided Market Response to FOMC Meeting/Inflation SEG-2: FOMC - The Economy is Normalizing SEG-3: Markets' Driven by Fewer Stocks - What Happens When Correction Comes? SEG-4: CPI &amp; Employment Data is Belying Deeper Problem Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EarrHemHx5U&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&amp;index=1&amp;t=5s  ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Golf and Investing: Mastering Long and Short Games For Success" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/golf-and-investing-mastering-long-and-short-games-for-success/  "It’s Not 2000. But There Are Similarities." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/its-not-2000-but-there-are-similarities/  "Are Economic Reports Pointing To A Recession?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Commodities And The Boom-Bust Cycle" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/commodities-and-the-boom-bust-cycle/  ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Deviation from 50-DMA is Extreme " is here:&nbsp; https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UrXTxLY9ihQ&amp;list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&amp;index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "Managing Risk &amp; Returns with Individual Treasury Bonds" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5E6tkkfvRTQ&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&amp;index=1&nbsp;  -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info &amp; commentary:&nbsp; https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #LaborMarket #Overstated #BLSdata #FederalReserve #Employment #ElectionCycle #JobStatistics #EconomicIndicators #DataDiscrepancies #UnemploymentRates #MarketDataAnalysis #LaborStatistics #JobMarket #EmploymentReports EconomicDataReliability #Markets #Money #Investing

6-13-24 Federal Reserve and BLS Labor Data Discrepancies Explored

Parsing the economic data; Bonds vs ETF's; how bond pries and interest rates move; couting on the income. Danny &amp; Jonathan address YouTube chatroom questions on Bond Yields and Buy/Sell dynamics; Dialing for Petro Dollars: A discussion of the US Dollar's strength, and whether it will still be the world's reserve currency in the future. Four good reasons to keep the Dollar. &nbsp;Transitioning into retirement, from accumulator to distributor, and dealing with the "squishy" side of retirement; finding purpose; activities together vs alone; planning spending allocations. The Dead Air nightmares; why Chick-Fil-A is closed on Sunday; the RIA Advisors Studio Orchestra; Roth conversions now against higher taxes later; crafting a strategy with Backdoor Roths. SEG-1: Parsing the Data; Bonds vs ETF's SEG-2: Dialing for Petro Dollars SEG-3: Dealing w the Squishy side of Retirement SEG-4: Dead Air, Blue Laws, &amp; Roth Conversions Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisors, Danny Ratliff, CFP, and Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_XdRXLssiy4&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&amp;index=1&amp;t=1s  ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Dollar's Death: Not So Fast" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-dollars-death-not-so-fast  "Four Reasons The Dollar Is Here to Stay- Part 2" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/four-reasons-the-dollar-is-here-to-stay-part-2  "Golf and Investing: Mastering Long and Short Games For Success" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/golf-and-investing-mastering-long-and-short-games-for-success/  "It’s Not 2000. But There Are Similarities." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/its-not-2000-but-there-are-similarities/  "Are Economic Reports Pointing To A Recession?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Commodities And The Boom-Bust Cycle" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/commodities-and-the-boom-bust-cycle/  ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Deviation from 50-DMA is Extreme " is here:&nbsp; https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UrXTxLY9ihQ&amp;list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&amp;index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "Federal Reserve and BLS Labor Data Discrepancies Explored" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EarrHemHx5U&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&amp;index=1&amp;t=5s  -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info &amp; commentary:&nbsp; https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Retirement #USDollar #ReserveCurrency #PetroDollars #RothConversions #BackdoorRoth #SquishyRetirement #RetirementPlanning #FinancialAdvisor #EmployerBenefits #RetirementStrategy #Working #FinancialPlanning #RetirementValue #MaximizingBenefits #RetirementAdvice #EarlyRetirementPlanning #FinancialAssistance #LongTermPlanning #RetirementGoals #RetirementSavings #FinancialHealth #AdvisorBenefits #Proactive Planning #RetirementSecurity #FuturePlanning #FinancialStrategies #RetirementHelp #Markets #Money #Investing

