(10/6/22) Gasoline prices are back on the rise with OPEC's production cuts; Joe Biden's solution: Tap the Strategic Petroleum Reserve as winter looms, and demand for fuel oil will increase, resulting in greater expenses for an already strapped consumer. Markets are oversold with a drop in negative sentiment; yet no Fed pivot in sight. Will the Fed continue until something breaks? There are now $60-T in derivatives hanging out, all based on historical models that don't always predict everything. What happens when the models break? The Sub-prime fiasco was derivatives based on derivatives. Oil prices are on the rise, creating more financial pressure for consumers. The US is still a net-importer of oil. What happens when the US bids to replenish the SPR? Financial Stress and the Risk of Recession: The Fed's murky path. Is this the real Fed, or a Halloween mask? Is the Fed playing an economic game or a political one?
SEG-1: Gasoline Prices are Back on the Rise
SEG-2: What Happens When the Financial Models Break?
SEG-3: The Politics of Energy
SEG-4: Financial Stress & The Fed's Murky Path
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA 
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
--------
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M2qsW-51p78&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2681s
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Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Does OPEC's Production Cuts Mean for Oil Prices?" is here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=42zRvXF7K-I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
--------
Our previous show is here:
"THe House Price Plunge: Opportunity for Cash?"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GX00_CHT2qo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2690s 
--------
Get more info & commentary: 
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
--------
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
--------
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com
Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
--------
Subscribe to RIA Pro:
https://riapro.net/home
--------
Connect with us on social:
https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice
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#InvestingAdvice #OPEC #OilPrices #StrategicPetroleumReserve #GasolinePrices #EconomicRecession #FederalResserve #MidTermElections #Markets #Money #Investing

What Happens When the Financial Models Break? (10/6/22)

Market performance in election years is marked by investor anxiety over the outcome, and the potential for outlying risk. The FOMC Meeting this week: will the Fed halt plans for cuts, and possibily even hike rates? Expectations for strong employment numbers. Markets rally on PCE report, beginning to build a new, bullish trend. This will be a busy earnings week. When the correction comes, how you will play? The liquidity boost from tax receipts in April & October. Retail sales details: Are things as strong as they seem: Paying more to buy the same. Is AI the wave of the future for cargo shipping? The AI conundrum and the future of work: What happens to all those displaced? The economic impact of AI: Shrinking middle class, expanding lower class, concentration of wealth among the ultra-high class.
 
SEG-1: Market Performance in Election Years
SEG-2: When the Correction Comes
SEG-3: The Devil in the Details in Retail Sales
SEG-4: The AI Conundrum & Future of Work

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
-------
Watch today's show video here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L-C8B7DfDGw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=78s
-------
Articles mentioned in this report:
"Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
"Retail Sales Data Suggests A Strong Consumer Or Does It"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retail-sales-data-suggests-a-strong-consumer-or-does-it/
-------
REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49
-------
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Markets Building a New Bullish Trend?" is here: 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E0vWNP7EeBQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
-------
Our previous show is here: "Are You Prepared for Higher Taxes?"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nYPi4NguyyI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s
--------
Get more info & commentary: 
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
--------
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
--------
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com
Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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Subscribe to SimpleVisor:
https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
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Connect with us on social:
https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice
https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts
https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/
https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/

#MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #JeromePowell #EmploymentReport #SuckerRally #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #ArtificialIntelligence #AI #Shipping #Labor #FutureOfWork #Markets #Money #Investing

4-29-24 Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls

Fed Meeting preview; earnings season contiunes, buybacks about to resume. What's up the the Yen? Corporations are the net buyers of stocks; the correction is done: There's lots of underlying support for markets; after two good market days, closing above 20-DMA, moving to re-test 50-DMA, but likely to fail, dependent upon Fed comments. Lance & Jonathan discuss the Astro's, dance team tryouts, and the problem with investor negativity. Similarities with AI and Dot-coms: Will this be the next crash? What will create a credit-related event? Why the current correction is done...for now. The ipact of stock buybacks; investing the contrarian way. Lance & Jonathan answer an email about The Perfect Investment: 10-yr. Treasuries vs Annuities; the three components of investing (you only get any two).
 
