In this video, John dives deep into the often misunderstood world of trading probabilities and backtesting. He begins by breaking down the difference between theoretical/statistical probability and contextual/situational probability, focusing on what most traders rely on: theoretical probability. John explains how traders use tools like option delta to estimate probabilities and why these estimates might not always be as reliable as they seem.

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00:00 - Trading Probability
00:48 – Theoretical / Statistical Probability
01:53 – Option Delta Probability
04:07 – Falsehood – Not True!
05:30 – Backtesting Probability
08:19 – Have This Awareness
10:25 – Decision Points
13:53 – Join us!

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John Locke has been working with options for 20+ years and has built himself up as a leader in the stock options trading industry. Having trained now hundreds of traders, his natural ability to teach complex topics with clarity and passion has made him invaluable to the trading community. 

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*The result shown is from real-time, hypothetical trades such as those shown in the Options Trading for Income weekly webinar or Trading With The PROS biweekly webinars. Simulated trades are believed to be represented as accurately as possible, however, live results may have been different.  The result is shared as an example for educational purposes ONLY.

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John Locke has been working with options for 20+ years and has built himself up as a leader in the stock options trading industry. Having trained now hundreds of traders, his natural ability to teach complex topics with clarity and passion has made him invaluable to the trading community.

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