6-14-24 Dealing With the "Squishy" Side of Retirement

Markets have continued to grind along the 20-DMA. Nothing seems to be wrong, and markets are back to extremely over bought conditions. Upside has been limited, with small gains being made in markets that are very deviated from the 20- and 50-DMA. Corrective action is inevitable to relieve some of the over bought conditions.This has been a very narrow rally, with performance only in the top-most tier of stocks vs the rest of the market; there's a very big gap in performance. More and more stocks are not trading above their 50-DMA. Narrow breadth does not mean we're going to have a massive correction; it just means that fewer and fewer stocks, by virtue of their weighting in the index, are pulling the market higher. &nbsp;So pay attention to breadth; it is important, and it's getting weaker. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO&nbsp; Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hU7Wh4i51TE&amp;list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&amp;index=1  ------- Get more info &amp; commentary:&nbsp; https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/  ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --------

6-17-24 Corrective Action is Inevitable

Markets on Monday opened weakly, then rallied 1% to close ahead. Note, however, that while markets are making these advances, they're doing so on weak volume and narrow breadth, resulting in a market that is very, very over bought in terms of relative strength. &nbsp;The current deviation from the longer-term mean is getting fairly extreme. Typically, with deviations of this magnitude, a correction is sure to follow. Moving averages are like gravity, and the further you deviate from that average (price over time), the more they want to come back to earth. Given the current, extreme deviation, and the market as overbought as it is, some type of corrective action will not be a surprise. A correction now back to that moving average would be about a 4% decline, which will feel worse to complacent investors. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO&nbsp; Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6cK5F6C8sbw&amp;list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&amp;index=1  ------- Get more info &amp; commentary:&nbsp; https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/  ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #ExtremeDeviation #NarrowBreadth #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

6-18-24 What Makes Correction Pain Worse?

Markets are trading in a holiday-shortened week, thanks to the Juneteenth Holiday Wednesday. 50% of companies are now in stock buy back blackout period. Retail Sales report preview; a function of Consumer sentiment. Five Fed speakers out and about today; markets started weakly, then rallied 1%. Volume and breadth are weakening; markets are very over-bought and extremely deviated from DMA's; when correction comes... Is consumer sentiment on the rise? How best to balance portfolio mix (charts). When will the "Next Big One" come along? Query about going from 90/10 portfolio to 100% equities; you can always find a reason not to invest. Bonds vs T-bills vs Equities; What to do when there are no high-yiled, low-risk options? How to manage risk in volatile rate environment; why you should look at your portfolio only once a quarter; separate emotion from your investments. SEG-1: Markets Are Over Bought &amp; Extremely Deviated from DMA's SEG-2: Is Consumer Sentiment &amp; Investor Bullishness on the Rise? SEG-3: Managing Risk Before the "Next Big One" Comes Along &nbsp; &nbsp; SEG-4: What Happens When There Are No High-yield, Low-risk Options? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Sr. Fianncial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y7bl0kL73VM&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&amp;index=1&amp;t=2235s  ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Consumer Survey Shows Rising Bullishness" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/consumer-survey-shows-rising-bullishness/  "Inflation Print Keeps Fed On Track To Cut Rates" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Grant: Rates Are Going Much Higher. Is He Right?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/grant-rates-are-going-much-higher-is-he-right/  ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Makes Correction Pain Worse?" is here:&nbsp; https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6cK5F6C8sbw&amp;list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&amp;index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "Interest Rates: Is a Multi-Decade Increase on the Horizon?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7hFJaamK_m4&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&amp;index=1&amp;t=8s  -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info &amp; commentary:&nbsp; https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #InvestorBullishness #ConsumerSentiment #InterestRates #MarketCorrection #Homeowners #BorrowingCosts #Economy #JamesGrant #CyclicalPattern #MultiDecadePeriod #Consumption #HigherRates #EconomicImpact #HousingMarket #FinancialTrends #MonetaryPolicy #Markets #Money #Investing

6-18-24 Is Bullishness on the Rise?

