Name: Neglect of Probability by David Dylan Thomas in BE- David dylan
Duration: 13 min 10 s
Description: We react to low probability events as if they had a really high probability because our brains can't do math good.

BE- David dylan

Why do we keep doing the thing even when it's no longer worth doing the thing?

Cognitive Bias Podcast Season One

Irrational Escalation

We react to low probability events as if they had a really high probability because our brains can't do math good.

Neglect of Probability

Does simply seeing something over and over make you like it more? Generally speaking, yes. Even if you have no idea what it is.

Cognitige Bias Podcast

Mere Exposure Effect

It always takes longer to get things done than we think it will, even when we've done those exact same things before.

Planning Fallacy

Special guest Kevin Smokler, author of "Brat Pack America: A Love Letter to 80's Teen Movies", joins Dave to talk about why we remember stuff (including movies) from the ages of 10-30 better than any other time.

Reminiscence Bump

I sit down with Seer Interactive founder Wil Reynolds to discuss bias in algorithms, how tech can disproportionately single out Black people for injustice, and how to treat people ethically at a company.

Cognitive Bias Podcast Bonus Season

Wil Reynolds

In this episode, I talk with content strategist, speaker, and author Margot Bloomstein about her upcoming book Trustworthy and how brands and even governments can build trust in a cynical time by leaning into their values and showing vulnerability at scale.

Margot Bloomstein

We chat with content strategist and comedy event organizer Malaika Carpenter about bias in comedy, the value of plain language, and how our language choices change how we design.

Malaika Carpenter

In this episode I chat with Tiny MBA author Alex Hillman about the psychology of money, our false assumptions about business, and what we can learn from the 90's sitcom "Dinosaurs".

Alex Hillman

In this episode I talk to content strategist and speaker Eileen Webb about ethics, trauma-informed bias, and how hard it is to measure values.

Eileen Webb

On this episode we talk once again to Ruined by Design author Mike Monteiro about the value of discomfort, the need for workers to organize, and why folks who look like him should absolutely not be deciding the future.

Mike Monteiro Returns

Just Enough Research author Erika Hall and I discuss the pitfalls of polling, the need for humility in research, James Baldwin, and why design needs to interrogate capitalism. And that's just for starters.

Erika Hall

In this episode, we talk to Writing Is Designing authors Michael J. Metts and Andy Welfe about inclusive language, how salary negotiations are problematic, and founding of one of the most welcoming UX and content communities on the planet.

Michael J. Metts and Andy Welfle

In this episode, we chat with digital strategist Jeff Eaton about the difficulty of picking the right metric, how we determine our values, and his new company, Autogram.

Jeff Eaton

In the bonus season finale, we speak to content designer Sarah Winters about clear language, the role of ego in government work, and why you should count the adjectives in news articles.

Sarah Winters

The Cognitive Bias podcast explores the world of things we do that don't make any rational sense, one bias at a time.

Neglect of Probability

David Dylan Thomas

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