SEG-1: Fed Meeting Preview & The Yen
SEG-2: Astro's, Dance Teams, & The Problem w Investor Negativity
SEG-3: Why the Current Correction is Done
SEG-4: The Perfect Investment

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
-------
Watch today's show video here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wy2IA1Zj_Mw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
-------
Articles mentioned in this report:
"Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-sentiment-index-reverses-with-buybacks-resuming/
"Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
"Retail Sales Data Suggests A Strong Consumer Or Does It"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retail-sales-data-suggests-a-strong-consumer-or-does-it/
-------
REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49
-------
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is a Market Pullback Ahead?" is here: 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Te4b0zqK2NA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujhW-HlRJGaPa9tDN_GthEg&index=1
-------
Our previous show is here: "Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls?"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L-C8B7DfDGw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=78s
--------
Get more info & commentary: 
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
--------
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
--------
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com
Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
--------
Subscribe to SimpleVisor:
https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
--------
Connect with us on social:
https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice
https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts
https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/
https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/

#MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #JeromePowell #EmploymentReport #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #EquitiesRebound #MarketCorrection #CorporateEearningsImprovement #CEOconfidence #ShareBuybacks #EquityBuying #Outlooks #Markets #Money #Investing

4-30-24 Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses W Buybacks Resuming

Fed Day brings dovish expectations; so far, so good in current earnings season. Economic data is all over the board; Europe emerges from Recession. Taxes to increase; tax flight is inevitable. Market correction continues; can it hold support at 100-DMA? A 10% correction would be normal. Earnings recap (so far) Amazon, CVS/Healthcare: Baby Boomers' elective surgeries are impacting insurors' actuarial tables; the rash of retirees. AMD disappoints because their report was on-target, not better-than-expected. Overall, a mixed-bag of results. What happens when companies miss? META: Is the 'Metaverse' fading? Lance's Bitcoin commentary. Fed meeting preview: Inflation proving stickier than expected. Will the Fed hike rates? Ho the Fed communicates to markets: Different speakers' different takes w/policy trial balloons. There has been no conversation about not cutting rates. (Markets and the Fed only pay attention to Government economic numbers.) Markets are now expecting only one rate cut and are up 8%: Is there really a need to cut rates? Markets will key-in on when rates are to be cut, and the relative dovishness of Jerome Powell. The Perfect Investment/revisited: The value of cash in portfolio holdings. 

SEG-1: Fed Day & Dovish Expectations, Market Correction
SEG-2: Earnings Review: What happens when companies miss?
SEG-3: FOMC Preview: Price Inflation Stickier than Expected
SEG-4: The Perfect Investment & The Value of Cash

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
-------
Watch today's show video here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MfJJripGmTg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
-------
Articles mentioned in this report:
"Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-sentiment-index-reverses-with-buybacks-resuming/
"Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
"Retail Sales Data Suggests A Strong Consumer Or Does It"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retail-sales-data-suggests-a-strong-consumer-or-does-it/
-------
REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49
-------
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Normality of a 10% Correction" is here: 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wxwEhInc7QM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
-------
Our previous show is here: "Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wy2IA1Zj_Mw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
--------
Get more info & commentary: 
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
--------
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
--------
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com
Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
--------
Subscribe to SimpleVisor:
https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
--------
Connect with us on social:
https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice
https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts
https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/
https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/

#MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #JeromePowell #EmploymentReport #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #EquitiesRebound #MarketCorrection #CorporateEearningsImprovement #CEOconfidence #ShareBuybacks #EquityBuying #Outlooks #Cash #Capital #BusinessEvaluation #FinancialOpportunity #StrategicInvestmentDecisions #Markets #Money #Investing

5-1-24 What Happens When Companies Miss?