National housing numbers and home builders' sentiment have been dropping of late, particularly in new home sales, which have been very weak. Initial Jobless Claims are expected to continue to click up. Rising unemployment could entice the Fed to cut rates sooner. One of the dichotomies we've been watching is market breadth, with the number of stock trading above their 50-DMA declining despite the markets' rise; the number of stocks climbing above their 200-DMA is declining, even though the market is rising. One of the biggest gaps, which hasn't been seen since the financial crisis, is the differential between the S&amp;P 500 and the Equal-weighted Index. RSP, the ETF for the Equal-weighted Index, is pretty stark. While the S&amp;P has been setting repeated, all-time highs, the RSP has really gone nowhere since about April. The rally since then has been conducted by just a handful of tech stocks. This level of under-performance in the equal-weighted index goes back to October of 2022, and the gap now is by about 50%. It's all about the differential in weightings in the indexes. This can not last indefinitely, and eventually this performance will reverse. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO&nbsp; Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qj2P5gV5qZk&amp;list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&amp;index=1  ------- Get more info &amp; commentary:&nbsp; https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/  ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #HousingMarket #Unemployment #JoblessClaims #FederalReserve #InterestRateCuts #MarketCorrection #ExtremeDeviation #NarrowBreadth #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #RSP #SP500 #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

6-20-24 Will the Fed Cut Rates Sooner?

Will markets exhibit the typical summer weakness? Prepping for the election outcomes; correction coming now and later. Preview of housing numbers and initial jobless claims; market breadth is on the decline. The increasing gap between the S&amp;P 500 and equal-weighted indexes. Lance discusses the relative strength of the Dollar vs other currencies. Petro-dollar fears and how you're being sold by Wall Street. Our narrative should be how to make money. The "demise" of the petro-dollar; keeping currencies all relative within a range is important for Trade. The Gold/Dollar dynamic; why the world transacts business in dollars: The need for a deep and stable currency...and safety. The importance of Rule of Law: How policy choices can errode trust in the dollar. The divergence between energy stocks and the underlying commodities; the cycle of commodity prices; a recession will cause the next price crash. Seasonality in the month of June; wrapping the Quarter + buy back blackout = market headwinds. Rebalancing is coming. The Ozympic conundrum. SEG-1: Summer Weakness for Markets? SEG-2: The Petro Dollar SEG-3: The Divergence Between Energy Stocks &amp; Commodities SEG-4: Seasonality in the Month of June; Weight-loss Drugs Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO&nbsp; Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://youtube.com/watch?v=i7k9Tvh-SzQ&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&amp;index=1&amp;t=1138s  ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Consumer Survey Shows Rising Bullishness" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/consumer-survey-shows-rising-bullishness/  "Inflation Print Keeps Fed On Track To Cut Rates" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Grant: Rates Are Going Much Higher. Is He Right?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/grant-rates-are-going-much-higher-is-he-right/  ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Fed Cut Rates Sooner?" is here:&nbsp; https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qj2P5gV5qZk&amp;list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&amp;index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "Retail Sales Disappoint" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Uo6SSkYzr8I&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&amp;index=1&nbsp;  -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info &amp; commentary:&nbsp; https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Dollar #Dollarization #Dedollarization #Misconception #Currency #StrongerDollar #CurrencyComparison #FinancialAnalysis #Economy #ExchangeRates #WeakeningDollar #GlobalCurrency #FinancialArticles #CurrencyTrends #PetroDollar #EnergyStocks #Commodities #Divergence #MarketSeasonality #Markets #Money #Investing

