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There’s no question that Kamala Harris received a small bump from the convention and the debate, and after a 2nd assassination attempt on Trump the poll is still tied at 47% to 47%. The question we have though - is the race really moving at all? In battleground states, each candidate may have a small lead, but well within the margin of error. Because of these tiny changes are we over-reporting a race that is not moving and where neither candidate is really leading?

At the end of the day, this is a close race, and the possibility still exists for an October surprise or (another) black swan event. What does the economy do after the Fed’s rate cut, what happens in the Middle East, and what develops in Ukraine?  Those events will continue to shape the race and it’s simply a fool’s errand to make any solid predictions in a race this tight. 

We’ll also take a look at some previous tight national elections that broke in the final days and weeks and discuss what we might learn from them. 

Have a great week and we’ll see you next time. 

 Purchase John Zogby’s new book: 

Rowman & Littlefield: https://rowman.com/ISBN/9781538197158/Beyond-the-Horse-Race-How-to-Read-Polls-and-Why-We-Should

Amazon: https://a.co/d/j0zEuBJ

Barnes & Noble: https://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/beyond-the-horse-race-john-zogby/1145161336?ean=9781538197158

The Zogby Report | 09.20.24 - He Who Predicts is a Fool

The Winning Edge Investments 2024 Melbourne Cup Preview is with Dean Evans, renowned punter & founder of Winning Edge Investments, and Luke Murrell, founder of Australian Bloodstock and owner of two Melbourne Cup winners, Protectionist & Gold Trip.
 
In 2022, Dean and Luke both tipped the $21 winner Gold Trip in their top two picks, and in 2023 Dean & Luke both had Without A Fight as their top rated horse. Luke as a bonus also tipped Rustic Steel at $13 to win the Big Dance at Randwick.

View all Winning Edge Investments Membership options here: https://bit.ly/3klagTX

Want advanced betting education and free tips? Sign up to our free weekly newsletter and receive a 130 page Professional Betting Education Pack PLUS weekly tips from Professional Punters and advanced betting education! 🔥

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The Winning Edge Investments 2024 Melbourne Cup Preview is with Dean Evans, renowned punter & founder of Winning Edge Investments, and Luke Murrell, founder of Australian Bloodstock and owner of two Melbourne Cup winners, Protectionist & Gold Trip.
 
In 2022, Dean and Luke both tipped the $21 winner Gold Trip in their top two picks, and in 2023 Dean & Luke both had Without A Fight as their top rated horse. Luke as a bonus also tipped Rustic Steel at $13 to win the Big Dance at Randwick.

View all Winning Edge Investments Membership options here: https://bit.ly/3klagTX

Want advanced betting education and free tips? Sign up to our free weekly newsletter and receive a 130 page Professional Betting Education Pack PLUS weekly tips from Professional Punters and advanced betting education! 🔥

Sign up here: https://bit.ly/3lAXUq7

Hit the SUBSCRIBE button for more advanced horse racing and sports betting education!

SmartB is an Australian platform that offers a comprehensive Smart Odds Comparison service, enabling users to evaluate and select the most favourable betting odds across various sports and racing events.

Learn more here: https://smartb.com.au/soc-signup  

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Melbourne Cup 2024 | Winning Edge Expert Panel Preview

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