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Mathematics, Probability and Statistics for Finance Certification Exam

The Library of Babel is repository of every book ever written... if you can find it.

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Credits:
The Library of Babel
Episode 463; September 5, 2024
Produced, Written & Narrated by: Isaac Arthur
Editor: Lukas Konecny
Select imagery/video supplied by Getty Images
Music Courtesy of Epidemic Sound http://epidemicsound.com/creator
Stellardrone, "Red Giant", "Ultra Deep Field", "Cosmic Sunrise"
Sergey Cheremisinov, "Labyrinth"
Lombus, "Hydrogen Sonata", "Cosmic Soup"

The Library Of Babel

In this video, John dives deep into the often misunderstood world of trading probabilities and backtesting. He begins by breaking down the difference between theoretical/statistical probability and contextual/situational probability, focusing on what most traders rely on: theoretical probability. John explains how traders use tools like option delta to estimate probabilities and why these estimates might not always be as reliable as they seem.

Join Us! - https://www.lockeinyoursuccess.com/memberships/

00:00 - Trading Probability
00:48 – Theoretical / Statistical Probability
01:53 – Option Delta Probability
04:07 – Falsehood – Not True!
05:30 – Backtesting Probability
08:19 – Have This Awareness
10:25 – Decision Points
13:53 – Join us!

Join our Market Outlook Membership! https://www.lockeinyoursuccess.com/market-outlook-membership/

John Locke has been working with options for 20+ years and has built himself up as a leader in the stock options trading industry. Having trained now hundreds of traders, his natural ability to teach complex topics with clarity and passion has made him invaluable to the trading community. 

#Trading #MarketAnalysis #TradingStrategies #Investment #StockMarket

*The result shown is from real-time, hypothetical trades such as those shown in the Options Trading for Income weekly webinar or Trading With The PROS biweekly webinars. Simulated trades are believed to be represented as accurately as possible, however, live results may have been different.  The result is shared as an example for educational purposes ONLY.

Trading Risks Hidden in Probability

Artista: @ap213
Sello: @absolute-probability

Nos complace presentar en exclusiva "Ultralight", el primer sencillo en solitario de Ethan Janais. Tras dos décadas explorando diversos géneros con su banda Echo Us, desde el rock progresivo hasta el folk y el ambient, Ethan nos muestra su faceta más electrónica en este nuevo lanzamiento. "Ultralight" destaca por sus atmósferas envolventes y su producción meticulosa, dejando claro su amor por la música electrónica.

El lanzamiento está previsto para el 19 de septiembre de 2024 bajo el sello Absolute Probability Recordings. Una obra imprescindible para los amantes de la música electrónica ambiental.

PREMIERE: Ethan Janais - Ultralight [Absolute Probability Recordings]

Probability is not what you think it is...

Episode 101 -Probability Is Not What You Think It Is

The probability of me being born precisely in this psychophysical and genetic constellation if close to zero. And still I stand here, absurd and proud, A fluke that shouted through the crowd: “I beat the odds!” 

Dice of Destiny

Original illustration is by c_nastik (nastya 🦋☔️).

https://x.com/c_nastik/status/1877419042312454475/photo/1
https://nastyamain.carrd.co
https://vgen.co/c_nastik

.⊹(﹙˓˗ˏˋ🌟ˎˊ˗˒﹚)⊹₊ฅ≽(•⩊•マ≼
⭒₊⊹( NO AI🚫)⊹₊⭒
˖ ࣪☆⊹ ࣪ ˖ ࣪⊹ ࣪ ★ ⋆.˚ ⊹ ࣪
࣪ ˖⋆˚★ ₊ ⊹　 ࣪˖ ࣪ ₊ ࣪ ˖　
. ݁　⊹ ࣪ ˖　　　 ࣪ ˖
　　. ݁　　　 ݁
　　.

˗ˏˋ⚞⦒⦕⦑🌟⦒⦖⦑⚟ˎˊ˗

Smooth and rhythmic flow about probability.  Feel the heart and rhythm about different distributions.