Debunking Dollarization: Why the Dollar Is Stronger Than Ever

Markets are performing the job of the Fed; is the economy stronger? Rich &amp; Jon look at the "Olive Garden economic indicator: Who's dining out, and who is staying in? How to unravel high restaurant prices 9and everything else, too!) Baby Boomers are still spending. Candid Coffee preview (egistration link below); Investor complacency is troubling. The Genworth settlement = 100% increase in premiums. Financial Dust Bunnies. Nvidia performance cannot continue indefinitely; the data the markets are ignoring. Social Security COLA adjustments to reverse; unrest is whoing up in election results; we are in the Fourth Turning; keep a global perspective. Both political parties are way off on tax policy; the truth about small business margins: They're razor-thin. Tariffs instead of taxes will not work; taxes generate more revenue than tariffs. Planning for higher taxes with Roth options. We don't have a tax revenue problem; we have a congresional spending problem. Why the Roth is never going away. What happens when current tax rates expsire; the Roth is NOT an emergency savings account. SEG-1: Gauging the Economy w the Olive Garden Indicator SEG-2: Investor Complacency &amp; Date the Markets are Ignoring SEG-3: How Tax Policy Could Shrink the Economy SEG-4: Why the Roth is Here to Stay Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s3o4Y6KSz1w&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&amp;index=1&amp;t=1316s  ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Consumer Survey Shows Rising Bullishness" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/consumer-survey-shows-rising-bullishness/  "Inflation Print Keeps Fed On Track To Cut Rates" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Grant: Rates Are Going Much Higher. Is He Right?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/grant-rates-are-going-much-higher-is-he-right/  ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Fed Cut Rates Sooner?" is here:&nbsp; https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qj2P5gV5qZk&amp;list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&amp;index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "Debunking Dollarization: Why the Dollar Is Stronger Than Ever" https://youtube.com/watch?v=i7k9Tvh-SzQ&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&amp;index=1&amp;t=1138s  -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info &amp; commentary:&nbsp; https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TaxPolicy #DonaldTrump #JoeBiden #MarketCycles #FedRateCuts #EconomicTrends #InvestmentStrategies #MarketPerformance #FinancialPlanning #MarketAnticipation #EconomicCycles #FinancialAdvice #FederalReserve #RateCutsImpact #MarketTiming #LongTermInvesting #EconomicForecast #FinancialMarkets #StockMarketBehavior #MarketAnalysis #FinancialPredictions #EconomicOutlook #MarketDownturn #InvestmentAdvice #FinancialCycles #Markets #Money #Investing

Could Tax Policy Shrink the Economy?

Markets got extremely over-bought last week, and on Thursday and Friday began to burn off some of the excess. Much of the activity was due to options expirations on Friday. Technology has been driving the S&amp;P, of late. Nvidia was everyone's concern over the weekend after a decent, 3% dell off. Markets are over-bought, and we're due for a correction, or at least some consolidation to bring the moving average up to markets, or prices must correct back to the moving averages. Investor sentiment is high, which is typically the time to be a bit more risk averse. Goldman thinks the S&amp;P will hit 6,300 by the end of the year; meanwhile, markets are at 5,400. It's not impossible, but...&nbsp; Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO&nbsp; Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9_N5nG1kXUA&amp;list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&amp;index=1  ------- Get more info &amp; commentary:&nbsp; https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/  ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #ExtremeDeviation #NarrowBreadth #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #RSP #SP500 #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

6-24-24 Markets Remain Over-bought

Market volatility closed out last week, as investors prepare to wrap June and Q2 business. Triple-witching Friday added to the excitement, and markets remain extremely over bought. The Conference Board's Leading Indicator Index has been negatice for 27-mos in a row; always a precessor of Recession. Lance discusses investors' two common mistakes when markets negatively diverge (w charts). A look at Market Cap Weighting vs Equal Weighting in porfolios; is it time for a clean-up? The problem with Economic Data and how it's derived: Sentiment surveys are not hard data points. Separate emotion from investing; measuring and managing risk. Lance's commentary on the week ahead. SEG-1: Economic Data Does Not Agree w "Strong Economy" SEG-2: Investors' Common Mistakes when Markets Diverge SEG-3: Market Cap Weighting vs Equal Weighting SEG-4: Problems w How Economic Data is Derived Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UlAv5bqFHWE&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&amp;index=1  ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bad Breadth Keeps Getting Worse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Remain Over-bought" is here:&nbsp; https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9_N5nG1kXUA&amp;list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&amp;index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "Could Tax Policy Shrink the Economy?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s3o4Y6KSz1w&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&amp;index=1&amp;t=1316s  -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info &amp; commentary:&nbsp; https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TradingTips #CommonMistakes #Overreacting #ActingTooEarly #RSP #SPY #NegativeBreath #InvestingStrategies #MarketAnalysis #TradingPsychology #InvestmentMistakes #CarefulTrading #FinancialAdvice #Reversion #BuyingAndSelling #MarketBehavior #EmotionalTrading #CautiousInvesting #PortfolioManagement #TradingDecisions #MarketTrends #StockMarketTips #TradingStrategy #Markets #Money #Investing