Market volatility returns amid earnings season, with McDonald's, KFC, and Starbuck's reporting weak earnings, suggesting tru impact of inflation on consumers, wjho are becoming more price-conscious. Markets perform a pump & dump on Wedesnday, with stock retesting the 20-DMA...and failing. Pelaton earnings disappoint; the Fed holds rates steady; everything is fine, but they're not cutting rates. Discussion of what this means for markets, liquidity, and reduction of Fed balance sheet. The Treasury's Bond Strategy. Pelaton Drama: CEO Exit; what the Fed said; markets have already priced-in the plan. The Fed sees the economy is gradually slwoing, and wants to get ahead of recession. Underlying data is weaker than headline numbers. Powell says, "no stag, no flation." Apple earnings preview, flip-phones, '90's music, & The Rolling Stones. Warren Buffett says no eye-popping returns in store. Apple is not a high-growth company. Too many companies are buying back stocks at too high a price. Buybacks will provide some support for large-cap companies. The challenge is going to be economic growth: Will earnings estimates come down?

SEG-1: Market Volatility Returns
SEG-2: Peloton Earnings & Fed Holds Rates Steady
SEG-3: Peloton Drama & What the Fed Said
SEG-4: Apple Flip Phones, '90's Music, & The Rolling Stones

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
-------
Watch today's show video here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I_zLhdhUmR4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=62s
-------
Articles mentioned in this report:
"Fed Policies Turn The Wealth Gap Into A Chasm"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-policies-turn-the-wealth-gap-into-a-chasm/
"Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-sentiment-index-reverses-with-buybacks-resuming/
"Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
"Retail Sales Data Suggests A Strong Consumer Or Does It"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retail-sales-data-suggests-a-strong-consumer-or-does-it/
-------
REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49
-------
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Pump & Dump" is here: 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Spzj5xO7bCE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
-------
Our previous show is here: "What Happens When Companies Miss?"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MfJJripGmTg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
--------
Get more info & commentary: 
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
--------
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
--------
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com
Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
--------
Subscribe to SimpleVisor:
https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
--------
Connect with us on social:
https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice
https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts
https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/
https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/

#MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #JeromePowell #EmploymentReport #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #EquitiesRebound #MarketCorrection #CorporateEearningsImprovement #CEOconfidence #ShareBuybacks #EquityBuying #Outlooks #Cash #Capital #BusinessEvaluation #FinancialOpportunity #StrategicInvestmentDecisions #FederalReserve #EconomyManipulation #Recession #Inflation #GoldilocksEconomy #RealRateOfFedFunds #RestrictiveRate #InflationaryConcerns #Markets #Money #Investing

5-2-24 Powell Holds Pat

Apple's results + the Biggest Buyback Ever: Are iPhones becoming a high-tech toaster? Labor/Jobs Report preview; what the Fed may do. It is surprising the market is now down more than 5%. This has been a government-driven economy. Janet Yellen is a Marxist. Who will win the tax cut battle? We'll all lose. It's apsneding problem, not a revenue problem. Why are taxing lines drawn at $400k? The life of a WalMart manager; tax dollars go to waste. New Department of Valuations. Next Lunch & Learn preview: Medicare. Are advisors giving conflicting advice on Social Security? No one wants to address Medicare; get a second opinion before taking SS early. The surge in interest in annuities; Gen-Z would rather have insurance than stocks: Stable income from annuities. Gen-Z living frugally: The differing attitudes of younger generations.