Lyrics:

It starts with a curve, smooth and wide,  
Symmetric like moonlight on either side.  
The normal distribution, bell-shaped and clean,  
Mean in the middle, where the data convene.  

Standard deviation, that spread of the sound,  
Tells you how far the numbers rebound.  
68 percent in one sigma’s sway,  
Then 95, and 99, they say.  

We’re swingin’ to the odds, in a world so precise,  
Where randomness grooves and patterns entice.  
From binomial beats to Poisson’s surprise,  
Probability’s rhythm never lies.  

Binomial flips like a coin in the air,  
Success or fail, it’s a binary affair.  
Poisson pops when the rare things arrive,  
Like meteors falling or bees in a hive.  

Exponential fades like a jazz note’s decay,  
Time 'til the next hit, drifting away.  
Each distribution, a story it tells,  
In the scatter of stars or the ringing of bells.  

So plot that curve, let the histogram rise,  
Data’s got soul, and stats never lie.  
From the tails to the peak, it’s a musical ride,  
Where math meets the melody deep inside.  

We’re swingin’ to the odds, in a world so precise,  
Where randomness grooves and patterns entice.  
From binomial beats to Poisson’s surprise,  
Probability’s rhythm never lies.  

So let the numbers dance, let the data sing,  
In the heart of the curve, we find everything.  
Swingin’ to the odds, with a soulful sway,  
Where chance writes the music we play.


Swingin' To The Odds (Probability)

Piers is joined by mathematician and university lecturer Dr Ian Storey to discuss how lessons from business school on understanding risk can provide useful life lessons. Ian explains how fear of losing prevents many people from making a good bet and how success depends on a degree of risk. But risk is everywhere - from investing in equities to fixed income from bank deposits.

Not Investment Advice (from a Geek in the Business School)

Broadcast every Tuesday at 11am AEDT on Radio Port Phillip 98.7 or 98.3 FM. It’s your weekly dose of science and technology.

Including features on cool gadgets, website reviews, the latest science and IT news, not to mention astronomy and space exploration.

http://beyondinfinity.com.au/

Special thanks to John Young, Paul Wattie, Steve Meyers, Brendon Telfer and the team at RPPfm.

Enjoy Our Exclusive Premieres and Radio shows on https://ibizasonica.com

Curated by @modernphase

A Platonic philosopher in love with the cosmic harmony

Pun father of 3, proud military retiree, mediocre engineer, karaoke delight.  

Using AI tools to produce educational and technical jams that real musicians wouldn't care to create.

John Locke has been working with options for 20+ years and has built himself up as a leader in the stock options trading industry. Having trained now hundreds of traders, his natural ability to teach complex topics with clarity and passion has made him invaluable to the trading community.

Dan Vacanti and Prateek Singh drink whisk(e)y and discuss various facets of agile software development. From scotch to bourbon and from metrics to human behaviour, we cover it all.

Correlation ≅ Causation
Perception ≅ Reality

Music is a beautiful facet of a vast spatial-temporal construct.

NEXT RELEASE FEATURING OUR HIT SINGLE ENNOIA COMING NOVEMBER 11th to all streaming platforms! New unreleased music alongside some of our classics re-imagine the way we wanted them all along. 

Candented is JS. ~ https://linktr.ee/candented

This project is partly funded by the South Carolina Arts Commission, supported by the National Endowment for the Arts.

This project is also funded in part by a generous award from the John and Susan Bennett Memorial 
Arts Fund of The Coastal Community Foundation of South Carolina.

Now on Spotify and most streaming services.

I will never allow a song purely AI on my profile - no offense to those who express themselves through that interface. There is something to learning the art of a practice rather than just the practice itself. Its a mindset of creativity that I hope the AI interface leads everyone to learn more about.
I have begun to work with a single engineer who has shown me their production workflow and is transparent in their use of AI. I will be noting that the song has used the producer. The producer I will work with is named "A[REDACTED]I". 
I like this name for their studio which I feel clearly indicates in their name that they use AI for some mastering and final works.

New tracks tagged #probability