6-24-24 Avoid These Common Trading Mistakes

Did the darling of Wall Street take a drubbing? Nvidia headlines were rampant following its huge run and a 10:1 stock split. Now the stock has dropped 13% in three days. Don't panic. When Nvidia was trading at $1,000/share, and small ($50k) investors wanted to make it 1% of their portfolio, they could only buy one share. (In a $50k account, that's a 2% position.) There was no "reduction" in the position with those numbers; the only choice was to sell the share. That's the problem with small accounts and big dollar stocks, which makes risk management an all-or-nothing proposition. Heading into the end of the quarter, many fund managers have found themselves overweight with Nvidia stock, so they're selling off to take profits and rebalance portfolios. This should come as no surprise, so now, a correction to $100/share should be expected. That's a correction, not a crash. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO&nbsp; Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zO6Gwv9xAqs&amp;list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&amp;index=1  ------- Get more info &amp; commentary:&nbsp; https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/  ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Nvidia #PortfolioRisk #RiskManagement #StockSplit #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #ExtremeDeviation #NarrowBreadth #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #RSP #SP500 #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

6-25-24 What to do with Nvidia?

Fed speakers are out this week, talking the same game. Lance examines corellation between the Chicago Fed National Activity Index and economic growth, and what posts to X (formerly known as Twitter) are to be called. Who does the Fed depend upon for data? There are many divergences in the data; Nvidia's bad day(s): Stock split and 13% drop is a correction, not a crash. Doing the math to S&amp;P 6,300 and looking at the range of possibilities. We address the common investor's desire for a perfect low-risk, high-reward investment. Lance &amp; Jon discuss the unrealistic expectations and the growing demand for such ideal investments in today's market and economy: The search for a magic pill investment; expectations versus reality in market investments; economic uncertainty driving demand for low-risk options; the illusion of high upside with minimal downside; practical advice for cautious investors. Know what you own; best college degrees for money managers? &nbsp; SEG-1: Economic Data Does Not Agree w "Strong Economy" SEG-2: Investors' Common Mistakes when Markets Diverge SEG-3: The Search for Elusive, Perfect, Low-Risk Investments SEG-4: Problems w How Economic Data is Derived Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6g9HvIJSrPQ&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&amp;index=1&amp;t=3s  ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "S&amp;P 6300? Is That Outside The Realm Of Possibility?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-6500-is-that-outside-the-realm-of-possibility/  "Bad Breadth Keeps Getting Worse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What to do with Nvidia?" is here:&nbsp; https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zO6Gwv9xAqs&amp;list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&amp;index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "Avoid These Common Trading Mistakes" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s3o4Y6KSz1w&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&amp;index=1&amp;t=1316s  -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info &amp; commentary:&nbsp; https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Investors #PerfectInvestment #LowRisk #MarketUpside #MinimalDownside #MagicPill #Economy #MarketConcerns #Demand #RiskManagement #InvestmentStrategies #EconomicUncertainty #StockMarket #FinancialSecurity #InvestmentDemand #MarketRisk #EconomicTrends #FinancialPlanning #InvestmentChallenges #DownsideProtection #SafeInvestments #MarketFluctuations #InvestmentAdvice #FinancialMarkets #SafetyNets #Markets #Money #Investing

6-25-24 Is S&P 6,300 Outside the Realm of Possibility?