SEG-1: Apple Results & The Biggest Buyback Ever
SEG-2: Who'll Win the Tax Cut Battle?
SEG-3: Are Advisors Giving Conflicting SS Advice?
SEG-4: Why Gen-Z Would Rather Have Inusrance than Stocks

Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
-------
Watch today's show video here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iMV5vU7krsc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
-------
Articles mentioned in this report:
"Fed Policies Turn The Wealth Gap Into A Chasm"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-policies-turn-the-wealth-gap-into-a-chasm/
"Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-sentiment-index-reverses-with-buybacks-resuming/
"Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
"Retail Sales Data Suggests A Strong Consumer Or Does It"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retail-sales-data-suggests-a-strong-consumer-or-does-it/
-------
REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49
-------
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Pump & Dump" is here: 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Spzj5xO7bCE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
-------
Our previous show is here: "Powell Holds Pat"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I_zLhdhUmR4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=62s
--------
Get more info & commentary: 
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
--------
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
--------
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com
Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
--------
Subscribe to SimpleVisor:
https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
--------
Connect with us on social:
https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice
https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts
https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/
https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/

#AppleStockBuybak #iPhoneSalesDrop #MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #EmploymentReport #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #ShareBuybacks #FederalReserve #EconomyManipulation #Recession #Inflation #SocialSecurity #Medicare #Frugality #JaneetYellen #IncomeTaxes #Markets #Money #Investing

5-3-24 Who Will Win The Tax Cut Battle

There are three possible paths for markets, moving forward. Markets are at a critical juncture at the 50-DMA; earnings "beat-rate" has been low, and earnings misses have been severely punished. Looking at the Fed's liquidity strategies; the markets' possible direction from this point. In dealing with inflation, which data measurement matters? Him's, Her's, & Botox: The rise in Gen-Z use of cosmetics for better selfies. What is Stagflation, and do we really have it? Inflation tracks economic growth; stagflation = high inflation, low economic growth, & high unemployment. We currently have record low unemployment, inflation is about average, not high, and there is decently strong economic growth. This is not That '70's Show. YouTube chat response: You cannot double-count inflation.

SEG-1: Markets Are at a Critical Juncture at the 50-DMA
SEG-2: Three Paths for Markets Moving Forward
SEG-3: Is There Really Stagflation?
SEG-4: You Cannot Double-count Inflation

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
-------
Watch today's show video here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I5d2BCsJQr8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s
-------
Articles mentioned in this report:
"Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
"Stock Rally As Powell Sparks A Buying Frenzy"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-rally-as-powell-sparks-a-buying-frenzy/
-------
REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49
-------
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Critical Resistance at 50-DMA " is here: 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MFiJNHKMRm4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  
-------
Our previous show is here: "Who'll Win the Tax Cut Battle?"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iMV5vU7krsc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
--------
Get more info & commentary: 
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
--------
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
--------
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com
Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
--------
Subscribe to SimpleVisor:
https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
--------
Connect with us on social:
https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice
https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts
https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/
https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/

#EconomicGrowth #EconomicStagflation #GDP #PCE #PriceIndex #StockMarket #FinancialConcerns #EconomicData #MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #EmploymentReport #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #ShareBuybacks #FederalReserve #EconomyManipulation #Recession #Inflation #SocialSecurity #Medicare #Frugality #IncomeTaxes #Markets #Money #Investing

5-6-24 What Is Economic Stagflation

Economists' 'rush-to-judgement' vs the lag effect catching up w economic data. Consumer spending and loan demand are waning as excesses in money supply are normalizing. The data re beginning to refute the "no recession" theme. Market correction is now over, bullish trend to resume. The challenge of NOT expecting recession; what the data is starting to show; not a lot of risk in credit markets...yet. That's where trouble will show up first. Geopolitical conflicts do mot matter to markets for long; world wars do. Spreads between corporate bonds vs treasuries are at an all time low (90bp). There's no stress in the economy...so far; pay attention to credit risk. 20th Anniversary of 2008 Financial Crisis is approaching. Letters from the IRS and a $34-B tax bill; the rich need to pay their "fair share;" defining "fair" (charts). The portability of wealth will be a factor when taxes rise too high. How about Congress spending LESS? Swiss Army to make knife with no blade for UK. Residual Seasonality in economic data: Always skewed by seasonal adjustments. 