Markets are over-bought and can stay that way for a long time. Being over-bought is a function of momentum. A lot of market momentum will drive asset prices higher. This does NOT mean you won't see small corrections back to a support line...which tend to be buying opportunities instead of selling opportunities. Look at market behavior from November '23 thru march of this year: Markets remained over-bought until, finally, we got a 5% correction. Just because markets are over-bought does not mean they're not going to go up. This is why it's important to remain patient and not over react. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO&nbsp; Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zO6Gwv9xAqs&amp;list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&amp;index=1  ------- Get more info &amp; commentary:&nbsp; https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/  ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OverBoughtMarkets #MarketCorrection #InvestorPatience #Nvidia #PortfolioRisk #RiskManagement #StockSplit #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #ExtremeDeviation #NarrowBreadth #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #RSP #SP500 #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

6-26-24 How Long Can Markets Remain Over-bought?

Pre-debate, Consumer Confidence, and a rally for Nvidia: earnings preview &amp; market commentary: How long can markets remain over-bought? Investors' common mistakes: Acting too soon, and over-reacting. Markets can remain over-bought for a long time; a function of market momentum. Consumer confidence has been trending lower; the dichotomy of consumer expectations vs market performance. Vacation Theory &amp; Consumer Confidence: what policies were in place? CNBC Economists: 2nd Trump term would re-heat inflation? Why tariff;s lead to inflation (and how consumers get aroun them.) 44% of inflation is in housing; don't mix politics w investing. Market behavior under Republican vs Democrat majority. Nvidia dominates AI-chip market (for now); what happens when competition comes into the market. Computers w lab-grown "organoid" brains. SEG-1: How Long Can Markets Remain Over-bought? SEG-2: The Irony in Consumer Confidence SEG-3: Don't Mix Politics w Investing SEG-4: Who'll Compete w Nvidia? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO&nbsp; Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FiGzVkzaz-g&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&amp;index=1&amp;t=2s  ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "S&amp;P 6300? Is That Outside The Realm Of Possibility?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-6500-is-that-outside-the-realm-of-possibility/  "Bad Breadth Keeps Getting Worse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "How Long Can Markets Remain Over-bought?" is here:&nbsp; https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zO6Gwv9xAqs&amp;list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&amp;index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "Is S&amp;P 6,300 Outside the Realm of Possibility?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6g9HvIJSrPQ&amp;list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&amp;index=1&amp;t=3s  -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info &amp; commentary:&nbsp; https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Investors #Households #FullyInvested #Buying #Corporations #SamStovall #SP500 #MarketInvestment #FinancialStrategy #InvestmentTrends #ConsumerSpending #ConsumerIrony #Nvidia #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #Organoids #Markets #Money #Investing

6-26-24 The Irony in Consumer Confidence

Tonight's "great debate" doesn't mean much from a market perspective. However, with three months to go before the Presidential election, options markets have begun (already!) pricing-out the outcomes. Yes, Virginia, Wall Street bets on the election...just like they bet on everything else! Markets are fairly elevated, deviated way above long-term trends. There is nothing to suggest a bigger correction is in the offing...but, behind the scenes we see the correction in XLK, primarily due to the selloff in Nvidia. The trend for technologies may be fine for now, but hedge funds and Wall Street have been selling technology shares at a record clip. Money inflows have been chasing Nvidia by investors thinking it's going to go to the moon; it's not. There will eventually be a very significant reversal in Nvidia at some point.&nbsp; Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO&nbsp; Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a_zv7LpVACk&amp;list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&amp;index=1  ------- Get more info &amp; commentary:&nbsp; https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/  ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Nvidia #TechnologyShares ##XLK #OverBoughtMarkets #MarketCorrection #InvestorPatience #PortfolioRisk #RiskManagement #StockSplit #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #ExtremeDeviation #NarrowBreadth #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #RSP #SP500 #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

6-27-24 Why Is Wall Street Selling off Nvidia?

Featured excerpts and interviews about life, markets, sweat-equity, and the pursuit of wealth in a capitalist  market.

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