SEG-1: The Lag Effect is Catching up w Economic Data
SEG-2: Is Credit Risk the Canary in the Coal Mine?
SEG-3: Defining "Fair Share"
SEG-4: Knives without Blades; Residual Seasonality

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
-------
Watch today's show video here:

-------
Articles mentioned in this report:
"Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
"Stock Rally As Powell Sparks A Buying Frenzy"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-rally-as-powell-sparks-a-buying-frenzy/
-------
REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49
-------
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Aiming for 5,300," is here: 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wm2kCMEF0Lo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
-------
Our previous show is here: "What is Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I5d2BCsJQr8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s
--------
Get more info & commentary: 
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
--------
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
--------
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com
Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
--------
Subscribe to SimpleVisor:
https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
--------
Connect with us on social:
https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice
https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts
https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/
https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/

#MarketBullishness #CreditSpreads #StockMarket #FinancialConcerns #EconomicData #MarketPerformance #RecessionExpectations  #EconomicPredictions #ShockEffect #MarketPsychology #EonomicHealth #FinancialConfidence #IncomeTaxes #Markets #Money #Investing

5-7-24 Powell Sparks A Buying Frenzy

The Citi Surprise Index: When economists are disappointed in estimated numbers; that index is now at a low ebb. An uneventful earnings season is wrapping up with fair results; the only companies seeing margins grow are large caps. Markets eke out gains for 4th straight day; the benefits of a market pullback; CTA's have money to spend, plus resumption of stock buy backs. Old Shows & Actors; the great un-bundling of fee has created fees on fees; tipping & charges-per-squirt(!): Budget leakage. Buying Made in USA. AI Golf robots, Robocop, & Skynet; the worst financial mistake some families make: Living on a single paycheck. Balancing the equation with a stay-at-home parent; dealing with the skills gap; the impact of rising childcare costs, and what caused it (gov't. stimulus). Planning for College & Career Choices; five jobs with most potential to produce millionaires. The process of good financial habits. "It's not about how much you make, but how much you save."

SEG-1: Analyzing the Citi Surprise Index
SEG-2: Surprise Fees are Growing
SEG-3: The Worst Financial Mistake Some Families Can Make
SEG-4: Five Jobs Most Likely to Produce Millionaires

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch today's show video here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1UkAPeqpMME&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
-------
Articles mentioned in this report:
"Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
"Stock Rally As Powell Sparks A Buying Frenzy"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-rally-as-powell-sparks-a-buying-frenzy/
-------
REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49
-------
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Aiming for 5,300," is here: 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wm2kCMEF0Lo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
-------
Our previous show is here: "Powell Sparks a Buying Frenzy"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VPodLCUQ4sw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s
--------
Get more info & commentary: 
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
--------
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
--------
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com
Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
--------
Subscribe to SimpleVisor:
https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
--------
Connect with us on social:
https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice
https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts
https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/
https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/

#MarketBullishness #CitiSurpriseIndex #StockMarket #FinancialConcerns #EconomicData #MarketPerformance #RecessionExpectations #SurpriseFees #WorstFinancialMistakes #FiveJobsProducingMillionaires #EconomicPredictions #CashlessSociety #RisingFees #BusinessCosts #DigitalPayments #ConsumerImpact #EconomicChallenges #UnbundlingFees #AffordabilityIssues #Markets #Money #Investing

5-8-24 The Difference Between The Price You Pay & The Price You See

Is the pig really out of the python? (Excess savings are gone.) Who is still spending, and how? Government spending and consumer credit card usage; buy-now, pay-later (BNPL) plans being used to buy groceries and make ends meet. There are no stats to determine credit risk presented by BNPL companies. Markets sell-off, rally, and end at break-even. The correction is over...for now. No earnings growth outside the Magnificent Seven or top large-cap companies. Companies not rewarded greatly, but brutally punished. Uber, Shopify, Starbucks bellwethers of consumer spending. McDonald's, Five-Guys, inflation impact. Warren Buffett's challenge to find Apple; could he use his cash better? Inflation Report preview: Rents make up 40% of CPI; prices are still high. Why their inflation will be zero. CPI is a black box. Q1 strengths attributed to Seasonal Adjustments. Consumers will start weakening. Sentiment vs Inflation: All the market cares about is government data, regardless of how you feel. High prices will remain, but if unchanged next year, inflation will be zero. Markets are distorted from the fundamentals; valuations still matter. 

SEG-1: The Pig's NOT Out of the Python
SEG-2: Analyzing Earnings: No Growth Outside Magnificent-7
SEG-3: Inflation Report Preview: Impact of Rents on CPI
SEG-4: Sentiment vs Inflation: What the markets look at

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
-------
Watch today's show video here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C9aVqf8un5c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
-------
Articles mentioned in this report:
"Finding The Next Apple Using Buffett's Logic"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/finding-the-next-apple-using-buffetts-logic/
"Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
"Stock Rally As Powell Sparks A Buying Frenzy"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-rally-as-powell-sparks-a-buying-frenzy/
-------
REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49
-------
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Volatility Reverses Again," is here: 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FJqfWLf9Ntg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
-------
Our previous show is here: "The Difference Between the Price You See vs the Price You Pay is Growing"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1UkAPeqpMME&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
--------
Get more info & commentary: 
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
--------
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
--------
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com
Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
--------
Subscribe to SimpleVisor:
https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
--------
Connect with us on social:
https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice
https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts
https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/
https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/

#MarketBullishness #StockMarket #FinancialConcerns #EconomicData #MarketPerformance #RecessionExpectations #EarningsGrowth #MagnificentSeven #NegativeEarningsGrowth #TopStocks #TwitterChart #Markets #Money #Investing

5-9-24 Finding The Next Apple Using Buffett's Logic

Earnings preview & economic reports: The wisdom of writing a market journal. Will markets produce an 8th day of gains? Current trading strategioes; the animal spirits are shifting. Soupy Sales' 'Send a Dollar;' CEO Neutrality, getting back to the basics of business. Will Social Security last past 2035? There are some surprising, positive notes in the latest SS Trustees' report. Why we run financial plans without SS. Financial Dust-bunnies: Medicare Lunch & Learn; why the big push for Medicare Advantage? (Because that's what pays brokers the most.) Crafting retirement income is an art: Is the 4% Rule too safe? There is no set number: There are too many variables. "The Woods" retirement plan; the Annuities discussion; protecting against emotional decisions.

SEG-1: Will Markets Produce an 8th Positive Day?
SEG-2: CEO Neutrality & Getting Back to the Basics of Business
SEG-3: The Financial Dust-bunnies of Medicare
SEG-4: Retirement Income is an Art

Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
-------
Watch today's show video here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VTL3ny5OkwA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
-------
Articles mentioned in this report:
"Finding The Next Apple Using Buffett's Logic"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/finding-the-next-apple-using-buffetts-logic/
"Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
"Stock Rally As Powell Sparks A Buying Frenzy"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-rally-as-powell-sparks-a-buying-frenzy/
-------
REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49
-------
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Volatility Reverses Again," is here: 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FJqfWLf9Ntg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
-------
Our previous show is here: "Finding the Next Apple Using Buffett's Logic"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C9aVqf8un5c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
--------
Get more info & commentary: 
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
--------
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
--------
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com
Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
--------
Subscribe to SimpleVisor:
https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
--------
Connect with us on social:
https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice
https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts
https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/
https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/

#MarketBullishness #StockMarket #SocialSecurity #MedicareAdvantage #CEONeutrality #FinancialDustBunnies #RetirementIncome #ActuarialBalance #CombinedFunds #Crisis #BenefitsCut #RetirementAge #SocialSecurityCap #CareerPoliticians #Electability #FinancialConditions #PositiveOutlook #Markets #Money #Investing

5-10-24 Will Social Security Last Past 2035

Here reside the full, unadulterated audio files from the daily episodes of The Real Investment Show

What Happens When the Financial Models Break? (10/6/22)

The Real Investment Show/Full Show

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